Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Kentucky Wildcats vs. West Virginia Mountaineers (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1df6e0e2031a6639b4d7018dfeda9371e8736a005ca7fa4c814504639a1e3506
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kentucky Wildcatsof Kentucky Wildcats, West Virginia Mountaineers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,003 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9410…ffcdbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 12c | 6,890$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.74 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 2c | 3,314$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.28 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…bb93backed Kentucky Wildcats | 74c | 3,000$2,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.17 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Kentucky Wildcats | 79c | 1,956$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.39 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 42c | 1,834$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.69 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 25c | 1,608$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.34 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…4ea1backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 22c | 1,364$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 17c | 1,098$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.08 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 2c | 1,075$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 6c | 782.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 59c | 699.38$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…b3b6backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 47c | 568.3$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.1 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 48c | 518.8$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.77 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Kentucky Wildcats | 46c | 499$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.5 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…1e38backed Kentucky Wildcats | 36c | 493.24$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.24 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 39c | 482.97$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.61 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 48c | 387.62$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.74 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 43c | 346.97$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 63c | 317.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 56c | 307.13$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.99 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 18c | 302.78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 10c | 300$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 37c | 292.58$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.33 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 18c | 247.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7e01backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 20c | 183.62$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 9c | 178.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Kentucky Wildcats | 73c | 177.6$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.78 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Kentucky Wildcats | 79c | 172.07$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.41 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 19c | 168.86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…898bbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 29c | 153$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bff…267ebacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 18c | 143$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 68c | 142$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Kentucky Wildcats | 76c | 138.44$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fb…ffbcbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 80c | 121.78$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a51…cfeebacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0b…94d1backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 20c | 103.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 18c | 98.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3c…b4f5backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 45c | 90.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 38c | 85$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 133 | 56.4%75 W · 58 L | +10.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a403backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 63c | 84.59$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.93 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x301c…241fbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 17c | 79.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 22c | 61.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 254 | 38.2%97 W · 157 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa7…089dbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…a81dbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 25c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.34per pick | 56cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x71e1…45f0backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 44c | 44.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 70c | 43.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 51c | 43.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6524…29b2backed Kentucky Wildcats | 38c | 34.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +183.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76a3…2aa6backed Kentucky Wildcats | 36c | 30.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8b…e69ebacked Kentucky Wildcats | 54c | 27.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 61c | 26.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551d…2f55backed Kentucky Wildcats | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Kentucky Wildcats | 80c | 23.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Kentucky Wildcats | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…3bbdbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…7d23backed Kentucky Wildcats | 69c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079c…a211backed Kentucky Wildcats | 69c | 19.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed Kentucky Wildcats | 66c | 15.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Kentucky Wildcats | 76c | 15.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.