TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6b1d…a01a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
125
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 52 out of 100; worst NFL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT6152.5%32 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Twins vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$50.37
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$28.64
Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
New York Mets vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$55.37
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+79.9%+$51.91
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$101.98
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$53.18
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+71.3%+$49.91
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.5
San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$52.81
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT5257.7%30 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cinabacked Federico Cina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Winston-Salem Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Benjamin Bonzibacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US Open, Qualification WTA: Madison Brengle vs Anastasia Gasanovabacked Madison Brengle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$82.12
Monterrey Open: Lilli Tagger vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Lilli Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Winston-Salem Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Darwin Blanchbacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$78.81
Winston-Salem Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Winston-Salem Open: Francisco Comesana vs Yibing Wubacked Yibing Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Dhakshineswar Sureshbacked Dhakshineswar Suresh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Lanlana Tararudee vs Maria Timofeevabacked Lanlana Tararudee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Gorzny vs. Polmans: Match O/U 23.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$70.49
Borges vs. Nakashima: Match O/U 23.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$43.33
Shnaider vs. Rybakina: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Kostyuk vs. Andreeva: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$51.07
Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Waltonbacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$43.45
Nakashima vs. Medvedev: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+79.6%+$79.64
Cincinnati Open: Michael Zheng vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$33.75
Eala vs. Anisimova: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$53.21
Cincinnati Open: Alexandra Eala vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Amanda Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$51.11
Cincinnati Open: Linda Noskova vs Clara Tausonbacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.3
Cincinnati Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$57.65
Valentova vs. Svitolina: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Cincinnati Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Katerina Siniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$60
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fery vs James Duckworthbacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$55.38
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFLlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jaguars vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Dolphins vs. Commandersbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$557Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$557.49
Spread: CIN (-6.5)backed CIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KÍ vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$47.14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.