NBA · resolved market
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb083f3b8895b91ff00760854ccbd882163b81de6313994f586035ef8d8ab4852
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,804
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,804 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0289…dfd1backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 51c | 9,561$4,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,894.32 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 43c | 9,246$3,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,312.59 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x24d5…9e7cbacked No | 57c | 8,075$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes | 49c | 6,465$3,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,276.95 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Yes | 54c | 5,827$3,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,688.47 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes | 53c | 3,597$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.46 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…05e9backed No | 59c | 3,215$1,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,895.11 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 68c | 3,107$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 61c | 2,074$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.8 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked Yes | 37c | 1,862$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.71 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…6070backed No | 54c | 1,831$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.89 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 60c | 1,676$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.73 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Yes | 41c | 1,477$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.45 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 45c | 1,285$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.92 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed No | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.19 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yes | 30c | 1,156$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.68 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe94…8a3dbacked Yes | 41c | 939.97$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…9d37backed No | 60c | 830.77$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.46 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Yes | 43c | 686.73$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.44 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 50c | 677.54$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.21 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 45c | 662.42$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.5 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 56c | 412.57$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.24 | 221 | 40.3%89 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 68c | 386.28$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.52 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1597…6edebacked No | 54c | 381.5$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.69 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 62c | 352.7$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 54c | 343.58$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.46 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 76c | 343$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.15 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Yes | 45c | 333$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.15 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -51%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed No | 77c | 323.8$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.33 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 66c | 312.58$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.78 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 66c | 310$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.2 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 69c | 299.93$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.95 | 633 | 53.1%336 W · 297 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…485bbacked No | 48c | 296.88$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4566…5f69backed Yes | 25c | 286.04$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +172.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 73c | 278.23$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.34 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 53c | 264$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.15 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Yes | 44c | 262.75$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.75 | 478 | 52.9%253 W · 225 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c32…7849backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e1…06bbbacked Yes | 42c | 235.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.42 | 137 | 57.7%79 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed No | 75c | 219$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.25 | 99 | 39.4%39 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…d036backed Yes | 42c | 217.38$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.28 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…9166backed Yes | 24c | 208.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.54 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69e2…6208backed Yes | 44c | 204.55$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 23c | 203.14$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.34 | 96 | 9.4%9 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 37c | 196.78$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.91 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…613bbacked No | 53c | 191.49$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 55c | 177.08$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.39 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 22c | 170$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 382 | 39.5%151 W · 231 L | +35.9wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x94b9…7ebfbacked No | 59c | 168.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Yes | 44c | 165.12$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.54 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 75c | 163.51$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.88 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb719…c1e1backed No | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2712…eb71backed No | 9c | 148.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b3…93cbbacked Yes | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x366f…ce3cbacked Yes | 38c | 131.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcb…9540backed Yes | 53c | 117.79$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.36 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad17…5ca6backed No | 35c | 114.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97cb…9efcbacked Yes | 43c | 110$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef1…9d1abacked Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +50%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…6d3bbacked No | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6de6…d900backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +5.2wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xac9d…4f61backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa234…f7ebbacked Yes | 24c | 99.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.3 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 47c | 99.93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 77c | 96.86$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed No | 62c | 96.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…dd60backed Yes | 46c | 87.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 53c | 85.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.21 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2e…0e3abacked Yes | 33c | 76.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x448b…c94abacked Yes | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51a2…051bbacked Yes | 35c | 71.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.28 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 35c | 70$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe77…b4c4backed Yes | 40c | 70$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…d8f5backed Yes | 47c | 69.55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 92 | 71.7%66 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 78c | 66$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.54 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe14d…0131backed Yes | 44c | 60.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 73c | 57.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.84 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…398fbacked No | 54c | 52.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 45c | 52.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 111 | 36%40 W · 71 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8faa…1b5cbacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf028…6caebacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 54c | 50.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…6a92backed No | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938a…e0edbacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 73c | 48.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd71c…de8dbacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 33c | 45.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x245f…877bbacked Yes | 34c | 44.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…353fbacked Yes | 37c | 43.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0511…11fdbacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6515…b867backed Yes | 43c | 41.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked Yes | 40c | 38.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 76c | 35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe2…b686backed No | 58c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 60c | 32.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e35…29a3backed Yes | 54c | 32.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…61d1backed Yes | 47c | 31.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?this page
- Will Alex Caruso win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?No won
- Will Anthony Edwards win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?No won
- Will Chet Holmgren win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?No won
- Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?No won
- Will Stephon Castle win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.