TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

AI · resolved market

Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,880
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,218

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,880 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in AI
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0482…6b0abacked Yes15c15,853$2,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,408.8621035.7%75 W · 135 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick29cpaid-8.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa445…0286backed Yes1c6,541$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.142920.3%1 W · 291 L+0.4wins0.00per pick0cpaid-43.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2aa…21fbbacked Yes18c5,171$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.997238.9%28 W · 44 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7365…64dabacked Yes9c5,088$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.7627536.4%100 W · 175 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-26.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8dd…ec86backed No79c3,676$2,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.992330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-60.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7d2…f954backed Yes19c3,376$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.878853.4%47 W · 41 L+13.9wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+27.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xc326…1db1backed Yes13c2,830$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.2925837.6%97 W · 161 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80cf…614dbacked Yes12c2,811$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.81666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.43per pick23cpaid+252.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb89f…1c44backed Yes18c2,585$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.1314337.8%54 W · 89 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b9d…74f5backed No75c1,984$1,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.27475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1fe…423abacked Yes12c1,944$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22710723.4%25 W · 82 L+0.3wins0.00per pick23cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked Yes18c1,536$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.489041.1%37 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07d4…8991backed Yes1c1,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206291.3%8 W · 621 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-88.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c1,246$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.991,3636.8%93 W · 1,270 L-20.2wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-59.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7554…224cbacked Yes9c1,137$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.33616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-76.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13012033.3%40 W · 80 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x34d8…b9d4backed Yes9c1,000$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes2c900.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.654167.5%31 W · 385 L-25.7wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-68.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5999…ae94backed Yes26c708.46$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.57951.9%41 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e71…01bfbacked Yes5c673.89$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.96175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-91.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa85…4d17backed Yes29c672.54$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1931915.8%3 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-74.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x34d0…264ebacked Yes16c668.06$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.352646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8575…87febacked No79c657$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.843647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5092…86c3backed Yes20c647.86$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.661040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-48.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes6c606.17$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.762674.9%13 W · 254 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-36.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Yes22c596.37$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.238746%40 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb120…f2ffbacked Yes14c523.69$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.569940.4%40 W · 59 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-22%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes4c501.51$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.413042%6 W · 298 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-70.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28b2…eb4fbacked Yes13c500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6514339.2%56 W · 87 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-28.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Yes17c500$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8610730.8%33 W · 74 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf07…39d8backed Yes17c500$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.431323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-55.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2110…5850backed No78c500$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1106048.3%29 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes13c462.91$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.98407.5%3 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick16cpaid-70.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c76…06acbacked Yes19c400$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes20c400$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6796.3%5 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-74.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5ae…4cf1backed Yes10c400$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41531.9%1 W · 52 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-52.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes9c387$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3116519.4%32 W · 133 L-21.3wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-50.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfe49…7a4cbacked Yes5c337$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.853946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaee8…1154backed Yes14c307.21$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0111723.9%28 W · 89 L+0.3wins0.00per pick24cpaid-58.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes11c300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338442.9%36 W · 48 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb68…a1f1backed Yes24c294.48$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.91100%0 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x132d…b771backed Yes16c287.06$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.93616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick16cpaid+71.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes14c282.28$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0929430.6%90 W · 204 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc71b…e265backed Yes20c278.63$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0328826.7%77 W · 211 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf709…7697backed Yes8c253.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe41…9f23backed Yes15c239$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.854827.1%13 W · 35 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x04dc…2387backed No78c204.12$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9812839.8%51 W · 77 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No77c201.5$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3573135.6%260 W · 471 L-57.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-26.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x38fe…4c18backed Yes16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-30.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x222a…d5afbacked Yes14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282326.1%6 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-56.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc5a9…0c9abacked Yes9c198.07$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.514656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9ba…cf54backed Yes19c197$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.431428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-58%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x655c…1a00backed No80c180$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca52…0cdfbacked Yes7c171.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1211346%52 W · 61 L+11.1wins+0.10per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No77c169.9$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.281833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-54.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa251…505fbacked Yes13c162.55$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.13728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Yes13c160$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7414423.6%34 W · 110 L-12.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-37.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No80c157.66$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5325632.8%84 W · 172 L-24.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-27.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2a31…f2f0backed No80c150$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+29.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb616…0086backed No73c140$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c06…a2b8backed Yes16c138.05$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0930%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33db…417abacked Yes14c134.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8319040.5%77 W · 113 L+14.4wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+0.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed Yes9c129.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.411388%11 W · 127 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-40.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5042…f296backed Yes19c125$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.22334.8%8 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes20c124.69$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5457426.8%154 W · 420 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-45.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x564f…7026backed Yes31c123.82$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3736945.3%167 W · 202 L+29.3wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+22.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefde…65abbacked Yes20c122.6$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.52837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick23cpaid+90.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked No80c116$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.29525.3%24 W · 71 L-13.3wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-16.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes22c110$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.27337%27 W · 46 L+0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1004…58ecbacked Yes16c107.22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-61.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Yes15c104.62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.698435.7%30 W · 54 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c23…91debacked Yes15c101$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-55%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No79c93$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.327041.4%29 W · 41 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-36.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x15f6…e3f8backed Yes14c80$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.21330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85eb…d068backed No80c74.7$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.94757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd98d…1179backed No73c69$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.63837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-48.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf64…e473backed Yes18c68.11$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.26425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3806…d265backed Yes15c67.35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf129…1edcbacked Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-42.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes20c52.29$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4989417.1%153 W · 741 L-145.2wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-61.4%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x8f34…2f50backed No71c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.75848.3%28 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.