TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf01d…fed2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
22
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 52 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Leo Team (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+193.2%+$666.37
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$143
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$615
Counter-Strike: JAM vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #1 Playoffsbacked LPH Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$167
Counter-Strike: ABT Esports vs 9INE (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 7backed ABT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$191
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffsbacked Betclic Apogee Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$133.57
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 2 Winnerbacked METANOIA WOLVES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs Brute (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group Cbacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$423.35
Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs SportsBetExpert (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffsbacked Chicken Coop Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$182
Counter-Strike: Brute vs NAVI Junior (BO1) - Urban Riga Open #6 Group Bbacked NAVI Junior · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$172
Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked DENDELE CS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$483.94
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffsbacked BESTIA Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+362.5%+$1,087.46
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs paiN Academy (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group Abacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.62
All 14 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Group Stagebacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$573Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$322.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$256
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$40.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-2.5)backed Los Angeles Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.