NFL · resolved market
Dolphins vs. Commanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc237f89d8e90d39f2706465db1778ea29b8fe02264df5e1d37c5aff4ae8ff5ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Commandersof Dolphins, Commanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Commanders | 37c | 65,630$24,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,550.18 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e74…5972backed Dolphins | 63c | 60,000$37,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,799.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Dolphins | 64c | 7,500$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.98 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Commanders | 36c | 7,277$2,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,667.15 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Dolphins | 70c | 6,719$4,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,711.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Commanders | 35c | 6,035$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,894.67 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Commanders | 49c | 4,401$2,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,262.19 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Dolphins | 47c | 4,301$2,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.01 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Dolphins | 63c | 2,842$1,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790.77 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Dolphins | 62c | 2,545$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Commanders | 44c | 2,521$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.64 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6129…0807backed Dolphins | 75c | 2,225$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.75 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Dolphins | 16c | 2,000$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.1 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Commanders | 79c | 1,392$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.8 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Dolphins | 63c | 1,364$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.35 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Commanders | 35c | 1,145$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.56 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Dolphins | 28c | 1,067$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Commanders | 22c | 901$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.78 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1d…a01abacked Dolphins | 63c | 878.19$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…4091backed Commanders | 38c | 758.82$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.77 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Dolphins | 63c | 750$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.5 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1be7…a6e3backed Dolphins | 16c | 613.82$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Commanders | 25c | 609.88$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.41 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Commanders | 79c | 574.58$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.77 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Commanders | 32c | 500$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 35cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…a2ebbacked Commanders | 29c | 480.91$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfec…774abacked Dolphins | 53c | 470.11$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e4…a1adbacked Commanders | 59c | 459.99$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Dolphins | 39c | 431.51$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.17 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Commanders | 36c | 428.08$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.97 | 148 | 50%74 W · 74 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Commanders | 38c | 368.68$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.68 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Dolphins | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Commanders | 43c | 296.62$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.9 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…a0fdbacked Commanders | 37c | 280$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.4 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb781…9ba9backed Commanders | 38c | 270$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.4 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Commanders | 38c | 250$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Dolphins | 57c | 220.5$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.69 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea53…e1ebbacked Commanders | 37c | 216.22$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +135.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Commanders | 53c | 210.51$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.51 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…4b0dbacked Commanders | 29c | 208.28$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.88 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +117%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Dolphins | 58c | 208.21$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.12 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec05…a6e8backed Commanders | 41c | 193.59$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba4…f918backed Commanders | 48c | 189.17$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.17 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44e…284abacked Commanders | 48c | 189.17$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.17 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Commanders | 36c | 176$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.8 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…06b3backed Dolphins | 47c | 168.09$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Dolphins | 61c | 164.33$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.86 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1602…fbb0backed Dolphins | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x709d…f749backed Dolphins | 65c | 154$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa7…089dbacked Dolphins | 63c | 146.49$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.29 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Dolphins | 57c | 135.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.51 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…fadabacked Commanders | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c67…a0e0backed Commanders | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Dolphins | 10c | 101.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…3158backed Commanders | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe814…be87backed Commanders | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Dolphins | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Commanders | 28c | 97.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.74 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Dolphins | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ab…1bbdbacked Dolphins | 27c | 86.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Commanders | 43c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +10.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Dolphins | 63c | 79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 207 | 60.9%126 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Dolphins | 63c | 71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c21…be9ebacked Dolphins | 32c | 54.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a6…6673backed Commanders | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Commanders | 39c | 52.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.09 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…4a24backed Dolphins | 63c | 50.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Commanders | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Commanders | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c6…92e9backed Dolphins | 23c | 49.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Dolphins | 25c | 49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Commanders | 26c | 48.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Dolphins | 49c | 40.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe087…bc81backed Dolphins | 45c | 39.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe28d…9c81backed Dolphins | 44c | 39.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…2e66backed Commanders | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Dolphins | 58c | 38.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked Dolphins | 54c | 37.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Commanders | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9207…d26ebacked Dolphins | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Dolphins | 55c | 30.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Dolphins | 60c | 30.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Dolphins | 56c | 30.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c80…814bbacked Dolphins | 48c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Commanders | 39c | 28.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Dolphins | 61c | 28.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Dolphins | 52c | 27.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Dolphins | 63c | 17.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Dolphins | 78c | 15.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dolphins vs. Commandersthis page
- MIA vs. WAS: O/U 36.5Under won
- MIA vs. WAS: O/U 37.5Under won
- Spread: MIA (-2.5)WAS won
- Spread: MIA (-3.5)WAS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.