Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99b49f7a9a75d2caab4cdc3b06df7e617ea4921f65be9444d758624459e51b13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRGof 100 Thieves, NRG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $203,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $259,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba38…e406backed 100 Thieves | 47c | 31,217$14,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,671.76 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed NRG | 53c | 26,064$13,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,268.39 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8660…93edbacked 100 Thieves | 49c | 17,774$8,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,714.81 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked 100 Thieves | 56c | 15,162$8,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,456.66 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed 100 Thieves | 49c | 14,000$6,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,897.09 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d93…3b07backed NRG | 51c | 9,174$4,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,484.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed NRG | 49c | 8,188$4,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,136.73 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed 100 Thieves | 19c | 7,709$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.15 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked NRG | 51c | 7,116$3,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,459.21 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked NRG | 50c | 6,000$2,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,020 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed NRG | 51c | 4,181$2,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058.44 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed NRG | 53c | 4,169$2,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956.03 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked NRG | 52c | 4,100$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed NRG | 54c | 3,852$2,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.35 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed NRG | 62c | 3,393$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.28 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked 100 Thieves | 10c | 3,200$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.86 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…44adbacked 100 Thieves | 52c | 3,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed NRG | 53c | 2,922$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.32 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed 100 Thieves | 50c | 2,100$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6130…a7a6backed NRG | 50c | 1,788$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…980abacked NRG | 52c | 1,729$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd052…563dbacked NRG | 51c | 1,708$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.8 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae3f…defebacked NRG | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.46 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked NRG | 45c | 1,440$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.34 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked NRG | 49c | 1,153$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.14 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed NRG | 52c | 1,146$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.26 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed 100 Thieves | 48c | 1,064$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.64 | 256 | 60.9%156 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed 100 Thieves | 48c | 1,046$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.04 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked NRG | 53c | 993$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.87 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed 100 Thieves | 20c | 984.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.27 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed NRG | 44c | 962.43$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.96 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…21c5backed 100 Thieves | 48c | 910.11$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.85 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed NRG | 53c | 886.37$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.59 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed NRG | 48c | 837.62$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.62 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…2970backed NRG | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25d5…11fcbacked 100 Thieves | 48c | 729.17$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked NRG | 49c | 716.39$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.49 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed NRG | 52c | 665.94$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.65 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…4065backed NRG | 52c | 644.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…aedebacked NRG | 47c | 642.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed 100 Thieves | 21c | 629.7$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.77 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed 100 Thieves | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 348 | 57.5%200 W · 148 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x026b…8804backed 100 Thieves | 39c | 617.8$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.67 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked NRG | 51c | 605.4$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.65 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec1b…e8cabacked 100 Thieves | 49c | 581.63$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…bd17backed NRG | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked NRG | 47c | 519.51$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.8 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked 100 Thieves | 37c | 519.25$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…ed87backed 100 Thieves | 49c | 509.69$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d49…7cc0backed NRG | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed NRG | 56c | 477.27$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…6acabacked 100 Thieves | 33c | 455.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed 100 Thieves | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 196 | 55.6%109 W · 87 L | +12.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked 100 Thieves | 40c | 453$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.2 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed 100 Thieves | 39c | 415.18$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.92 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…6d74backed NRG | 52c | 396.55$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.34 | 255 | 55.7%142 W · 113 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7251…4a60backed 100 Thieves | 50c | 388.38$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.19 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed 100 Thieves | 31c | 380.39$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.92 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f2…21febacked NRG | 51c | 372.55$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.55 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed NRG | 62c | 354.94$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.29 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…ba33backed NRG | 51c | 335.1$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.2 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…0381backed NRG | 53c | 331.87$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.98 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d26…f4f8backed 100 Thieves | 6c | 327.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked NRG | 65c | 316.4$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.88 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed 100 Thieves | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e51…2412backed 100 Thieves | 31c | 281.45$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed NRG | 51c | 270$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.3 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed NRG | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked 100 Thieves | 36c | 226.23$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.89 | 389 | 50.6%197 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed NRG | 46c | 213.96$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.07 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked 100 Thieves | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a96…7a34backed NRG | 51c | 208$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.92 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked NRG | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff95…859cbacked NRG | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffa…7710backed NRG | 52c | 188.89$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.67 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…f5cabacked 100 Thieves | 49c | 180.14$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.27 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed NRG | 53c | 179$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.13 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b5…ecffbacked 100 Thieves | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed NRG | 51c | 170.59$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.59 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe79…296fbacked NRG | 51c | 170.12$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.36 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4377…74c2backed NRG | 53c | 166.04$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.04 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…7cbcbacked 100 Thieves | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed NRG | 51c | 135.29$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.29 | 152 | 55.9%85 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…50d8backed 100 Thieves | 11c | 133.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 102 | 17.6%18 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3416…adaabacked 100 Thieves | 46c | 128.54$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.57 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8d…4b6fbacked 100 Thieves | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbcda…5e95backed NRG | 51c | 127.45$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed 100 Thieves | 30c | 124.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5323…326abacked 100 Thieves | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed NRG | 59c | 119.61$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 169 | 63.3%107 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3dc…eaa8backed 100 Thieves | 48c | 115.23$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191e…0445backed 100 Thieves | 49c | 113.92$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d1…6a15backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 106.37$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35ae…b929backed 100 Thieves | 38c | 105.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 100 Thieves | 50c | 104.87$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.95 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed NRG | 51c | 104.02$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.97 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5807…74dcbacked NRG | 52c | 103.85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.85 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed 100 Thieves | 48c | 102$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked 100 Thieves | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed NRG | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 3 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-5.5) vs NRG (+5.5)100 Thieves won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)100 Thieves won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs100 Thieves won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 1 Winner100 Thieves won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 2 Winner100 Thieves won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 4 Winner100 Thieves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.