TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2a31…f2f0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
693
Categories scored
35
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Middle East, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 55 out of 100; worst Us Midterms at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT21545.1%97 W · 118 L-12.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 215 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.14
Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.24
New York Mets vs. Chicago White Soxbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.85
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.81
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.71
New York Mets vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+79.5%+$8.86
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.44
Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.42
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.05
Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
San Diego Padres vs. New York Metsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$5.99
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.67
Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+98.3%+$9.91
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$10.38
San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$16.46
Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+93.5%+$9.67
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+78%+$8.77
San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+88.1%+$11.02
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.74
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+110%+$11.97
San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.87
Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.08
Showing 25 of 215 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT7945.6%36 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 79 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.24
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.24
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.79
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.76
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$379.17
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$589Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+146.7%+$863.53
No one announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.6
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$11.1
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.6
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$19.89
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.52
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 18m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+307.5%+$60.37
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 12m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$23.11
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 15m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+162.1%+$124.45
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.34
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 32m and 35m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.23
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 32m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.3
Will "Running Point: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
Will "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.5
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 55m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+137.8%+$382.51
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$327.64
Showing 25 of 79 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT7660.5%46 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 71°F or below on June 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.6
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$28.06
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on June 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.7
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on June 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.78
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$24.35
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.3
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$23.36
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on June 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on June 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Will May 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will May 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$21.6
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$13.2
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.5
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$24.94
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+43%+$27.11
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.96
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$25
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$11.7
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.01
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on June 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+35%+$7.01
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT6139.3%24 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+684.6%+$164
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by less than 20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.68
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.4
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.24
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.4
Will voter turnout be 54-57% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.28
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$708Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$708.2
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$934Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+86.3%+$806.2
Will voter turnout be between 85% and 90% in the 2026 Maltese general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$39.6
Will voter turnout be less than 85% in the 2026 Maltese general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.4
Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.42
Will the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.4
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$63.6
Will Jason Perry win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.02
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+836.1%+$1,283.15
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$446Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$262.37
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.45
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+32%+$4.87
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will turnout in the Bangladesh parliamentary election be below 65%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$38
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Will CR win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+65%+$7.88
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT3141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+46%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.55
Will SpaceX raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+64.8%+$19.23
Will SpaceX raise between $50B and $60B in its IPO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$14.52
Will WhiteHawk Minerals' market cap be between $675M and $750M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.48
Will WhiteHawk Minerals' market cap be less than $600M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14
Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd not IPO before June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$12.4
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Odyssey Therapeutics' market cap be between $0.8B and $1.1B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.39
Will Odyssey Therapeutics' market cap be between $1.1B and $1.4B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.11
Will Odyssey Therapeutics' market cap be less than $0.8B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+554.8%+$169.37
Will Odyssey Therapeutics' market cap be at least $1.4B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.65
Will Mobia Medical's market cap be less than $500M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.89
Will Mobia Medical's market cap be between $500M and $700M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+173.3%+$153.3
Will Mobia Medical's market cap be between $700M and $900M at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.1
Will HawkEye 360's market cap be between $2.5B and $3.25B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$44.8
Will HawkEye 360's market cap be between $3.25B and $4.0B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Will HawkEye 360's market cap be less than $2.5B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will Liftoff Mobile's market cap be less than $4.25B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Liftoff Mobile not IPO before April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$88
Will Liftoff Mobile's market cap be between $4.50B and $4.75B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Will Liftoff Mobile's market cap be between $4.25B and $4.50B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Liftoff Mobile's market cap be between $4.75B and $5.00B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+900%+$153
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$124.61
Will ARKO Petroleum Corp.'s market cap be between $950M and $1.0B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+47.1%+$6.4
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT3151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.54
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+74.9%+$131.61
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.78
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$36
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.4
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+86.6%+$9.28
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.3
Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.5
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$338.4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$333.7
Will White House post 140-159 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.4
Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+67%+$32.1
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.48
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.93
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+525%+$604.8
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,259Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+78.7%+$990.6
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$889Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$889.44
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$70.22
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.26
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$13.02
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+42.1%+$7.94
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+47.1%+$12.81
Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 1 to January 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$24.7
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+58.7%+$11.15
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$27.9
Will Trump attend 2 World Cup matches?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+568.2%+$731.3
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.72
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 3 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.08
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$558Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$558
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$390.1
Will a player representing Paraguay be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.5
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$27.3
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.9
Will Ecuador be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$267
Will a player representing New Zealand be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.5
Will France win on 2025-09-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+67.6%+$36.3
Will France vs. Iceland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will England win on 2025-09-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$6.9
Will Cyprus vs. Romania end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.1
Will Jordan win on 2025-09-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$14.7
Will Azerbaijan vs. Ukraine end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+300%+$149.36
Will Luxembourg win on 2025-09-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.7
Will Luxembourg vs. Slovakia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will North Macedonia win on 2025-09-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will Saudi Arabia vs. North Macedonia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
All 22 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than -0.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.2
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+203%+$73.7
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the February meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$169.05
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the December meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+29.9%+$3.45
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.50-3.75 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+29.1%+$4.51
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.8
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$20.8
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.5-3.75 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+36.6%+$13.4
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.75-4 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.7
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or more in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.5
All 19 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-42.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$11.46
Will Adam Hamilton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.2
Will Vicente Ada win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Diego County?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$28
Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.51
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 25% and 30%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.9
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.29
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 30% or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+68.6%+$40.7
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by 70% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 50% and 60%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.17
Will John Cornyn come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.6
Will Wesley Hunt come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$17.6
Will Cuomo x Mamdani debate two times before election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$18.4
Will Cuomo x Mamdani debate one time before election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
All 16 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+58.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$544Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$285.68
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+149.7%+$305.96
Will Trump and Netanyahu only be photographed together by February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+171.4%+$50.75
Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Will Israel strike 2 countries in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.3
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+199.4%+$33.3
Will Trump say "Erdogan" first during Saudi PM events on November 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+61.3%+$15.2
Will Trump say "Two Weeks" first during Saudi PM events on November 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$25.4
Will Israel strike 3 countries in October 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will Israel strike 1 country in October 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+566.7%+$119
Will Israel strike 2 countries in October 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$63
Will Israel strike Yemen 2 times by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+314.2%+$53.1
Will Israel strike Yemen 1 time by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will Israel strike Yemen 0 times by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.18
All 14 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jeff Bezos buy the Seattle Seahawks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Will Tim Cook buy the Seattle Seahawks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Will Mark Zuckerberg buy the Seattle Seahawks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$67.2
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 120 and 130 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+42.3%+$47.77
Will John Harbaugh join the Atlanta Falcons prior to April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8.8
Will Tony Jefferson lead the NFL in interceptions this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Will Puka Nacua be the Top Fantasy Wide Receiver for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12.98
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the AFC South?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the NFC West?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+42.2%+$29.7
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$33.5
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the NFC West?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+43.9%+$6.1
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win a regular season game first?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will the New York Giants win a regular season game first?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
All 14 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.68
Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.6
Will Israel win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$43.98
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 50 and 74 points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 25 and 49 points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$18
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be less than 25 points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.5
Will Hannah Harper win American Idol Season 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.8
Will Taylor Swift hold exactly 5 spots in the Billboard Hot 100 Top 10 for the week of November 1, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Taylor Swift hold exactly 4 spots in the Billboard Hot 100 Top 10 for the week of November 1, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$23.6
Will Diddy be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+27.9%+$19.27
Will Diddy be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.04
All 13 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+29.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+470.6%+$156.7
Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.1
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+438.3%+$211.7
Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.3
Will there be fewer than 3 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$27.2
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.06
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+25%+$30
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+65.9%+$99.02
Will Elon Musk's net worth be more than $400b on August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.9
All 13 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+75.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+397.2%+$71.9
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.2
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.8
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.75
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.92
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+91.1%+$14.3
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+545.3%+$1,090.08
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.07
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+359.6%+$301.56
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,049Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,048.75
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iga Swiatek win the 2025 WTA Korea Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$124.29
Will Ekaterina Alexandrova win the 2025 WTA Korea Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+139.3%+$106.08
Will Marton Fucsovics win the 2025 ATP Winston-Salem tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.2
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 ATP Cincinnati?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will Karen Khachanov win the 2025 ATP Toronto tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$427Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+35.9%+$153.3
Will Ben Shelton win the 2025 ATP Toronto tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$796Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$795.9
Will Naomi Osaka win the 2025 WTA Montreal tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+186.6%+$58.73
Will Victoria Mboko win the 2025 WTA Montreal tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$375.12
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2025 ATP Toronto tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+71.8%+$20.9
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 9 - 15 be greater than 16,000,000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$14.2
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 9 - 15 be between 15,500,000 and 16,000,000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 9 - 15 be between 15,000,000 and 15,500,000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+25%+$4
Will Donald Trump issue 0 executive order in the week of October 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+53.6%+$10.47
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$458.8
Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$135
Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$125.8
Will the Government shutdown end October 3-5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$105.57
Will the Government shutdown end October 1-2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+101.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+43.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+178.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+95.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-29.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will India win the 2025 Asia Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.1
Will Sri Lanka win the 2025 Asia Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+41.3%+$11.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mikael Ishak score the most goals in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$74
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oregon and Miami win their 2026 CFP semifinal games?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+29.1%+$11.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nick Suzuki win the 2025–2026 NHL Frank J. Selke Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump's tie be blue?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.