TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe7b8…31e6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
933
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Valorant, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorantlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT36145.7%165 W · 196 L+22.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 361 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.85
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$132.8
Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Enterprise Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs Team Liquid - Map 1 Winnerbacked Enterprise Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Map Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$176.21
Valorant: Sharper Esport vs ONSIDE GAMING - Map 1 Winnerbacked Sharper Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$25.29
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+208.8%+$227.34
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+387.1%+$556.54
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Eintracht Frankfurt - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Eintracht Frankfurt - Map 1 Winnerbacked Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$110.73
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs TYLOO - Map 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Map Handicap: FS (-1.5) vs ONSIDE GAMING (+1.5)backed FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$134
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Valorant: BBL Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$258
Valorant: BBL Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$132
Valorant: BBL Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.56
Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$108
Map Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Enterprise Esports (+1.5)backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Valorant: T1 vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$83
Valorant: T1 vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$86
Valorant: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.5
Valorant: Team Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.99
Valorant: Team Liquid vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.9
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Enterprise Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$115.78
Showing 25 of 361 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT26443.6%115 W · 149 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 264 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 3 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.57
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.3
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$139.42
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$139.58
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+300%+$262.5
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.8
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.5
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$168.93
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.45
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.8
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$163.16
LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.58
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$126.78
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$117
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.76
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$104.64
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$89
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
Showing 25 of 264 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT14041.4%58 W · 82 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 140 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 4 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.64
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 3 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.88
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$124
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$127.27
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$144.86
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.5
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+296%+$425.64
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$134
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+114.7%+$127.04
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$176.87
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$120.89
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$70.7
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$109
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$111.69
Showing 25 of 140 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT9832.7%32 W · 66 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 98 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$84.26
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.63
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.07
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$155
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.58
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$76.36
Lamine Yamal: 4+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$36.67
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$93
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$69.17
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$113.39
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$82.62
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advancebacked Ghana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 98 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT3946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Portland Fire vs. Toronto Tempobacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$183.67
New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.96
Portland Fire vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.88
Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.8
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-6.5)backed Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5)backed Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$98.7
Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$89
Spread: Chicago Sky (-2.5)backed Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+99.3%+$119.22
Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.8
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-11.5)backed Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$105.96
Phoenix Mercury vs. Chicago Skybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$86.65
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-1.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$133.66
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-11.5)backed Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$76.79
New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+118.1%+$95.67
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-6.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-3.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+83.7%+$85.51
Spread: Dallas Wings (-7.5)backed PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$70.5
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFirebacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Spread: New York Liberty (-7.5)backed New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.91
Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5)backed Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.5
New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wingsbacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+247.7%+$274.91
Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)backed New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.18
Spread: Chicago Sky (-3.5)backed Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Connecticut Sun (-2.5)backed Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$91.5
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-42.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+40.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-47.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CB Murcia vs. Gran Canariabacked Gran Canaria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.1
Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.01
Basquet Girona vs. Unicajabacked Unicaja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+57.6%+$40.32
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.