TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6373…a0b7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
307
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Fifa International at 50 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT14825%37 W · 111 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-2.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 148 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: DYNASTY vs FTS - Game 2 Winnerbacked FTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10,832Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,831.92
Dota 2: DYNASTY vs FTS - Game 1 Winnerbacked FTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.21
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$5,426Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,425.63
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12,721Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,720.71
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10,800Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+73.4%+$7,931.81
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$6,007Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+84.9%+$5,100.88
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$8,041Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,041.25
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,929Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+139.6%+$4,089.33
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15,522Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,521.87
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$630
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$3,244Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+785.6%+$25,482.29
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,438Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,437.75
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$3,683Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,683.29
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$997Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$996.56
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$4,057Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+153.4%+$6,223.21
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12,583Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,582.86
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$9,733Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+241%+$23,452.87
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$5,363Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,363.48
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,013Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,013.42
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$6,196Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,196.38
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$6,776Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+211.4%+$14,322.5
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,700
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,346Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,346.46
Showing 25 of 148 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT9621.9%21 W · 75 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-37.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 96 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$2,571.43
LoL: G2 Esports vs AG.AL (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,601Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,601.14
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$491.7
LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,199.45
LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+93.2%+$1,118.83
LoL: T1 vs GAM Esports (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,248.17
LoL: AG.AL vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$429.42
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.33
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$591Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$590.66
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+203%+$413.27
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.53
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,250.07
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$2,405Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,405
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,023Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,022.99
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+108.1%+$156.34
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$3,333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,332.5
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$4,710Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,710.15
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-Inbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,297Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,297.1
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,622Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,622.21
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,384Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+142.4%+$1,970.8
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$2,316Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,315.82
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,278Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,278.4
Showing 25 of 96 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT4526.7%12 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs BASEMENT BOYS - Map 2 Winnerbacked BASEMENT BOYS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.86
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winnerbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+52%+$51.97
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Sinners - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$511Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$511
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winnerbacked JiJieHao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$583Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$582.97
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Metizport - Map 1 Winnerbacked Metizport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.81
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Sangal - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sangal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,148Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,148.48
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs 9INE (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 7backed 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$825Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$824.75
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$53.18
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$138.1
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,047Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,046.89
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Isurus - Map 1 Winnerbacked Isurus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+808.3%+$1,611.49
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$102.32
Counter-Strike: B8 vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.61
Counter-Strike: Julie&cie vs eternal premium (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group Bbacked Julie&cie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,087Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,086.95
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Acend - Map 3 Winnerbacked Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.97
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Isurus - Map 2 Winnerbacked Isurus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: PCIFIC vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournament Playoffsbacked PCIFIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$804Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+147.2%+$1,183.31
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Betclic Apogee Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Betclic Apogee Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs UNO MILLE - Map 1 Winnerbacked Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$3,087Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,086.79
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.65
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.