TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,986
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,227

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,986 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under60c21,293$12,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,515.951,38650.6%702 W · 684 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under60c16,312$9,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,582.932,31052.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L+27.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Over40c8,074$3,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,241.651,84849.6%917 W · 931 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over40c7,500$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00021748.4%105 W · 112 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under59c6,944$4,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,812.5311,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under60c6,338$3,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,535.481,88453%998 W · 886 L+16.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bf1…b5afbacked Over40c5,845$2,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3386036.7%22 W · 38 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over40c4,770$1,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,905.876,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over41c4,119$1,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,681.714,51548.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L-46.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked Over40c2,764$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.3621550.2%108 W · 107 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Under59c2,703$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.3166250.2%332 W · 330 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f82…9ae1backed Under55c2,545$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.4523048.7%112 W · 118 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9f…345cbacked Over41c1,780$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7305350.9%27 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over40c1,542$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.432,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over41c1,321$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.336,12355.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L+346.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over39c1,170$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.21,63549.3%806 W · 829 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over42c1,123$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.351,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over40c1,120$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4482,37547.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb18c…694fbacked Over47c1,042$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.741822.2%4 W · 14 L-5.0wins-0.28per pick50cpaid-61.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x8efa…894cbacked Over39c1,025$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.7547745.7%218 W · 259 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over40c1,024$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.62,31151%1,179 W · 1,132 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over41c994.2$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.242,32949.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e7f…2d2dbacked Over50c855.6$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.8944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over39c850$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3355,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked Over39c763.65$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.821553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under59c737.67$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.868,40347.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L+76.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Over40c730$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29223738%90 W · 147 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Over39c669.34$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.6419248.4%93 W · 99 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5d8…a00bbacked Over39c668$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.522152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Over40c625$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25018741.2%77 W · 110 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over40c591.51$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.845545.7%208 W · 247 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over40c575$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.3612,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over45c523.85$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.8110,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Over41c494.75$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.8547552%247 W · 228 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over41c492$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.7273650.7%373 W · 363 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over39c469.12$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.9641346.7%193 W · 220 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4087…048bbacked Over61c465$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.656055%33 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x31ed…552ebacked Under49c464.02$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.652937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Under59c458.64$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.9187850.5%443 W · 435 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Over40c448.1$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.2413458.2%78 W · 56 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over42c400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1681,21953.9%657 W · 562 L+32.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over42c368.94$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.92,58861.5%1,591 W · 997 L+72.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over38c343.6$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.128,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb15c…604abacked Under63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.461866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Over31c299.68$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.91,93941.2%799 W · 1,140 L-30.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over48c294.17$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.893,04148%1,461 W · 1,580 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over41c268.31$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.013,84142.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd3c…35cfbacked Over40c256$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.413853.6%74 W · 64 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Over41c246$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8639953.6%214 W · 185 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b1d…a01abacked Under61c245.9$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.96152.5%32 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Over40c245.6$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.248045%36 W · 44 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Over42c241.91$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8639051.5%201 W · 189 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd34e…c973backed Under59c199.97$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.991973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.7wins+0.20per pick54cpaid+35.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over40c185$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.539253.6%210 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90fe…b7b8backed Over41c140.85$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.753557.1%20 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under61c129$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.311,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Over36c125.17$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5359534.5%205 W · 390 L-22.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Over41c120$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.27761%47 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Over40c112.72$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5835747.6%170 W · 187 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Over41c110.75$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0313345.9%61 W · 72 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x796f…00f6backed Under60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4028245.7%129 W · 153 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe707…e0cfbacked Under61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3913864.5%89 W · 49 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x402a…624fbacked Under59c99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5922949.8%114 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Under59c98.29$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4288656.4%500 W · 386 L+30.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6b5…2a6cbacked Over41c97.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-46.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b9d…3373backed Over61c96.48$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.851947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Under65c96.39$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1914336.4%52 W · 91 L-9.9wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-36.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x833c…ac24backed Under58c86.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.29549.5%47 W · 48 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcebf…832ebacked Under59c85$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.853956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over40c83$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.791,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked Over42c78.59$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9641048.3%198 W · 212 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ede…23e5backed Over39c72.46$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.261637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…ef8bbacked Under61c68.85$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.852263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+25.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Over38c68.45$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0121449.5%106 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Under59c68$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8822652.2%118 W · 108 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7822…9348backed Over39c61.38$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.94812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick43cpaid-71.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Over41c61.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8449551.9%257 W · 238 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x657c…66a3backed Over40c52$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.89255.4%51 W · 41 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x88fb…db3abacked Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2074143.5%322 W · 419 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb675…779fbacked Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31ff…7b20backed Over40c48.6$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.442138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-27.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x360a…1098backed Over40c46$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.43855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x91e9…aa24backed Under54c38.56$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.741877.8%14 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d10…b3d0backed Over39c38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.825046%23 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Over40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1537048.9%181 W · 189 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdfc…6690backed Under59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.91968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Over42c33.43$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0433148.6%161 W · 170 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bd…f540backed Under56c30.68$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.513451.5%69 W · 65 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Under58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.634443.9%151 W · 193 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4be8…26adbacked Over41c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.2wins+0.40per pick48cpaid+82.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7302…d7f4backed Over39c28.21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Over41c24.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.053033.3%10 W · 20 L-5.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-38.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under59c22.87$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2883854.7%458 W · 380 L+29.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a98…639dbacked Under59c22.03$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0330960.2%186 W · 123 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd4b2…e698backed Over56c20.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.530%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under62c20.18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.675,81243.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L-188.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Under61c17.03$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.691,27857%728 W · 550 L+33.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff70…78abbacked Under60c16.93$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.771872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.9wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+44.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.