TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: B8 vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spiritof B8, Spirit
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$267,537
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$293,928

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $267,537 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed B815c27,088$3,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,986.481,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked B89c12,916$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.5322129.9%66 W · 155 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9166…b479backed B824c11,405$2,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,751.2610749.5%53 W · 54 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Spirit76c6,734$5,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,611.52,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c72…7e7ebacked Spirit77c4,380$3,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.42842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10d7…bbf6backed B815c4,124$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.5219468.6%133 W · 61 L+25.9wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+12.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4097…9397backed B817c3,660$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.23551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Spirit79c3,605$2,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.291,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked B84c3,485$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15552837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked B823c3,372$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.881,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdccf…faeabacked Spirit76c2,600$1,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6242369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+28.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x71d6…7248backed B88c2,495$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.622810.7%3 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-74%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Spirit76c2,400$1,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57640253.7%216 W · 186 L+25.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed B812c2,277$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.6269445%312 W · 382 L-24.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3885…2cd8backed B823c2,192$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015150.3%76 W · 75 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked B814c2,002$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.613,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked B824c1,891$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.6949536.4%180 W · 315 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Spirit79c1,500$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32138868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x22f6…eb09backed B820c1,500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3057844.9%35 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x421e…1e47backed B820c1,450$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.239023.3%21 W · 69 L-9.4wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-32.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked B815c1,396$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.0875245.3%341 W · 411 L-1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked B816c1,393$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.4522241.4%92 W · 130 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x051c…ca3fbacked B818c1,300$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.835847.5%170 W · 188 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed B817c1,220$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.417737.3%66 W · 111 L-16.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed Spirit73c1,101$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.3219061.6%117 W · 73 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed B819c1,100$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.75,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed B811c1,057$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.2761034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed B813c1,008$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.2740264.7%260 W · 142 L+49.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed B824c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed B814c999.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14037145.6%169 W · 202 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9279…4748backed B822c926.3$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.0519057.9%110 W · 80 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2bb…bd8ebacked B811c833.25$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.8919236.5%70 W · 122 L-15.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-37.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa76e…f812backed Spirit80c769.12$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.825446.3%25 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed B813c743.79$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.935,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed B825c650.86$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.0442651.6%220 W · 206 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x568b…4727backed Spirit75c645$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.252864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed B812c619.32$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.5410036%36 W · 64 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked B86c616.4$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9416142.9%69 W · 92 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1a5…ef08backed B812c586.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702552%13 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb9f…345cbacked Spirit77c540.26$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.262665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed B823c504.08$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.311,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed B89c500$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.52,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6be…a0f3backed Spirit75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12510449%51 W · 53 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x344e…019ebacked B82c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010014%14 W · 86 L-8.0wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-59.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8532…5fafbacked B823c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11525045.2%113 W · 137 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed B824c498.49$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.6414545.5%66 W · 79 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8407…4589backed B813c474.7$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.542133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c2d…dd1ebacked B813c452$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7639970.7%282 W · 117 L+38.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+14.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked B812c409.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.230223.2%70 W · 232 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed B825c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10044939.2%176 W · 273 L-0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f41…547cbacked Spirit77c400$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9224447.1%115 W · 129 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91c5…c7bbbacked Spirit77c389.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.615066%33 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa514…9c8fbacked Spirit72c378.13$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.025560%33 W · 22 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked B821c378$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3834542.3%146 W · 199 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Spirit76c326.32$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.3212259%72 W · 50 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2c50backed B814c322.08$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7672139.7%286 W · 435 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spirit75c309$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2161948%297 W · 322 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x850b…5493backed Spirit75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752050%10 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed Spirit80c260$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5241475.4%312 W · 102 L+22.1wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x95c2…421bbacked Spirit77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.747057.1%40 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked B818c227.78$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4135745.4%162 W · 195 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6a8…b1f7backed B818c222.78$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011944.5%53 W · 66 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked B825c219.57$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5364852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a89…3e2abacked B89c200$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.819747.2%93 W · 104 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Spirit75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.115854.4%86 W · 72 L-9.3wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fcb…4289backed Spirit79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4215052%78 W · 72 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ae…df49backed B812c199.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247944.3%35 W · 44 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf19…8869backed B825c192$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489034.4%31 W · 59 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa62b…58aabacked B825c189.06$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.619748.5%47 W · 50 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cd5…effdbacked B815c166.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-49.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20d7…2485backed B89c163.24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.367915.2%12 W · 67 L-8.9wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-56.5%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked B819c159.42$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.795,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked B810c153.55$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.574,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6b9…0a8bbacked Spirit76c119.73$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.542777.8%21 W · 6 L+5.4wins+0.20per pick58cpaid+30.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe22d…878fbacked Spirit77c119.25$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.433086.7%26 W · 4 L+7.4wins+0.25per pick62cpaid+42.7%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x382c…c88bbacked Spirit73c113.7$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.73164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked B813c110.77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.32,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6385…2afabacked B812c110$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3141516.6%69 W · 346 L-36.5wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-41.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4630…35c7backed B814c108.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked B813c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6472353.5%387 W · 336 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…5762backed B815c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517054.7%93 W · 77 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc6…4593backed B825c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259340.9%38 W · 55 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fc8…f527backed B814c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1448826.2%128 W · 360 L-44.3wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-30.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3108…8a52backed B825c98.63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9910446.2%48 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked Spirit76c94.31$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.056349.2%31 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0bd…5f54backed B814c92.86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139338.7%36 W · 57 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked B814c90$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8837922.2%84 W · 295 L-43.1wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-47.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf3ac…c9f4backed B815c85.12$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1324756.7%140 W · 107 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfb8…a470backed B825c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203935.9%14 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9034…5270backed B825c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9332…a3dbbacked B819c58.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1136639.9%146 W · 220 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Spirit76c51.67$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.451348.3%248 W · 265 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked B825c48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1217360.1%104 W · 69 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4cd…c041backed B824c47.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.46842.6%29 W · 39 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed B823c44.18$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1622053.2%117 W · 103 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd533…d6a1backed B825c44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1139840.5%161 W · 237 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Spirit74c43.07$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.236645.4%166 W · 200 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbbe…9fb7backed Spirit72c41.94$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9414953.7%80 W · 69 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa58f…cec8backed Spirit77c41.77$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.612157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd924…7bc2backed B825c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012143.8%53 W · 68 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.