Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Iron Wing (BO3) - The International Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57511dbf6549dd2d40298bf903ffba7bb341be65616db68585a3d97a10373964
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BoomBoysof BoomBoys, Iron Wing
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $815,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,032,754
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $815,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 508 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Iron Wing | 46c | 127,637$58,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,576.35 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dab…22e1backed BoomBoys | 50c | 82,755$41,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,377.67 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Iron Wing | 56c | 17,841$9,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,948.56 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked BoomBoys | 47c | 16,083$7,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,528.45 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1305…46d2backed BoomBoys | 74c | 15,575$11,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,049.57 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Iron Wing | 44c | 13,408$5,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,899.33 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked BoomBoys | 44c | 12,568$5,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,072.73 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed BoomBoys | 65c | 12,541$8,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,385.73 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84fb…675ebacked BoomBoys | 36c | 10,416$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,666.24 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…bce7backed BoomBoys | 44c | 9,988$4,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,593.27 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed BoomBoys | 29c | 9,273$2,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,615.13 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked BoomBoys | 61c | 9,040$5,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,510.09 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…18a4backed Iron Wing | 26c | 8,888$2,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310.77 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked BoomBoys | 51c | 7,565$3,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,709.71 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Iron Wing | 55c | 7,552$4,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,146.39 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…ed1fbacked Iron Wing | 42c | 7,182$3,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,016.32 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd61a…708bbacked BoomBoys | 48c | 6,723$3,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,521.12 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed BoomBoys | 45c | 6,453$2,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,527.4 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9d…3c52backed BoomBoys | 74c | 6,000$4,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Iron Wing | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,119.99 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedfc…b7b1backed Iron Wing | 62c | 5,930$3,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,649.32 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed Iron Wing | 35c | 5,669$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…6b9dbacked Iron Wing | 51c | 5,422$2,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,765.13 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Iron Wing | 3c | 5,106$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.05 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked BoomBoys | 50c | 5,043$2,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,521.51 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Iron Wing | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadea…b96dbacked Iron Wing | 10c | 4,955$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.67 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 11cpaid | -91.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed BoomBoys | 49c | 4,939$2,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,518.98 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Iron Wing | 5c | 4,879$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.94 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c45…b26bbacked BoomBoys | 76c | 4,501$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.34 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Iron Wing | 45c | 4,408$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,983.7 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Iron Wing | 20c | 4,288$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.28 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…b9b4backed BoomBoys | 47c | 4,241$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250.8 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f81…48bfbacked BoomBoys | 41c | 4,141$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…873ebacked BoomBoys | 48c | 4,110$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,118.28 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked BoomBoys | 57c | 4,095$2,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.7 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked BoomBoys | 48c | 4,090$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120.09 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…5e0dbacked Iron Wing | 66c | 4,067$2,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,702.43 | 73 | 79.5%58 W · 15 L | +9.9wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Iron Wing | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.99 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked BoomBoys | 49c | 3,774$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.94 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Iron Wing | 55c | 3,580$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.44 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked BoomBoys | 67c | 3,515$2,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.87 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Iron Wing | 68c | 3,466$2,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,341.83 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…c5ebbacked Iron Wing | 63c | 3,408$2,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,134.46 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked BoomBoys | 48c | 3,192$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.4 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed BoomBoys | 48c | 3,011$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.53 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Iron Wing | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Iron Wing | 34c | 2,899$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a93…8e36backed Iron Wing | 52c | 2,874$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Iron Wing | 62c | 2,700$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.31 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7076…baa5backed BoomBoys | 20c | 2,499$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.86 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Iron Wing | 49c | 2,285$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.63 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked BoomBoys | 70c | 2,283$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.26 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…34fbbacked BoomBoys | 59c | 2,239$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.83 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…4959backed BoomBoys | 37c | 2,222$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.57 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked BoomBoys | 12c | 2,075$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…c8dfbacked BoomBoys | 69c | 2,040$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.4 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Iron Wing | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf796…de54backed Iron Wing | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked BoomBoys | 74c | 1,996$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.96 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…050fbacked Iron Wing | 33c | 1,972$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.63 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Iron Wing | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Iron Wing | 54c | 1,957$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.1 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…789bbacked BoomBoys | 50c | 1,899$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.5 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac4…1a34backed Iron Wing | 52c | 1,880$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.32 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…dd2dbacked BoomBoys | 74c | 1,850$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.88 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed BoomBoys | 53c | 1,844$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.58 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed BoomBoys | 62c | 1,820$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.87 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…694fbacked BoomBoys | 51c | 1,805$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.33 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Iron Wing | 53c | 1,756$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.44 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed BoomBoys | 47c | 1,750$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.49 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked BoomBoys | 56c | 1,747$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.8 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6155…808ebacked Iron Wing | 58c | 1,668$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.38 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Iron Wing | 34c | 1,655$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.94 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BoomBoys | 49c | 1,645$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.88 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed BoomBoys | 61c | 1,638$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.61 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe46d…7e4dbacked BoomBoys | 49c | 1,620$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.24 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fca…6ac3backed Iron Wing | 45c | 1,616$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.53 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Iron Wing | 61c | 1,597$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.89 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3d…51b8backed BoomBoys | 56c | 1,576$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.92 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed BoomBoys | 39c | 1,558$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.21 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd982…a2c2backed BoomBoys | 57c | 1,542$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed BoomBoys | 52c | 1,500$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.77 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba7…9c8abacked Iron Wing | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 80 | 20%16 W · 64 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb7…7028backed Iron Wing | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Iron Wing | 71c | 1,427$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.06 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Iron Wing | 67c | 1,410$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.08 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x266e…90f3backed BoomBoys | 63c | 1,400$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.57 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +12.4wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd47c…39b5backed BoomBoys | 50c | 1,391$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.47 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BoomBoys | 55c | 1,362$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.85 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x461d…db9ebacked BoomBoys | 56c | 1,347$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc746…3943backed BoomBoys | 55c | 1,293$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.73 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x332b…af19backed BoomBoys | 57c | 1,282$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.26 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Iron Wing | 59c | 1,259$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.94 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed Iron Wing | 50c | 1,257$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.5 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd99b…50bebacked Iron Wing | 50c | 1,245$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.5 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d0…1a68backed Iron Wing | 3c | 1,200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed BoomBoys | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x806a…b7dabacked BoomBoys | 14c | 1,200$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed BoomBoys | 28c | 1,200$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Iron Wing (BO3) - The International Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Iron Wing - Game 1 WinnerBoomBoys won
- Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Iron Wing - Game 2 WinnerIron Wing won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.