MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a72bd680a440e216b6953758b7cce3f8e6a9f2dc7821f3f5d075cb26eeec89e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Philadelphia Phillies, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $156,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 22,220$14,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,428.33 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 18,424$8,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,106.69 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ca…c219backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 15,699$7,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,064.49 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 15,000$8,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,572.94 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Minnesota Twins | 33c | 10,396$3,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,436.44 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 10,000$4,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,450 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 9,091$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,090.91 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 6,410$3,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,840.42 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 4,681$2,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.22 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 3,331$1,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.65 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ff…3535backed Minnesota Twins | 1c | 3,097$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 2,780$1,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.06 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 2,469$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.04 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 2,126$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.11 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 2,006$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.76 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Minnesota Twins | 25c | 1,909$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.4 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 1,755$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.29 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 1,603$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.35 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 1,562$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.82 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Philadelphia Phillies | 72c | 1,493$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.98 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Minnesota Twins | 1c | 1,234$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…0517backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.09 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0926…6721backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 1,111$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.78 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 1,111$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.84 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 962.18$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.98 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd0…fe12backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 894.25$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.41 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 878.65$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.5 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 872.28$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.5 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 810.1$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.26 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 802.55$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.15 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 742.01$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.48 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 700$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 599$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.56 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 578.37$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.02 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 550.05$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.52 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…1589backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 532.25$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.29 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 505.35$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.46 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Minnesota Twins | 34c | 499.51$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.12 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 475.99$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.96 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x776f…32b7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 354.61$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.62 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 354.45$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.96 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 340$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 333.22$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.98 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 306.9$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.11 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Minnesota Twins | 35c | 298.12$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.09 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d14…663fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 296$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 279.3$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.3 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 276$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.82 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…74c8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 243.11$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.4 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 228.07$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.07 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -6.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 224.41$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.23 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 223$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…3af5backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 215.22$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.85 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3814…17bcbacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfec…774abacked Minnesota Twins | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…836abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 213 | 23.5%50 W · 163 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 180$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.48 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 163.64$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.64 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 156.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.21 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2561…ce3ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 68c | 156.12$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.67 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…09d9backed Minnesota Twins | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 149.03$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.07 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e7…af6bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 137$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.65 | 447 | 50.6%226 W · 221 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 135$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Philadelphia Phillies | 68c | 129.28$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 121.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 217 | 53.9%117 W · 100 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…c664backed Minnesota Twins | 33c | 119.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | -46.7wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8f…a3dcbacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e53…922dbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…290abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 108.04$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 104.46$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 497 | 62.2%309 W · 188 L | +38.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 103$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.38 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34e…c973backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Minnesota Twins | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 94.94$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c78…7d67backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.52 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc576…027dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 89.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93e9…9010backed Minnesota Twins | 36c | 86.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 81.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked Minnesota Twins | 34c | 80.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Minnesota Twins | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 75.96$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Minnesota Twins | 34c | 74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twinsthis page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.