TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x71e1…45f0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
223
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst Us Midterms at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT5437%20 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$5,490Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,490.38
Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Auburn Tigersbacked Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15,154Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+61.8%+$9,365.36
South Carolina Gamecocks vs. UCLA Bruins (W)backed UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+32%+$50.8
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-1.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$725Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+108.6%+$787.72
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 157.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$788Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$819.66
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$7,299Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+97.3%+$7,100.93
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-1.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,471Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,470.7
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$7,566Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,566.2
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 139.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,042Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,041.55
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,131Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+261.2%+$5,567.51
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.39
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,296Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,296
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,434Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,434.39
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,292Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,292.31
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-3.5)backed Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,461Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,460.77
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 140.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,521Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,521.07
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-2.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$39.66
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-1.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$774Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+86.3%+$668.16
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 134.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,839Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+113.4%+$2,085.01
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 135.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+66%+$265.45
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,974Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,974.46
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 172.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,089Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+102.3%+$2,137.6
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$545Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$544.84
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT2536%9 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick30cpaid-27.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.84
Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.22
Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$304.92
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$566Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$566.03
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.64
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.91
Will Christopher Waller dissent the next Fed Decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.98
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$150.77
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,185Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$2,185.44
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$50.94
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.55
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$228.5
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,601Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,600.98
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$93
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23,429Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+155.7%+$36,469.23
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,492Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,491.64
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$6,043Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,043.46
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$495.7
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$7,661Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,660.75
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,978Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+46.1%+$911.81
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+127.3%+$162.96
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,469Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT+110.6%+$2,731.04
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$6,923Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT+104.3%+$7,217.67
US inflation >0.3% from March to April 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2024, EDT+139.4%+$178.68
All 25 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10,167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,167
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$4,090Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,089.85
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$4,189Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+191.5%+$8,021.34
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$901Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+235.8%+$2,124.32
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,742Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,742.14
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.35
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons backed Cavs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+165.7%+$1,193.55
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.6
76ers vs. Celtics: 1H Moneylinebacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.69
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.48
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$733Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$351.62
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.55
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$691Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+110.1%+$761.34
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.05
Cavaliers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$594Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$593.99
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,862Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,862
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,592Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$2,808
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$7,060Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+130.9%+$9,238.65
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$839.99
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.71
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$112.49
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$175.43
All 23 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$8,844Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+142.8%+$12,632.24
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,963Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,962.55
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,062Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$738
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,124Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$576
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,483Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$713.14
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$679.85
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.76
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,174Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$1,556.17
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$626Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$311.63
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.44
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.75
Will FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.67
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+42.9%+$27
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$47.24
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,430Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,430.45
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$478Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$477.64
Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,652Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,652.43
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF W35 Erwitte Women: Chelsea Fontenel vs Katerina Tsygourovabacked Katerina Tsygourova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,093Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,092.91
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,582Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$413.02
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.92
Will Matteo Arnaldi win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.13
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$272.27
Will Diana Shnaider win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.39
Campinas: Pedro Sakamoto vs Alvaro Guillen Mezabacked Alvaro Guillen Meza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+65.2%+$86.87
Mexico City: Beibit Zhukayev vs Corentin Denollybacked Beibit Zhukayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$60.34
Madrid: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Carol Young Suh Leebacked Oksana Selekhmeteva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$27.29
Mexico City: Nicolas Mejia vs Vladyslav Orlovbacked Nicolas Mejia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$381Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$129.93
Sarasota: Daniel Galan vs Garrett Johnsbacked Garrett Johns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$45.85
Tigre: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Stefan Palosibacked Taverna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$134.52
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Coco Gauff vs Elise Mertensbacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+27.1%+$19.2
Delray Beach Open: Adam Walton vs Gabriel Diallobacked Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.56
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Katerina Siniakova vs Paula Badosabacked Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+37%+$26.73
All 16 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+42.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,164Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+267.5%+$5,788.93
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$832Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$248.4
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,813Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,812.6
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,474Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$1,926
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$604Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$604
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,440Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$360
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,652Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$1,446.36
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,634Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+146.3%+$5,318.14
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,206Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+103.7%+$1,250.91
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,043Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+246.3%+$2,569.57
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10,173Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+26%+$2,640.15
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$886Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$885.91
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$3,612Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,612.13
All 13 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-49.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
Will Steve Hershey win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.28
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.63
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$156.21
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$32.08
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,554Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+51.4%+$798.79
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-41.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick22cpaid+78.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-46.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2024, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+39.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$62.73
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saski Baskonia vs. KK Crvena Zvezdabacked Saski Baskonia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$12.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.33
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.