TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x93e9…9010

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Middle East, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 53 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT4531.1%14 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Dignitas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.86
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+81.9%+$26.02
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+111.3%+$31.6
LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked CCG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+106.8%+$15.6
LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stagebacked CCG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+77%+$8.7
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.36
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.5
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.34
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.24
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+58.4%+$81.84
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Group Stagebacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$286.77
LoL: SK Gaming vs Shifters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.38
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.6
LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.83
LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$85.55
LoL: Supernova vs CCG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Supernova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
LoL: Conviction vs Citadel Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Citadel Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$76
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.95
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.03
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+217%+$40.39
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+320.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+320.2%+$164.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.