TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd9b5…9db1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,475
Categories scored
32
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT88650.2%445 W · 441 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 886 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.73
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+116.6%+$115.75
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.03
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.4
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.85
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.22
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.1
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$10.6
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$14.24
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+42%+$31.01
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$25.03
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+166.8%+$70.02
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on June 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$12
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.75
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+89.4%+$41.95
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.97
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.47
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on June 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+62.7%+$7.63
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$4.52
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+155.3%+$48.66
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.63
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$16.46
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on June 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on June 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$9.55
Showing 25 of 886 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT19939.7%79 W · 120 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 199 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,613Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$463.03
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$608Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$608.41
Will Japan win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$14.39
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.96
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$408.91
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.79
Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.66
Will United States be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$9.16
Will Cristiano Ronaldo's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Will Canada be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$6.45
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+172.7%+$512.33
Will Germany score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$64.75
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+207.5%+$455.48
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$474Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$473.97
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.52
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$544Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$141.69
Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$60.48
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.42
Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$930Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$295.73
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$353.2
Will Netherlands be the highest-scoring team in Group F during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.2
Will Japan be the highest-scoring team in Group F during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+76.2%+$30.27
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$181.31
Showing 25 of 199 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT12249.2%60 W · 62 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 122 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.66
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+180.5%+$74.96
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.24
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.19
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$33,445Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$12,973.47
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12,493Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,492.79
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$487.51
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$267.49
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.6
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$7.65
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$8.67
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$7.56
Will voter turnout be 57-60% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.04
Will voter turnout be 54-57% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$58.01
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.54
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+51.6%+$217.39
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14,656Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$6,251.75
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$6,303Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,302.51
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by 9% or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.71
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 6% and 9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$25.48
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.04
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$877Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$877.49
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.3
Showing 25 of 122 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT4944.9%22 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.33
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+69.3%+$62.03
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.3
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+76.7%+$95.48
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.44
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$405.96
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$655Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+50.7%+$332.06
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,115.98
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$707Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+161.7%+$1,143.09
Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.34
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+161.6%+$25.21
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.17
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+73.6%+$67.98
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.38
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$453Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$222.14
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.75
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$659.84
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,078Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$513.81
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+491.5%+$106.92
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$780.45
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,715Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$694.53
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$545Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$545.02
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$314.62
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+44.8%+$64.96
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT3834.2%13 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.84
Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+203%+$61.64
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$4.28
Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+107.6%+$106.08
Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.11
Will Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.18
Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Francisco City and County?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.5
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Francisco City and County?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$42
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.8
Will Graham Platner win between 70% and 75% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.02
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.9
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$128.51
Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$23.05
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.85
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.37
Will Celeste Maloy be the Republican nominee for UT-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Mac Deford be the Democratic nominee for SC-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+29%+$4.5
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+263.5%+$399.46
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$438.18
Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.4
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$708Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$217.03
Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.87
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT3545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$352.7
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+221.9%+$346.58
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$372.66
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+79.3%+$137.1
Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.68
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Will "The Witness" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.7
Will "David" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$5.64
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.84
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$36.16
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.53
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 48m and 52m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+60.5%+$162.98
Will "Cats: The Jellicle Ball" win Best Revival of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12.3
Will "Ragtime" win Best Revival of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will "The Balusters" win Best Play at the 2026 Tony Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$29.58
Will "Liberation" win Best Play at the 2026 Tony Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.69
Will "The Boroughs" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$77.47
Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+93.2%+$193
Will "The Boroughs" be the top global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.17
Will "The Boroughs" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.88
Will "Nemesis" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.54
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.44
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 61m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.71
Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+48.3%+$77.13
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT2536%9 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-33.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.04
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+64.3%+$7.09
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.65
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.87
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$23.15
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$449.17
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$7.5
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.3
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.7
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.57
Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.71
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$34.2
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+320.1%+$79.11
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.08
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+89.4%+$90.18
Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.52
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on June 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.09
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.42
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$5.05
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$31.2
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.43
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.03
All 25 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$406.86
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$431Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$114.73
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$114.64
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.18
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.65
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$401.67
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.37
Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.95
Will Innio's market cap be between $20B and $23B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$11
Will Innio's market cap be between $23B and $26B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.6
Will Quantinuum's market cap be between $19B and $22B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$14.8
Will Quantinuum's market cap be between $22B and $25B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$19.4
Will Quantinuum's market cap be at least $25B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+48.3%+$22.81
Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be between $3.25B and $3.75B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$6.7
Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be between $125M and $140M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$5.57
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,856Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,856.38
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,911Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$1,351.77
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,166.42
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$4,311Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$1,839.8
Will Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$5.5
Will Knicks lead the 2026 NBA Finals 3-1 through 4 games?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.08
Will the 2026 NBA Finals be tied 2-2 through 4 games?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+25%+$8
Will Knicks lead the 2026 NBA Finals 4-0 through 4 games?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$11.24
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$414Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+128.4%+$532.12
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.52
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+195.8%+$243.78
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.26
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$839Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+70.4%+$590.15
All 14 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$18.2
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$20.14
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,467Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$474.06
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$714Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+158.1%+$1,128.98
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.12
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+62.1%+$141.92
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,523Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,522.93
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,557Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$569.69
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$476Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+81.5%+$388.44
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$391.4
Will Switzerland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$52.38
Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+69.2%+$70.77
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$61.8
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.48
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.41
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+112.5%+$108.55
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-40.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-31.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick12cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+148.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$6,031Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+93.6%+$5,643.97
Will Team Falcons win CS Asia Championships 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+203.1%+$104.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alireza Firouzja win Norway Chess 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$35.28
Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+57.3%+$41.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,204Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+109.4%+$2,412.44
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,379Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,378.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pumas UNAM win Liga MX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+122.7%+$15.73
Will Cruz Azul win Liga MX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paper Rex win Valorant Masters London 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+54%+$60.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympiacos win the 2025-26 Euroleague?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.02
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.