TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0390…da52

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
39
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: MLB, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 56 out of 100; worst Valorant at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Croatia Open, Qualification: Lukas Neumayer vs Marko Topobacked Lukas Neumayer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,925Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,925.02
Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Zverevbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.27
Liege: Florian Broska vs Lorenzo Giustinobacked Florian Broska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,591Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,528.6
Trieste: Matej Dodig vs Hugo Dellienbacked Hugo Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,457Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+84.6%+$2,923.21
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,182.5
Milan: Francisco Comesana vs Daniel Rinconbacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNallybacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$282.15
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.38
Bratislava: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Emilio Navabacked Pedro Boscardin Dias · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.77
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.73
Stuttgart Open (Doubles): Kirkov/Miedler vs Demoliner/Melobacked Kirkov/Miedler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$46.55
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Maddison Inglisbacked Maddison Inglis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Modena: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Darja Semenistajabacked Darja Semenistaja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$139
All 13 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+31.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+111.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationalsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,265Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$2,882.66
Athletics vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,032Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,731.31
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$59.97
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,522Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+132.9%+$2,022.59
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,198.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$355
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Paddy Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,246.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Championships: Finland vs. Czechiabacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.