TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8575…87fe

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
396
Categories scored
30
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT8960.7%54 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 89 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$30.4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$30.4
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,683Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,683.08
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,523Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+96%+$1,461.8
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$610.43
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.8
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$792Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$259.38
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$578Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$184.71
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,391Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$404.13
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$617Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$616.52
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$42.4
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.24
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+218.5%+$199.7
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,768Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+84.4%+$1,492.78
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$955Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$955.03
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.75
Will White House post 180-199 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.5
Will White House post 200+ posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$33.85
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$102.64
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$93.95
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$5.46
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$54.89
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$665Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$211.81
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$10.4
Showing 25 of 89 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT4650%23 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+164.5%+$583.29
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$625Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$625.2
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$408.19
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$437Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$436.75
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,081Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$304.02
Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,186Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$565.59
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$309.3
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$382.76
Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$898Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$254.5
Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$492Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$162.73
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.15
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$29.5
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,462Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$572.99
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$631Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$630.55
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$856Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$855.93
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,431Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$705.28
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$363.78
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.5
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.38
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$426Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$425.9
Will Ecuador win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$182.74
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$42.73
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$83.55
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$345.77
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$539Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+57.6%+$310.53
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT3852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.71
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$53.57
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$30.35
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$71.83
Will Robert Kenyon finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.5
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.23
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$210.97
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.3
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by between 3% and 6%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+109.1%+$203.52
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$156.59
Will voter turnout be between 50% and 55% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$11.27
Will voter turnout be between 55% and 60% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+179%+$37.85
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election by less than 10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.36
Will the Democratic Party win 14 upper-level local government races?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+34%+$12.71
Will the Democratic Party win 13 upper-level local government races?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+70.5%+$42.58
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+386.6%+$143.8
Will Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.44
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.4
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.69
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,025Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,024.97
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$5,435Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,435.16
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16,442Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$5,843.28
Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.48
Will AD+PD win the third-most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+148.1%+$154.14
Will Momentum win the third-most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.43
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.90 and $3.20 on June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.4
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $800b on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.03
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.84
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.49
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+75.8%+$258.53
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.44
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+72%+$43.08
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,026Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,026.4
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+307.9%+$972.8
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$16.3
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 1 and June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$13.01
Will there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.69
Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$74.77
Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$27.41
Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$40.77
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$389.19
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.58
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+103.1%+$270.04
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,112Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$296.58
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$516Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$140.84
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.47
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.89
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.32
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$340.02
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$83.75
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.38
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 52m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.54
Will "Outlast: The Jungle" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+512.2%+$62.75
Will "Maternal Instinct" be the top global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.13
Will "The Boroughs" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+51.1%+$5.75
Will "The Boroughs" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.34
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 35m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.6
Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 15m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$557Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+50%+$278.58
Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$311.18
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 23m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.75
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$721Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$721.42
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+71.8%+$289.64
Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.38
Will "Apex" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+55%+$126.13
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$965Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$965.46
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 18m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$514.88
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 15m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+65.8%+$325.05
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,148.38
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$912Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+113.1%+$1,031.35
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 32m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$109.51
Will "Animal Farm" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 3.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.16
All 21 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+39.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.26
Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+112.2%+$72.38
Will Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.98
Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+123.8%+$256.32
Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.24
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.02
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+141.8%+$305.27
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$519Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$518.62
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$632Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+77.6%+$490.16
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.65
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.41
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$531Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+253.9%+$1,348.81
Will Jonathan Bush win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$5.25
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.31
Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+35%+$76.96
Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+389.8%+$468.75
Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.99
Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+733.9%+$106.49
Will Derek Merrin be the Republican nominee for OH-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.22
Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.36
All 20 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will June 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$549Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$549.11
Will June 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+65.9%+$122.6
Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$5.7
Will May 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$151.67
Will May 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.5
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.95
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$7
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.93
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Will April 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.36
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$23.53
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.05
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$10.5
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C or higher on April 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.17
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on April 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+212.4%+$27.55
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.63
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+115.3%+$16.64
All 19 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will UK annual inflation be between 2.5% and 2.7% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.29
Will UK annual inflation be between 2.2% and 2.4% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.4
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.27
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+193.3%+$46.52
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.59
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$245.79
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$544Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$544.01
Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$253.17
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$13.82
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$15.25
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.41
Will annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$325.18
Will annual inflation increase by 3.7% in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$194.73
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$7.83
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$42.98
Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+65.2%+$49.82
Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$4.31
All 18 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$677Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$676.91
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$657Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$228.39
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$699Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+59%+$411.92
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.22
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$66.49
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$659Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$658.91
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+76.9%+$401.09
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$163.58
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$694Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$694.25
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.1
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$44.31
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$286.22
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$532Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$531.59
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+27%+$105.34
Will Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$84.31
Will Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.65
All 16 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,956Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,955.5
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,163Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+33%+$713.13
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,510Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$511.16
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$701Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+81.5%+$571.51
Will Falcons win PGL Astana 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$854Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+63.5%+$542.41
Will Spirit win PGL Astana 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$677Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$677.03
Will Vitality win IEM Atlanta 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+240.8%+$505.36
Will Vitality win BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$311.45
Will Team Vitality win IEM Krakow 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Team Spirit win IEM Krakow 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7
All 10 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.77
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$82.87
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$167.91
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.62
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,052Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+128%+$1,346.83
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,846Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,846.4
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$352.06
Will Hong Kong have between 160-170mm of precipitation in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.52
Will Hong Kong have between 150-160mm of precipitation in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+185.4%+$144.78
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+41.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.07
Will Ivar Stenberg be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$80
Will Switzerland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$548Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$303.38
Will Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$610.31
Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$605Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+99.6%+$602.8
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+68.7%+$16.7
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+83.2%+$16.35
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+200.6%+$22.69
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cameron Boozer be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.29
Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.48
Will Cameron Boozer be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$133.17
Will AJ Dybantsa be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$95.66
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.4
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$15.1
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.35
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+135.5%+$209.56
All 8 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+90.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
IPO — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-48.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-36.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,490.38
Will Chelsea win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,635Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$1,582.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will David Njoku play for Los Angeles Chargers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 27-May 3 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.