Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d539bf5fb95efba8ead50c76c041256e9a7b019327c17ef7f8cb247af061816
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof 100 Thieves, NRG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $777,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $845,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $777,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 464 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba38…e406backed 100 Thieves | 67c | 63,550$42,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,654.84 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed 100 Thieves | 42c | 48,074$20,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,939.08 | 343 | 56.9%195 W · 148 L | +23.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed 100 Thieves | 43c | 41,546$17,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,664.5 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed NRG | 55c | 38,662$21,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,389.08 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed NRG | 54c | 32,819$17,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,681.26 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x472b…5d5fbacked NRG | 28c | 19,115$5,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,360.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed NRG | 57c | 17,666$10,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,093.78 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -11.5wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed 100 Thieves | 66c | 14,873$9,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,056.71 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d77…164fbacked NRG | 38c | 13,042$4,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,930.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked NRG | 32c | 12,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed NRG | 57c | 12,000$6,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,880.89 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…9897backed NRG | 30c | 11,443$3,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,429.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…40cebacked NRG | 55c | 10,743$5,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,860.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58ce…df44backed 100 Thieves | 49c | 10,450$5,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,332.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed NRG | 31c | 9,453$2,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,946.34 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eaa…2094backed 100 Thieves | 44c | 9,418$4,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,272.04 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8660…93edbacked 100 Thieves | 54c | 8,898$4,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,108.31 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0e…bd73backed NRG | 57c | 8,844$5,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,002.34 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed NRG | 56c | 8,500$4,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,760 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9450…dbebbacked NRG | 47c | 7,130$3,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,347.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…5709backed NRG | 39c | 7,000$2,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,763.56 | 322 | 45.7%147 W · 175 L | +52.2wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed 100 Thieves | 45c | 6,765$3,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,714.17 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked 100 Thieves | 43c | 6,000$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,419.94 | 267 | 38.2%102 W · 165 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed 100 Thieves | 52c | 5,355$2,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,567.39 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed NRG | 56c | 4,972$2,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,784.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked NRG | 56c | 4,671$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked 100 Thieves | 43c | 4,240$1,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,416.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…56d8backed NRG | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.99 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x08e7…4f63backed 100 Thieves | 44c | 4,091$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,290.91 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed 100 Thieves | 57c | 4,020$2,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,713.68 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed 100 Thieves | 43c | 3,743$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.07 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked NRG | 32c | 3,623$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.63 | 236 | 44.5%105 W · 131 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked 100 Thieves | 43c | 3,567$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,038.76 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked NRG | 37c | 3,551$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.09 | 211 | 36.5%77 W · 134 L | -15.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4d…b0edbacked NRG | 27c | 3,442$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.44 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed NRG | 57c | 3,276$1,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.43 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a9febacked 100 Thieves | 63c | 3,260$2,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed NRG | 47c | 3,112$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.32 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked NRG | 56c | 3,000$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.99 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked NRG | 30c | 2,989$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.97 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0390…da52backed NRG | 32c | 2,912$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…f09ebacked NRG | 58c | 2,726$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed 100 Thieves | 45c | 2,691$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.52 | 348 | 57.5%200 W · 148 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed NRG | 31c | 2,642$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.89 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 100 Thieves | 69c | 2,620$1,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.81 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 100 Thieves | 52c | 2,475$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed NRG | 33c | 2,475$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.65 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0af2…a2bbbacked NRG | 56c | 2,460$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.09 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ee…fe5dbacked NRG | 41c | 2,443$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…4748backed NRG | 27c | 2,438$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.2 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked NRG | 33c | 2,398$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.78 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed 100 Thieves | 42c | 2,357$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.14 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed 100 Thieves | 65c | 2,298$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.79 | 256 | 60.9%156 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed 100 Thieves | 44c | 2,241$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.13 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd0…08f6backed NRG | 52c | 2,192$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed NRG | 36c | 2,190$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.82 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6f…6c5cbacked NRG | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed NRG | 37c | 2,155$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.72 | 269 | 32.3%87 W · 182 L | -25.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed NRG | 26c | 2,133$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.54 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked NRG | 35c | 2,107$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.91 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed NRG | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed 100 Thieves | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked NRG | 46c | 2,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked 100 Thieves | 45c | 1,908$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.91 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed 100 Thieves | 64c | 1,875$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 234 | 63.7%149 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 100 Thieves | 70c | 1,832$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.18 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed NRG | 32c | 1,793$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.63 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked NRG | 38c | 1,779$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.7 | 308 | 35.4%109 W · 199 L | -23.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed NRG | 35c | 1,756$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.7 | 543 | 42.4%230 W · 313 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ac…9170backed NRG | 59c | 1,746$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed 100 Thieves | 57c | 1,694$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.63 | 223 | 44.4%99 W · 124 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed NRG | 56c | 1,668$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.12 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4f…6d4bbacked 100 Thieves | 53c | 1,611$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.58 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked NRG | 34c | 1,592$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.16 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e44…affebacked NRG | 18c | 1,502$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.11 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +135.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked NRG | 57c | 1,469$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.5 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed NRG | 24c | 1,466$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.84 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed 100 Thieves | 43c | 1,420$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.4 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed NRG | 37c | 1,306$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.39 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9929…15a8backed 100 Thieves | 66c | 1,304$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.42 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb53…7b74backed 100 Thieves | 68c | 1,253$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.07 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked NRG | 22c | 1,245$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.95 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed 100 Thieves | 65c | 1,232$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.49 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fdd…2055backed NRG | 56c | 1,232$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed 100 Thieves | 44c | 1,226$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.54 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9b…59eabacked NRG | 37c | 1,224$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd016…6114backed NRG | 22c | 1,222$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.44 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…bccdbacked NRG | 57c | 1,210$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.7 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5be…2bfbbacked NRG | 17c | 1,200$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked 100 Thieves | 63c | 1,189$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.13 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 1,121$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.71 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed NRG | 36c | 1,119$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked 100 Thieves | 77c | 1,110$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.86 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 1,107$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.68 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5299…c4e0backed NRG | 24c | 1,093$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x026b…8804backed 100 Thieves | 53c | 1,093$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.3 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 100 Thieves | 68c | 1,072$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.22 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a28…929fbacked NRG | 36c | 1,060$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.6 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked NRG | 57c | 1,058$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.81 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked NRG | 30c | 1,002$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.21 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-5.5) vs NRG (+5.5)100 Thieves won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)100 Thieves won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 1 Winner100 Thieves won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 2 Winner100 Thieves won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 3 WinnerNRG won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 4 Winner100 Thieves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.