TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: B8 vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spiritof B8, Spirit
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$333,210
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$340,704

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $333,210 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd88…dadbbacked B819c21,156$3,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,969.6464852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed B811c17,889$1,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,967.841,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed B819c15,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,85050054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed B819c12,000$2,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,26075450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb99c…7e96backed B819c10,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.971650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed B815c8,000$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,214.971,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked B818c7,894$1,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,420.9221424.8%53 W · 161 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed B89c7,500$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68542142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked B819c6,253$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188.1219229.2%56 W · 136 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed B87c5,133$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.2113548.9%66 W · 69 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed B815c5,100$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.9230340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed Spirit80c5,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00037157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed B819c5,000$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.0637946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked B817c4,248$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.351,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4533…0adcbacked B819c4,200$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7784949%24 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked B819c4,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76014934.9%52 W · 97 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe46d…7e4dbacked B819c3,655$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.451952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0d7…a08abacked B818c3,314$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.871457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed B818c3,007$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.2557641.1%237 W · 339 L-21.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked B818c2,943$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.0210737.4%40 W · 67 L-0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed B88c2,905$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.3635054.6%191 W · 159 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3705…9677backed B819c2,632$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003033.3%10 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed B818c2,501$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.28951.7%46 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbadb…31a7backed B819c2,500$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46512344.7%55 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed B817c2,475$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.3869445%312 W · 382 L-24.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed B810c2,412$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.481,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3724…69b5backed B818c2,200$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3967943%34 W · 45 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed B819c2,100$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39954732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed B819c2,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38028843.1%124 W · 164 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6261…4adbbacked B820c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002552%13 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9897…c033backed Spirit80c2,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4007548%36 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked B819c2,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3802941.4%12 W · 17 L+4.8wins+0.16per pick25cpaid+84.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked B811c1,890$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.95444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc87…dd68backed B811c1,805$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-65.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed B818c1,700$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.622342.2%94 W · 129 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7337…1fafbacked B817c1,657$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.6219022.6%43 W · 147 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed B817c1,474$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.585,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71d6…7248backed B89c1,412$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.22810.7%3 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-74%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85fb…89babacked B818c1,400$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25211546.1%53 W · 62 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbaf…2a03backed B814c1,307$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.911341.6%47 W · 66 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4777…0e62backed B815c1,276$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-45.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc865…2f6ebacked B819c1,250$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.55425.9%14 W · 40 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-41.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfffe…4e6cbacked B819c1,200$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22627749.5%137 W · 140 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked B813c1,200$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1561,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed B812c1,109$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.642,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed B818c1,097$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.1414546.9%68 W · 77 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9147…baccbacked B819c1,023$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.327241.7%30 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked B820c1,017$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.7849536.4%180 W · 315 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed B819c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19055236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…ac87backed B821c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21016949.1%83 W · 86 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Spirit80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20025145.8%115 W · 136 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed B89c999.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9020949.3%103 W · 106 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed B88c976.25$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.144343.3%192 W · 251 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2772…ac19backed B819c960$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.48246.3%38 W · 44 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Spirit80c950.31$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.0661154.7%334 W · 277 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfb8…a470backed B813c871.35$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1103935.9%14 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf404…daaabacked B819c823.49$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.469933.3%33 W · 66 L-9.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-28.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa972…9817backed Spirit80c800$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1605172.5%37 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7525…fd3cbacked B820c799.48$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.93641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf01d…fed2backed B818c794.44$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1431421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked B812c792.15$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.552,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x682c…ef07backed B819c789.47$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015448.7%75 W · 79 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef4f…4598backed B813c772.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004040%16 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed B813c698.18$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.724,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e83…5e31backed B86c655$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc818…1da3backed B88c610$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.18925.8%23 W · 66 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-44.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfced…6116backed B819c596.58$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.3510640.6%43 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked B812c590.47$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.785,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa83f…b857backed B812c578.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4812749.6%63 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f24…3a09backed B819c577.89$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.83847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e3e…7d88backed B817c576.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004645.7%21 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae4…273ebacked B817c554.99$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.15825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-48.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x597d…b97dbacked B88c534.05$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448239%32 W · 50 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d5d…890cbacked B820c532.15$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.431118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-49.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65e6…42dcbacked B89c531.56$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8412727.6%35 W · 92 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked B819c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,04357.3%598 W · 445 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6281…e326backed B818c519.41$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.919940.4%40 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6c9…8bf1backed B819c507.16$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3612748%61 W · 66 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda4c…1cc2backed B819c504.32$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.824341.9%18 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed B819c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9597040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x626f…cdfabacked B815c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7531933.5%107 W · 212 L-0.8wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ca…8f43backed B818c488$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.8413840.6%56 W · 82 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a12…e633backed B814c485.38$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7030039.7%119 W · 181 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed B819c479.7$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.141,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3dc…4a67backed B820c479.7$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa417…9f8cbacked B819c466$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.541030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x806a…b7dabacked B815c458$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.552161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked B89c456.02$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0469624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cd2…1f27backed B819c450.74$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.6454439.7%216 W · 328 L-1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4dc…338abacked Spirit80c448.8$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.762157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed B818c439.97$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7668659.5%408 W · 278 L+65.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed B89c424$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.166546.2%30 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed B810c419.12$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7118624.2%45 W · 141 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf065…4b29backed B813c400$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0e4…dd38backed B815c397.01$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.337057%211 W · 159 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2bb…bd8ebacked B89c396.62$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1719236.5%70 W · 122 L-15.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-37.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb3f8…e0b1backed B819c368.42$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705742.1%24 W · 33 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+26.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf84d…8830backed Spirit80c360.3$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.066663.6%42 W · 24 L+7.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+22.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked B819c353.05$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.248948.9%239 W · 250 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ec2…82babacked B811c348$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.283938.5%15 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.