UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Borislav Nikolic vs. Mark Vologdin (Bantamweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25e2fed028def38a8969ee51f0db8447254c4633a6eee998156e069e97b80e9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Borislav Nikolicof Borislav Nikolic, Mark Vologdin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $267,773
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $285,740
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $267,773 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 263 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Mark Vologdin | 34c | 30,200$10,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,267.95 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Borislav Nikolic | 66c | 30,000$19,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Mark Vologdin | 37c | 14,552$5,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,343.33 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Borislav Nikolic | 67c | 14,064$9,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,623.91 | 200 | 48.5%97 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Mark Vologdin | 34c | 13,261$4,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,508.72 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Borislav Nikolic | 60c | 11,383$6,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,585.39 | 152 | 38.2%58 W · 94 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Mark Vologdin | 17c | 7,763$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.59 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b12…d642backed Borislav Nikolic | 69c | 6,551$4,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032.37 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Borislav Nikolic | 55c | 5,180$2,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,341.56 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +11.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Borislav Nikolic | 65c | 4,651$3,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.89 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Mark Vologdin | 44c | 4,453$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.5 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Borislav Nikolic | 66c | 4,425$2,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.56 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e37…6789backed Borislav Nikolic | 61c | 4,330$2,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.42 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +63%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Mark Vologdin | 22c | 4,231$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.71 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Borislav Nikolic | 60c | 3,968$2,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.08 | 356 | 48.6%173 W · 183 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Borislav Nikolic | 65c | 3,900$2,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.85 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b8…d5d1backed Borislav Nikolic | 61c | 3,831$2,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Mark Vologdin | 34c | 3,728$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.32 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Borislav Nikolic | 64c | 3,599$2,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.56 | 52 | 73.1%38 W · 14 L | +8.1wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mark Vologdin | 29c | 3,596$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.64 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Borislav Nikolic | 66c | 3,215$2,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.96 | 61 | 72.1%44 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Borislav Nikolic | 65c | 3,170$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.31 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0267backed Mark Vologdin | 35c | 3,100$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.99 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Borislav Nikolic | 66c | 3,030$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.3 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…a656backed Borislav Nikolic | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.99 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Mark Vologdin | 36c | 2,749$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.26 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed Mark Vologdin | 47c | 2,698$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Mark Vologdin | 10c | 2,637$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.62 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Mark Vologdin | 1c | 2,630$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Mark Vologdin | 35c | 2,304$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed Mark Vologdin | 39c | 2,295$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.09 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Mark Vologdin | 18c | 2,244$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.49 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Mark Vologdin | 38c | 2,211$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Mark Vologdin | 35c | 2,174$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.89 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed Mark Vologdin | 21c | 2,057$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Mark Vologdin | 7c | 2,031$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.31 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x969e…b834backed Mark Vologdin | 1c | 2,006$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Mark Vologdin | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.98 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbea2…5b77backed Mark Vologdin | 35c | 1,996$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Mark Vologdin | 34c | 1,947$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.98 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed Mark Vologdin | 49c | 1,837$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +9.7wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Borislav Nikolic | 65c | 1,834$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.49 | 267 | 36%96 W · 171 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95e0…58dfbacked Mark Vologdin | 22c | 1,830$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed Mark Vologdin | 11c | 1,773$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Borislav Nikolic | 72c | 1,688$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.8 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Borislav Nikolic | 66c | 1,676$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.87 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Mark Vologdin | 35c | 1,600$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Mark Vologdin | 2c | 1,550$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -80%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Borislav Nikolic | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Borislav Nikolic | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Borislav Nikolic | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.1 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7358…1d32backed Mark Vologdin | 37c | 1,461$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.71 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Borislav Nikolic | 57c | 1,432$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.43 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Mark Vologdin | 22c | 1,364$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed Mark Vologdin | 44c | 1,329$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.56 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Mark Vologdin | 24c | 1,262$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.94 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…6fcfbacked Mark Vologdin | 35c | 1,237$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Mark Vologdin | 28c | 1,208$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.34 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked Mark Vologdin | 33c | 1,162$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.62 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 34cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Mark Vologdin | 20c | 1,125$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.01 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Mark Vologdin | 34c | 1,100$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.98 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Mark Vologdin | 29c | 1,083$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.21 | 263 | 52.1%137 W · 126 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Borislav Nikolic | 58c | 1,012$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.47 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f44…bc79backed Mark Vologdin | 4c | 1,009$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Mark Vologdin | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Mark Vologdin | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -44%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Mark Vologdin | 46c | 977.14$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.96 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Borislav Nikolic | 67c | 958.52$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.97 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Borislav Nikolic | 66c | 909.09$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.09 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Mark Vologdin | 35c | 900$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…77f5backed Borislav Nikolic | 66c | 900$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.68 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Borislav Nikolic | 69c | 867.18$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.96 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f86…4fa9backed Borislav Nikolic | 65c | 864.43$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.48 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Mark Vologdin | 35c | 857.2$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.94 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Borislav Nikolic | 67c | 838.38$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.03 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Borislav Nikolic | 65c | 768.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.03 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +64%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…72c1backed Borislav Nikolic | 65c | 760$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf87…ce4cbacked Borislav Nikolic | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99b1…196abacked Mark Vologdin | 44c | 700$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.52 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Mark Vologdin | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00d1…b2d2backed Borislav Nikolic | 60c | 676.51$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.18 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e00…ba80backed Borislav Nikolic | 57c | 650$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.5 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…d123backed Mark Vologdin | 36c | 625$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Mark Vologdin | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Borislav Nikolic | 68c | 527.31$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.32 | 381 | 53.5%204 W · 177 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…b9f5backed Mark Vologdin | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Borislav Nikolic | 58c | 517.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.87 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Mark Vologdin | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…8008backed Mark Vologdin | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Borislav Nikolic | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x819d…6e9cbacked Mark Vologdin | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Borislav Nikolic | 66c | 450.76$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed Mark Vologdin | 37c | 447$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbc…1d39backed Mark Vologdin | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 178 | 41.6%74 W · 104 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Borislav Nikolic | 78c | 434.35$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.12 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Borislav Nikolic | 64c | 423.87$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.89 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Mark Vologdin | 48c | 418.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb2…126abacked Mark Vologdin | 36c | 417.68$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.8 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed Mark Vologdin | 24c | 417.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bc…1627backed Mark Vologdin | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Borislav Nikolic vs. Mark Vologdin (Bantamweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.