TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Us Midterms · resolved market

Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$352,278
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$359,138

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $352,278 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 343 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes70c30,123$21,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,035.5731534%107 W · 208 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes29c25,000$7,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,154.055738.6%22 W · 35 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No37c19,052$7,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,921.1114729.9%44 W · 103 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Yes79c13,924$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,000.115150.3%76 W · 75 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes70c11,993$8,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,385.7534333.5%115 W · 228 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-30%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x708d…ea78backed No17c11,275$1,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,351.46757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick34cpaid+70%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No32c5,740$1,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,902.118237.4%68 W · 114 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-30.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes3c5,183$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.23378.1%3 W · 34 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick22cpaid-86.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No39c5,149$1,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,156.3710245.1%46 W · 56 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No28c3,968$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,851.96137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick18cpaid-72.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1ca…1705backed No65c3,800$2,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.718042.5%34 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+40.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f9e…4f1abacked No30c3,574$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,512.9722833.8%77 W · 151 L+13.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+52.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5d…1614backed Yes15c3,530$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.117448.6%36 W · 38 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b9d…74f5backed Yes66c3,501$2,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,322.611233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed No8c3,440$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,160.3218026.1%47 W · 133 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No32c3,041$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,064.058149.4%40 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked No8c2,683$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,471.43920.5%8 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick12cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x853c…bd03backed Yes10c2,682$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.241060%6 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb14…bd17backed Yes56c2,606$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.772245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc954…6609backed No43c2,602$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,486.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+70.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6ea…c5fabacked No16c2,400$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0162100%2 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+625.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc3e…37efbacked Yes52c2,380$1,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.4450%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe32b…626ebacked No32c2,343$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,593.242025%5 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa37a…a9e7backed Yes69c2,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,380366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+68%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa328…4977backed No43c1,914$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.1710739.3%42 W · 65 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8575…87febacked No28c1,880$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,348.812045%9 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+39.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked No31c1,878$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,295.796750.7%34 W · 33 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46b4…72e9backed No28c1,864$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.18366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick24cpaid+165.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No28c1,846$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,323.2911522.6%26 W · 89 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-42.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf92c…87f7backed Yes50c1,800$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9091650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8d3…729cbacked Yes68c1,800$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,223.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-37.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9efd…ad00backed Yes75c1,706$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.54616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No44c1,657$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.4310340.8%42 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60fd…89a9backed No9c1,600$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457.673910.3%4 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick6cpaid+44.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed No15c1,478$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,260.2315431.2%48 W · 106 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No51c1,458$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.923751.4%19 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+20.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8444…1cf9backed No18c1,431$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.732429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid+24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No72c1,381$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.1810947.7%52 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No24c1,339$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.818234.1%28 W · 54 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes69c1,337$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.62634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea4c…9f3bbacked Yes2c1,300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.37666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+86.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8107…f934backed Yes70c1,215$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No44c1,197$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.068740.2%35 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes61c1,181$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.8313625.7%35 W · 101 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9c7…4e5bbacked Yes76c1,161$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.07250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf27d…e6d3backed Yes28c1,129$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.386322.2%14 W · 49 L+0.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid-38.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x100a…0919backed Yes73c1,106$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.55837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No52c1,098$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.7617140.4%69 W · 102 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked No8c1,096$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.494533.3%15 W · 30 L+7.5wins+0.17per pick17cpaid+43.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x274e…648cbacked Yes32c1,082$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.384953.1%26 W · 23 L+10.8wins+0.22per pick31cpaid+87.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x93a9…0b88backed Yes43c1,062$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.753243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5529…e5b9backed Yes58c1,056$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.3122948.9%112 W · 117 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fe9…8308backed Yes66c999.99$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes47c968$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.9121033.3%70 W · 140 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Yes50c944.95$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.375111.8%6 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick12cpaid-75.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x871c…a84fbacked No18c900$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7382100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+242.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03e1…e180backed No11c865.36$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.522157.1%12 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+86.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes14c839.27$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.921020%2 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-44.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes65c739.21$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.0233238.6%128 W · 204 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes47c709.92$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.3916544.2%73 W · 92 L+10.8wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8b9…b836backed No63c704.71$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.237749.4%38 W · 39 L+9.3wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+34.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x45e1…5934backed Yes78c703.87$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.891471.4%10 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick75cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x38a8…865abacked No11c699$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.1425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+127.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf01…c782backed No9c679.41$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.06425%1 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick6cpaid+191.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd32c…a4c2backed No71c655.92$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.06837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-48.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes33c621.52$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.133928.2%11 W · 28 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-29.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed No42c612$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.583145.2%14 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Yes72c609.7$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.933336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf055…ccddbacked No30c600$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes79c600$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked No9c600$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5481042.9%3 W · 101 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-63.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x865d…16bdbacked Yes55c599.99$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+34.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2282…73e8backed Yes68c591.73$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.221040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e0…43b9backed Yes80c563.23$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid+0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed No54c554.82$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.457534.7%26 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-37.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9b5…9db1backed No28c551.06$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.463834.2%13 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked No30c537$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.662352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc624…ee24backed Yes72c521.42$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.466355.6%35 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed No9c514.09$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.68816.2%5 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick7cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes11c500.2$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.723920.5%8 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Yes55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2752128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-48.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes75c500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3752927.6%8 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6291…cc47backed Yes79c500$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39524433.2%81 W · 163 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x18c6…a105backed Yes78c499.99$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked Yes77c477.22$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.949343%40 W · 53 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a3…9b79backed No10c471.77$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.59757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+102.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked No33c469$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.231442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7491…ada0backed No76c460$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.62259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+22.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x10b2…4cebbacked No23c459.85$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.815018%9 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-32.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Yes32c457$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.248831.8%28 W · 60 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-29.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9163…82aebacked Yes79c450$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.514019.3%27 W · 113 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed Yes57c440.35$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.152360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd76…77bdbacked No25c426.21$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.43043.3%13 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No41c414.31$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.0213143.5%57 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0778…73d1backed Yes62c412.53$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.773030%9 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3713…14e8backed Yes77c410.8$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.85250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+117.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x028f…d434backed Yes79c410.14$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29d3…b2edbacked No20c400$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3202142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+61.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed Yes70c400$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2807326%19 W · 54 L-10.6wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-39%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes79c400$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3165750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.