MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e545a3a51738903a41442c98851f2e55d61c0db5d3f5a270bee8cf1898bb174
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 60c | 21,293$12,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,515.95 | 1,386 | 50.6%702 W · 684 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 60c | 16,312$9,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,582.93 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 40c | 8,074$3,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,241.65 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 40c | 7,500$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 59c | 6,944$4,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,812.53 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 60c | 6,338$3,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,535.48 | 1,884 | 53%998 W · 886 L | +16.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…b5afbacked Over | 40c | 5,845$2,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,338 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 40c | 4,770$1,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905.87 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 41c | 4,119$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.71 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Over | 40c | 2,764$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.36 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Under | 59c | 2,703$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.31 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Under | 55c | 2,545$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.45 | 230 | 48.7%112 W · 118 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…345cbacked Over | 41c | 1,780$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 40c | 1,542$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.43 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 41c | 1,321$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.33 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 39c | 1,170$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.2 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 42c | 1,123$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.35 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 40c | 1,120$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…694fbacked Over | 47c | 1,042$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.74 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -5.0wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 39c | 1,025$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.75 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 40c | 1,024$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.6 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 41c | 994.2$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.24 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…2d2dbacked Over | 50c | 855.6$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 39c | 850$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Over | 39c | 763.65$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.82 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 59c | 737.67$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.86 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 40c | 730$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 237 | 38%90 W · 147 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 39c | 669.34$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.64 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…a00bbacked Over | 39c | 668$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.52 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 40c | 591.51$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.8 | 455 | 45.7%208 W · 247 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 40c | 575$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.36 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 45c | 523.85$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.81 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 41c | 494.75$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.85 | 475 | 52%247 W · 228 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 41c | 492$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.72 | 736 | 50.7%373 W · 363 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 39c | 469.12$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.96 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked Over | 61c | 465$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.65 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ed…552ebacked Under | 49c | 464.02$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.65 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 59c | 458.64$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.91 | 878 | 50.5%443 W · 435 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Over | 40c | 448.1$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.24 | 134 | 58.2%78 W · 56 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 1,219 | 53.9%657 W · 562 L | +32.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 42c | 368.94$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.9 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 38c | 343.6$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.12 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…604abacked Under | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 31c | 299.68$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.9 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 48c | 294.17$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.89 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 41c | 268.31$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Over | 40c | 256$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.4 | 138 | 53.6%74 W · 64 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Over | 41c | 246$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.86 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1d…a01abacked Under | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Over | 40c | 245.6$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.24 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Over | 42c | 241.91$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.86 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34e…c973backed Under | 59c | 199.97$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.99 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 40c | 185$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 392 | 53.6%210 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90fe…b7b8backed Over | 41c | 140.85$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 61c | 129$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.31 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 36c | 125.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 595 | 34.5%205 W · 390 L | -22.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Over | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Over | 40c | 112.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.58 | 357 | 47.6%170 W · 187 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Over | 41c | 110.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.03 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 282 | 45.7%129 W · 153 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Under | 59c | 99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 59c | 98.29$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.42 | 886 | 56.4%500 W · 386 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b5…2a6cbacked Over | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…3373backed Over | 61c | 96.48$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Under | 65c | 96.39$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 143 | 36.4%52 W · 91 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed Under | 58c | 86.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcebf…832ebacked Under | 59c | 85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 40c | 83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Over | 42c | 78.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…23e5backed Over | 39c | 72.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…ef8bbacked Under | 61c | 68.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Over | 38c | 68.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Under | 59c | 68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 226 | 52.2%118 W · 108 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7822…9348backed Over | 39c | 61.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 43cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 41c | 61.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Over | 40c | 52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 741 | 43.5%322 W · 419 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb675…779fbacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ff…7b20backed Over | 40c | 48.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Over | 40c | 46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e9…aa24backed Under | 54c | 38.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Over | 39c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Over | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 370 | 48.9%181 W · 189 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfc…6690backed Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 42c | 33.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…f540backed Under | 56c | 30.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Under | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be8…26adbacked Over | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 48cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7302…d7f4backed Over | 39c | 28.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Over | 41c | 24.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 59c | 22.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 838 | 54.7%458 W · 380 L | +29.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Under | 59c | 22.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 309 | 60.2%186 W · 123 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b2…e698backed Over | 56c | 20.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 62c | 20.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 61c | 17.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 1,278 | 57%728 W · 550 L | +33.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff70…78abbacked Under | 60c | 16.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5this page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee BrewersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.