Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Argentina (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x250a5e5f7a9041b568a0887108299561aa3eb7b4fd9c6efc680711982eb31e0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Egyptof Argentina, Egypt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $180,271
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $181,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,271 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Argentina | 8c | 48,424$3,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,835.51 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f62…d989backed Argentina | 9c | 12,000$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.99 | 128 | 10.9%14 W · 114 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28c2…bfe3backed Argentina | 2c | 9,314$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 87 | 10.3%9 W · 78 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Argentina | 5c | 7,320$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.14 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Argentina | 9c | 3,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Argentina | 9c | 2,696$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.38 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6096…0f9cbacked Argentina | 10c | 2,560$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Argentina | 2c | 2,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 312 | 32.4%101 W · 211 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Argentina | 8c | 2,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Argentina | 3c | 1,861$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.07 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf0…ff09backed Argentina | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +121.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Argentina | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f82…b06cbacked Argentina | 6c | 1,270$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.2 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Argentina | 9c | 1,170$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.3 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Argentina | 2c | 1,100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Argentina | 9c | 1,097$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.78 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Argentina | 8c | 1,019$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.52 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Argentina | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Argentina | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…793fbacked Argentina | 3c | 991.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Argentina | 5c | 976$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Argentina | 9c | 770.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.22 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Argentina | 10c | 763.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.1 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Argentina | 7c | 761.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…b180backed Argentina | 8c | 579.34$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked Argentina | 8c | 540$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 122 | 6.6%8 W · 114 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ddf1backed Argentina | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 270 | 34.4%93 W · 177 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…7ef8backed Argentina | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 31.8%35 W · 75 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Argentina | 8c | 499.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Argentina | 10c | 480$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…e17dbacked Argentina | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Argentina | 9c | 318.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 652 | 53.8%351 W · 301 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x899e…0b80backed Argentina | 9c | 302.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Argentina | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Argentina | 9c | 300$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 298 | 13.8%41 W · 257 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Argentina | 8c | 286.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Argentina | 9c | 286.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 727 | 22.7%165 W · 562 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc12e…7c8abacked Argentina | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ad…a4a5backed Argentina | 9c | 233.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66bc…25c9backed Argentina | 9c | 230$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 332 | 21.7%72 W · 260 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…f569backed Argentina | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 12.2%11 W · 79 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb36…a357backed Argentina | 9c | 211.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 72 | 11.1%8 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…0381backed Argentina | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1150…263bbacked Argentina | 10c | 190$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4e…4accbacked Argentina | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 81 | 21%17 W · 64 L | -9.3wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…c660backed Argentina | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c0…f73abacked Argentina | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Argentina (-3.5)this page
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 2.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceArgentina won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Argentina (-5.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Egypt (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Egypt (-2.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Egypt (-3.5)Argentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.