TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7fa7…089d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
303
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst MLB at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT9851%50 W · 48 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 98 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.47
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$28.4
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.75
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.37
Kentucky Wildcats vs. West Virginia Mountaineers (W)backed West Virginia Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.2
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.65
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.31
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.07
Maryland Terrapins vs. North Carolina Tar Heels (W)backed North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$14
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.93
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.41
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.78
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Georgia Bulldogs (W)backed Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+142.2%+$81.68
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.94
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.25
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.81
Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.38
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$44.77
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked McNeese State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.71
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.32
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.46
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$22.21
UIC Flames vs. California Golden Bearsbacked California Golden Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$16.68
Bradley Braves vs. Dayton Flyersbacked Dayton Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.35
Showing 25 of 98 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT6050%30 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.55
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.24
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$380.34
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$10.45
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 9INE (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffsbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.71
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.61
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$79.66
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$73.04
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23
Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$27.66
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group Bbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.55
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Wildcard (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Counter-Strike: Serbia vs Romania (BO3) - Esports Nations Cup East European Qualifier Playoffsbacked Serbia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.24
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$266.48
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$165.94
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$46.42
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs 3DMAX (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$43.34
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sinners (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$132.89
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs BIG (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.12
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.51
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20.76
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.71
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT4942.9%21 W · 28 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$19.32
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$374.11
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.5
Detroit Tigers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Boston Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$40.34
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.4
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20.41
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$43.37
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$77.56
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.45
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.96
Seattle Mariners vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.24
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.22
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.29
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.46
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.74
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.11
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Texas Rangersbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$17.28
Chicago White Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$22.76
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.85
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.34
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT3847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Valorant: SK Nebula vs FOKUS Sakura (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked FOKUS Sakura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$128.72
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.18
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.85
Valorant: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.56
Valorant: Trace Esports vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.54
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.81
Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$79.02
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.48
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Azure Dragon Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Swiss Stage Group Stagebacked Azure Dragon Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$79.5
Valorant: Paper Rex vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.02
Valorant: BBL Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$21.66
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$17.2
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+38.9%+$3.92
Valorant: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+54.5%+$14.71
Valorant: NRG vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+56.3%+$7.2
Valorant: MIBR vs G2 Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+72.4%+$36.21
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Fnatic (BO5) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
Valorant: Paper Rex vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+40.8%+$14.5
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+67.3%+$10.46
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2070%14 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+36.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.6
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.13
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$10.77
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$39.97
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.21
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.24
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.59
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$56.33
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.21
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.07
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$109.13
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.77
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$78
Clippers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$10.93
Mavericks vs. Pacersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.4
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+170.3%+$70.56
Jazz vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+81.8%+$32.18
Knicks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.6
Celtics vs. Clippersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+100%+$20.5
All 20 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dolphins vs. Commandersbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.29
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+443.5%+$489.6
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+92.3%+$107.28
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$26.1
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+63.4%+$76.43
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$16.2
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$50.4
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+203%+$115.86
Spread: Patriots (-13.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$26.51
Saints vs. Falconsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$34.38
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$21.18
All 12 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick43cpaid+92.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-36.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-32.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-67.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Liberty vs. Indiana Feverbacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.54
Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$90.8
Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.96
Las Vegas Aces vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.64
Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Skybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.98
All 5 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$110.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF América win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.