Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed731efabe978ae565a11181e2d785df1d0629a9614df9e372e40a8fac35af2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Egyptof Argentina, Egypt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,790,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,642,620
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,790,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,751 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x095f…90b2backed Egypt | 53c | 1,737,676$920,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816,707.6 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Argentina | 47c | 949,855$446,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446,431.85 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e25…d49ebacked Egypt | 52c | 591,675$307,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284,004 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Argentina | 47c | 354,428$165,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165,366.36 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Argentina | 47c | 352,442$165,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165,647.73 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…2d54backed Egypt | 56c | 264,918$148,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116,564.07 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50f0…5355backed Egypt | 53c | 208,761$110,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98,117.81 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Argentina | 47c | 134,418$62,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,850.05 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Argentina | 41c | 131,461$53,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,614.31 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…9dcbbacked Argentina | 49c | 102,041$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d06…7910backed Argentina | 48c | 100,000$48,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,000 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Argentina | 47c | 98,066$46,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,090.85 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Argentina | 44c | 78,627$34,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,611.54 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Argentina | 47c | 63,836$30,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,002.92 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…286abacked Argentina | 47c | 58,666$27,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,572.88 | 174 | 47.1%82 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Argentina | 13c | 44,709$5,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,866.6 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9896…a925backed Argentina | 48c | 40,996$19,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,678.17 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…3cd4backed Argentina | 47c | 40,293$19,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,000 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Egypt | 52c | 37,023$19,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,770.89 | 128 | 25.8%33 W · 95 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Egypt | 53c | 36,346$19,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,934.46 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Argentina | 48c | 34,885$16,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,744.8 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Egypt | 52c | 33,659$17,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,158.34 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Egypt | 53c | 31,988$16,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,034.29 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Argentina | 32c | 31,847$10,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,076.7 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Argentina | 42c | 30,031$12,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,733.28 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…d944backed Argentina | 32c | 30,000$9,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,700 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed Argentina | 48c | 25,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e5…7a2bbacked Argentina | 46c | 24,130$11,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,099.78 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a6…627bbacked Argentina | 49c | 20,408$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Egypt | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 178 | 52.2%93 W · 85 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa18d…9b51backed Argentina | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,399.96 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bf…4632backed Argentina | 48c | 18,952$9,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,096.93 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Egypt | 53c | 18,900$10,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,883 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Argentina | 47c | 18,749$8,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,812.11 | 227 | 52.4%119 W · 108 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4810…289abacked Egypt | 54c | 18,382$9,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,455.67 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5461…c1adbacked Argentina | 47c | 17,807$8,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,369.2 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7349…cc3abacked Argentina | 6c | 17,616$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.89 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Egypt | 58c | 17,360$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,359.92 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | +10.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Argentina | 15c | 16,839$2,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,476.37 | 372 | 23.4%87 W · 285 L | -25.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Argentina | 48c | 16,000$7,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,680 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafb0…8ee3backed Egypt | 53c | 15,094$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,094.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +199.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x580d…eb6dbacked Egypt | 51c | 15,064$7,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,381.2 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…91e7backed Egypt | 56c | 15,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,599.95 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…0824backed Argentina | 40c | 14,977$5,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,957.58 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Argentina | 47c | 13,479$6,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,335.13 | 148 | 43.2%64 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…950abacked Argentina | 48c | 13,000$6,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,240 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6f…1dfebacked Egypt | 54c | 12,963$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,962.96 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +10.1wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Egypt | 51c | 12,512$6,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,130.92 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d8…4cf8backed Argentina | 47c | 11,700$5,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,498.91 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Egypt | 52c | 10,664$5,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,118.72 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a4…097fbacked Argentina | 47c | 10,638$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe9…5f53backed Argentina | 14c | 10,502$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.28 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89ed…280cbacked Argentina | 48c | 10,430$5,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,006.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a79…b1a8backed Argentina | 48c | 10,417$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Argentina | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…e039backed Argentina | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 264 | 47.7%126 W · 138 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Argentina | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 414 | 29%120 W · 294 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355d…65e0backed Egypt | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Argentina | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.98 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b51…ad13backed Egypt | 53c | 9,434$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,433.96 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Egypt | 56c | 9,397$5,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,092.83 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1e…bb68backed Egypt | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.26 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…ea94backed Egypt | 55c | 9,091$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,090.91 | 137 | 25.5%35 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d5…157dbacked Argentina | 45c | 8,889$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Egypt | 54c | 8,833$4,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,094 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cf…1d5abacked Argentina | 36c | 8,694$3,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,156 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Argentina | 4c | 8,499$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.96 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…e4e0backed Egypt | 53c | 8,491$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,990.57 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Egypt | 77c | 8,422$6,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,939.38 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Egypt | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,760 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad1…9198backed Argentina | 47c | 8,000$3,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,760 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Argentina | 10c | 7,839$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.01 | 176 | 42%74 W · 102 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f6…4488backed Argentina | 48c | 7,560$3,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,628.77 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.34per pick | 52cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda19…c13bbacked Egypt | 55c | 7,282$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,282.36 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Argentina | 43c | 7,123$3,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,070.62 | 206 | 33%68 W · 138 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Egypt | 53c | 6,705$3,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,148.13 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe10f…e4aebacked Egypt | 70c | 6,536$4,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,945.78 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…2750backed Argentina | 44c | 6,517$2,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,867.29 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Argentina | 14c | 6,500$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.95 | 229 | 43.7%100 W · 129 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Argentina | 10c | 6,069$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.48 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Argentina | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd728…b1cbbacked Argentina | 44c | 5,750$2,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,530 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabff…9e8fbacked Egypt | 53c | 5,660$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.38 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Egypt | 80c | 5,561$4,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.86 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa698…db5ebacked Argentina | 47c | 5,552$2,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,609.44 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Egypt | 66c | 5,464$3,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.76 | 268 | 41.8%112 W · 156 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Argentina | 9c | 5,359$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.89 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51b3…3989backed Egypt | 54c | 5,317$2,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,428.65 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe991…48b1backed Argentina | 48c | 5,312$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 336 | 41.7%140 W · 196 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Argentina | 48c | 5,208$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 214 | 42.5%91 W · 123 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238c…57b1backed Egypt | 53c | 5,075$2,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,385.15 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Argentina | 8c | 5,066$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.41 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…c9a2backed Argentina | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Argentina | 4c | 5,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d3…804bbacked Argentina | 38c | 5,000$1,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,923 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…e275backed Egypt | 51c | 5,000$2,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,424.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Egypt | 53c | 4,680$2,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.75 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Argentina | 44c | 4,545$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6f…6c5cbacked Argentina | 44c | 4,545$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c2…bfe3backed Argentina | 18c | 4,540$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 87 | 10.3%9 W · 78 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)this page
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 2.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceArgentina won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Argentina (-5.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Egypt (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Egypt (-2.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Egypt (-3.5)Argentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.