TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcb9f…345c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
198
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5453.7%29 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$619Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$619
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$598Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$598
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+225.2%+$513.46
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$347
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$131.09
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,040
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+203%+$537.02
France vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$462
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+254%+$425.86
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$375
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$395.39
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$788Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$291.45
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$678Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,017
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$722Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$287.98
France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$441Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$440.6
France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$910Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$279.54
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$872Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$290.67
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$756Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+136.7%+$1,033.35
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$358.5
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.5
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$901Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$284.53
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$442Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$442
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+35%+$166.13
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT5350.9%27 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$143.83
Athletics vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.55
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,072Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,072
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+194.5%+$422.88
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$287
Athletics vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$179.72
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$92.35
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$403.76
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,457Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+28%+$408.61
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$730
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$223.11
San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$585
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankeesbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.5
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$473.67
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$591Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$253.29
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$113.35
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$460
San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$159.64
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankeesbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$687.18
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$319
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$612Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$612
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$512
Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$329
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$406Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$228.38
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$543Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$542.84
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,056Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,056
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+167.9%+$940.37
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$85.43
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$124.26
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$658.75
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$415.5
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$103.8
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$657Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$243.18
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.5
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic - Map 1 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$768Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$978.09
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$694Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$694
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$228
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$211.79
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$122.06
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$510
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$442Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+182.7%+$808.48
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,095Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$405
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$312.5
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$510.22
Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.5
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$423Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$406.89
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$96.14
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$136
Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$124
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$81.47
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+63%+$86.99
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$58.09
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$71.08
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$177.19
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$217
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$151.53
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.45
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,246Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,626.3
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,560
Sharks vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,551Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,551
Kings vs. Krakenbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$955Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$610.57
Avalanche vs. Oilersbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$843Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+82.9%+$698.62
Red Wings vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,336Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$784.4
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,190Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$826.95
Devils vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,122Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,122.4
All 20 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-55.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$549Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$548.8
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Iron Wing (+1.5)backed BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.5
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$206
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$483.7
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$266.5
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$347.7
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$599Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+157.7%+$944.44
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$427
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$778Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+90.4%+$703.74
Dota 2: OG vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked HULIGANI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Sky vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$264.22
PortlandFire vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$578Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$578
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Feverbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$823Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$928.06
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$870Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$274.74
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-64.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$57.62
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
LoL: LOS vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$311.61
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Croatia Open: Vit Kopriva vs Dino Prizmicbacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$352
Sinner vs. Zverev: Match O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$957Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,169.67
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
All 3 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+82.7%+$91.8
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$107
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-08-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$714Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$264.08
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.