TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5cbc…1d39

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
374
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT17841.6%74 W · 104 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 178 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Gregory Rodrigues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+177.6%+$1,420.59
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+110.8%+$110.85
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+164.7%+$164.74
UFC Fight Night: Anthony Wint vs. Terrance Chatman (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Terrance Chatman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Fight Night: Jamall Emmers vs. Lerryan Douglas (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Jamall Emmers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$696.67
UFC Fight Night: Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Nasrat Haqparast · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$164.71
UFC Fight Night: Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Gauge Young · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
UFC Fight Night: Wes Schultz vs. Jackson McVey (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Jackson McVey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$180.51
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Eduardo Chapolin (Catchweight, Prelims)backed Charles Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$212.83
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$133.02
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$194.12
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jan Blachowicz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Aleksandar Rakic win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
UFC Fight Night: Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Noah Gugnon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$176.09
UFC Fight Night: Borislav Nikolic vs. Mark Vologdin (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Mark Vologdin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Dennis Buzukja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 178 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT11850.8%60 W · 58 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 118 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$170.37
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$192.16
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 112.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+85.9%+$257.59
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$352
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+80.8%+$242.33
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+96.3%+$192.68
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+100.1%+$200.16
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$244.44
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$195
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$276.92
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$184.62
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$150.88
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
Showing 25 of 118 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$185
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$110.74
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
New York Yankees vs. Athleticsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+99.9%+$199.8
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$81.58
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.04
New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$30.65
San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Soxbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.55
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$40.79
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick25cpaid-2.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.18
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.53
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.1
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.2
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.99
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+135%+$88.29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$180
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$255.41
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$93
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+120.4%+$243.02
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+30.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$22.84
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-1.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$21.26
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.84
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.17
Spread: Florida Gators (-8.5)backed Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.35
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-5.5)backed UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$28.55
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-3.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.15
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-3.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.08
Duquesne Dukes vs. VCU Ramsbacked Duquesne Dukes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.99
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-41%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-73%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-69.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Chelsea FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$39.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$9.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-9.5)backed PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.