Spread: Argentina (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b10b428254e3bc6785b8c7e15b9ababf0d1981be2c412f061fe24fbdea38ef4

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Egyptof Argentina, Egypt
Resolved: Jul 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $719,932
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $740,010

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $719,932 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 255 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2c33…0563backed Egypt	76c	109,385$83,132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,252.32	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Egypt	79c	94,605$74,971 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,634.69	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d77…bcafbacked Argentina	24c	81,867$19,648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,647.97	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Argentina	24c	50,716$12,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,120.13	100	56%56 W · 44 L	+11.6wins	+0.12per pick	44cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Argentina	23c	39,000$8,970 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,970.03	207	31.4%65 W · 142 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Argentina	23c	37,232$8,731 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,730.66	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Argentina	19c	26,069$4,952 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,951.6	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…ea94backed Egypt	79c	18,884$15,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,883.7	137	25.5%35 W · 102 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9278…9a1bbacked Egypt	77c	16,883$13,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,883.12	154	53.9%83 W · 71 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Argentina	24c	14,434$3,464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,464.16	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfae4…299fbacked Argentina	6c	11,388$683 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$683.25	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	-4.3wins	-0.18per pick	39cpaid	-67.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Argentina	10c	11,178$1,087 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,086.95	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec6…50cdbacked Argentina	24c	10,000$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,400	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb46…fe05backed Argentina	25c	9,520$2,380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,380	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b38…1dccbacked Argentina	25c	9,520$2,380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,380	28	60.7%17 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6639…0e59backed Argentina	24c	7,853$1,885 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,884.68	57	17.5%10 W · 47 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Argentina	8c	6,292$528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$527.63	372	23.4%87 W · 285 L	-25.7wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x28c2…bfe3backed Argentina	6c	6,286$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	87	10.3%9 W · 78 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-58.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f1c…82c6backed Egypt	77c	5,600$4,312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,287.99	106	53.8%57 W · 49 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a06…3800backed Argentina	23c	4,348$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	45	28.9%13 W · 32 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x580e…38cdbacked Argentina	24c	4,167$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	167	39.5%66 W · 101 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Argentina	24c	4,000$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960	51	27.5%14 W · 37 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb909…c20bbacked Egypt	77c	3,753$2,890 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$863.29	74	45.9%34 W · 40 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1df…8a9cbacked Argentina	15c	3,720$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	52	23.1%12 W · 40 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Argentina	17c	3,616$612 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$611.86	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Egypt	76c	3,570$2,713 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$856.75	89	43.8%39 W · 50 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Argentina	25c	3,333$833 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$833.25	190	37.4%71 W · 119 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Egypt	77c	3,255$2,499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$755.36	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Argentina	22c	3,117$686 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$685.74	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Argentina	20c	3,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	385	26.8%103 W · 282 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20b8…aa04backed Argentina	18c	2,800$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504	29	20.7%6 W · 23 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Egypt	77c	2,500$1,928 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$571.66	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8263…e57ebacked Argentina	23c	2,300$529 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$529	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa117…a311backed Egypt	77c	2,280$1,755 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$525.2	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd34a…78c7backed Argentina	22c	2,273$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	137	21.2%29 W · 108 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Egypt	77c	2,217$1,711 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$505.85	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Argentina	6c	2,196$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.49	1,111	24.3%270 W · 841 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Egypt	76c	2,037$1,548 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$488.88	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd255…4676backed Egypt	76c	2,000$1,520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480	214	50.5%108 W · 106 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9865…57acbacked Argentina	21c	1,877$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	109	11%12 W · 97 L	-9.4wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-66%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Egypt	76c	1,708$1,297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$411.09	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Argentina	6c	1,666$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.98	1,019	31.6%322 W · 697 L	-10.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Argentina	9c	1,617$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Argentina	19c	1,579$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	352	44%155 W · 197 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82ff…64fbbacked Argentina	24c	1,536$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$368.73	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b8a…76a2backed Argentina	24c	1,508$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed Argentina	8c	1,461$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.91	27	7.4%2 W · 25 L	-3.2wins	-0.12per pick	19cpaid	-65.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Egypt	76c	1,316$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$315.88	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…2d14backed Egypt	77c	1,299$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$298.7	73	60.3%44 W · 29 L	+5.1wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Argentina	1c	1,298$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.77	698	26.1%182 W · 516 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5a…87efbacked Argentina	24c	1,250$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	25	40%10 W · 15 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	31cpaid	+57.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1851…7016backed Argentina	24c	1,250$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	42	69%29 W · 13 L	+7.5wins	+0.18per pick	51cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Egypt	76c	1,104$838 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265.59	977	42%410 W · 567 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Argentina	3c	1,083$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.49	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x76aa…58cebacked Egypt	76c	1,020$775 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244.74	97	60.8%59 W · 38 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Egypt	77c	1,000$770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230	303	45.2%137 W · 166 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x801d…d8e0backed Egypt	76c	999.98$760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240	59	30.5%18 W · 41 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Egypt	77c	999$769 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.77	97	70.1%68 W · 29 L	+12.0wins	+0.12per pick	58cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Egypt	76c	906.48$690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.32	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3554…d825backed Argentina	24c	893.58$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.46	35	8.6%3 W · 32 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-75.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Egypt	78c	838.31$654 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.43	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aac…c78fbacked Argentina	24c	833.33$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	150	56%84 W · 66 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Argentina	24c	833.33$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	145	28.3%41 W · 104 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Argentina	24c	833.33$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc1d9…5333backed Argentina	18c	833.33$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	107	57%61 W · 46 L	+5.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb81…1f15backed Egypt	76c	800$608 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192	240	45.4%109 W · 131 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8e5e…0381backed Argentina	24c	706.54$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.67	139	43.9%61 W · 78 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe10f…e4aebacked Egypt	76c	699.99$532 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168	144	54.2%78 W · 66 L	+9.8wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Egypt	77c	666.23$513 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.23	223	55.6%124 W · 99 L	+6.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Argentina	23c	652$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.96	716	38.4%275 W · 441 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56b2…b5c7backed Egypt	77c	649.35$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.35	84	52.4%44 W · 40 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf01d…fed2backed Argentina	23c	638.3$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.81	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Argentina	24c	625$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	144	28.5%41 W · 103 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Egypt	78c	613.52$481 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.34	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Argentina	20c	595.24$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.05	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Argentina	14c	552.26$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.94	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc820…49debacked Egypt	78c	512.82$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.82	56	66.1%37 W · 19 L	+5.2wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd028…e86abacked Argentina	24c	512.5$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123	94	29.8%28 W · 66 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked Egypt	79c	503.14$397 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.66	431	39%168 W · 263 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Egypt	77c	499.99$385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115	957	39.5%378 W · 579 L	-18.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Egypt	77c	499.99$385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115	289	45.3%131 W · 158 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacb…90cbbacked Argentina	5c	499.98$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	179	19%34 W · 145 L	+9.1wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa053…130fbacked Argentina	24c	458.33$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	311	29.6%92 W · 219 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Argentina	22c	447.77$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.51	193	17.1%33 W · 160 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc12e…7c8abacked Argentina	23c	434.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	56	28.6%16 W · 40 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4423…47fdbacked Argentina	23c	434.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	122	44.3%54 W · 68 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9067…8cf5backed Argentina	23c	434.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	71	35.2%25 W · 46 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Egypt	76c	416.69$317 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.01	527	44.4%234 W · 293 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dc7…f23cbacked Argentina	24c	416.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	25	40%10 W · 15 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…b651backed Argentina	24c	416.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	57	28.1%16 W · 41 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb68c…7ef8backed Argentina	24c	416.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	110	31.8%35 W · 75 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb1c…bd78backed Argentina	24c	416.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	142	35.2%50 W · 92 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa416…63f4backed Argentina	24c	416.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	124	52.4%65 W · 59 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03fc…3beabacked Egypt	76c	392.64$298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.23	83	49.4%41 W · 42 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	0%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8ec…2a07backed Argentina	7c	385.71$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3cf…9dc0backed Argentina	24c	380.84$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.4	120	42.5%51 W · 69 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1318…69afbacked Argentina	22c	363.64$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	180	28.3%51 W · 129 L	+5.1wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb36…a357backed Argentina	22c	363.64$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	72	11.1%8 W · 64 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Argentina	16c	351.06$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.9	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf39d…aa9dbacked Argentina	25c	345.07$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.6	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	+4.0wins	+0.12per pick	27cpaid	+54.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Argentina (-2.5)this page
Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 2.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5Under won
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5Under won
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5Under won
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5Under won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceArgentina won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Egypt won
Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Egypt won
Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Egypt won
Spread: Argentina (-5.5)Egypt won
Spread: Egypt (-1.5)Argentina won
Spread: Egypt (-2.5)Argentina won
Spread: Egypt (-3.5)Argentina won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Argentina (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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