MLB · resolved market

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06a4bb04ff6f388b43519166794aa013f8c69ca99aeb5ba288a58fe3d07cd813

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $272,698
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $275,889

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $272,698 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Over	53c	114,600$60,288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60,288.38	11,356	52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L	+209.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under	47c	98,365$46,231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52,133.27	1,385	49.5%685 W · 700 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Over	52c	43,520$22,630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,630.48	501	53.5%268 W · 233 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab3…64afbacked Under	49c	40,817$20,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,816.59	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	51c	20,985$10,702 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,702.35	2,291	52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L	+24.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Over	49c	15,500$7,615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,614.75	794	42.4%337 W · 457 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Under	47c	10,000$4,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,300	362	46.1%167 W · 195 L	-8.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8853…c058backed Under	49c	10,000$4,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,150	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Under	47c	7,184$3,405 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,778.75	172	45.9%79 W · 93 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under	47c	6,500$3,055 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,444.99	217	48.4%105 W · 112 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under	60c	5,807$3,465 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,342.32	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under	47c	5,770$2,712 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,058.1	716	50.7%363 W · 353 L	+9.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Under	47c	4,500$2,115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,385	452	52.4%237 W · 215 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	47c	4,400$2,068 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,331.98	5,400	50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L	+17.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over	51c	4,331$2,209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,208.81	1,291	51%658 W · 633 L	-15.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	47c	4,249$1,997 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,251.93	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Under	47c	3,200$1,504 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,696	335	54%181 W · 154 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under	47c	3,024$1,431 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,592.65	1,555	48.9%761 W · 794 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Under	47c	2,876$1,356 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,519.69	399	53.6%214 W · 185 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Under	48c	2,825$1,356 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,468.95	385	51.4%198 W · 187 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	69c	2,542$1,762 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$779.82	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over	53c	2,536$1,344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,344.08	1,569	51.1%801 W · 768 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under	50c	2,389$1,192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,196.96	1,851	53.1%982 W · 869 L	+18.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over	52c	2,280$1,186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,185.6	707	44.7%316 W · 391 L	-22.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over	29c	2,191$635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$635.27	190	51.1%97 W · 93 L	+8.0wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+21%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	47c	1,951$919 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,032.52	1,284	49.5%635 W · 649 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	49c	1,732$850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$881.86	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under	49c	1,276$625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$650.76	680	53.2%362 W · 318 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under	47c	1,007$473 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$533.46	114	64%73 W · 41 L	+12.6wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over	54c	865.38$467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$467.31	877	50.4%442 W · 435 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Over	53c	864.69$458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$458.29	562	53.2%299 W · 263 L	+13.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x434a…91cbbacked Over	53c	788.22$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416.07	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc279…6465backed Under	49c	786.08$385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400.9	42	50%21 W · 21 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over	53c	641.51$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	265	45.7%121 W · 144 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under	48c	599.83$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$311.91	1,725	50.1%864 W · 861 L	-4.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Over	51c	502.21$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.11	305	48.9%149 W · 156 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Over	53c	455.34$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.78	215	47%101 W · 114 L	-8.4wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	56c	379.2$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.53	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Over	54c	370.37$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	660	50.2%331 W · 329 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5cbc…1d39backed Over	51c	362.75$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Under	49c	346.94$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.94	1,167	49%572 W · 595 L	+17.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	50c	309.88$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.94	4,477	48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L	-47.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Under	50c	270$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135	449	49.2%221 W · 228 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Over	53c	247.7$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.94	1,245	56.9%708 W · 537 L	+31.4wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Under	61c	232.86$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.69	2,144	39.6%849 W · 1,295 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9707…6fbdbacked Under	50c	218.54$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.27	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+1.7wins	+0.12per pick	52cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Under	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	812	57.3%465 W · 347 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	56c	201.35$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.97	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Under	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	652	48.3%315 W · 337 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under	49c	200$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	1,435	50%717 W · 718 L	+25.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over	50c	199.4$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.7	1,572	48.3%759 W · 813 L	-6.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3824backed Under	51c	196.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.08	107	46.7%50 W · 57 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c2…d39ebacked Over	53c	185.18$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.15	40	42.5%17 W · 23 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	48c	182.46$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.53	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa337…eebbbacked Over	52c	173.6$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.51	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-13%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over	52c	167.31$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	151	53%80 W · 71 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Over	52c	162.93$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.01	1,777	49.5%880 W · 897 L	+25.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Over	50c	150$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	736	53%390 W · 346 L	+21.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over	80c	147.2$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.76	873	52.7%460 W · 413 L	+9.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Over	52c	140.25$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.55	268	57.1%153 W · 115 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under	47c	138$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.14	546	42.5%232 W · 314 L	+7.5wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over	47c	134.89$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.12	5,786	43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L	-192.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x49f0…285fbacked Over	52c	133.88$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.15	83	42.2%35 W · 48 L	-9.7wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Under	28c	124.79$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.35	473	46.5%220 W · 253 L	+25.7wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+13%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over	53c	120$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.6	770	50.5%389 W · 381 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over	51c	107.86$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.01	3,832	42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under	46c	106.67$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.6	644	52.2%336 W · 308 L	+26.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked Under	47c	106.38$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.38	151	47.7%72 W · 79 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b94…09dcbacked Under	47c	106.38$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.38	114	41.2%47 W · 67 L	-8.3wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-14%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed Under	47c	106.37$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.38	133	44.4%59 W · 74 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Over	53c	103$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.59	423	55.6%235 W · 188 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38ba…92f7backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	92	46.7%43 W · 49 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under	47c	100$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	348	46.8%163 W · 185 L	-12.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Under	47c	100$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.27	1,056	44.3%468 W · 588 L	-25.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43ed…6232backed Over	52c	96.83$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.16	182	44.5%81 W · 101 L	-14.3wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under	48c	94.06$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.91	1,195	50%597 W · 598 L	+5.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x22a7…ca43backed Over	54c	90.74$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-4.2wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca08…08bdbacked Over	53c	87$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.11	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+3.9wins	+0.18per pick	53cpaid	+42%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under	47c	85.5$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.03	2,944	47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L	+4.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Under	48c	77.75$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.43	424	48.1%204 W · 220 L	-9.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Over	30c	76.37$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.91	434	59%256 W · 178 L	+19.9wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d13…082cbacked Under	47c	74.47$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.47	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f20…5d31backed Under	65c	74.44$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.07	129	46.5%60 W · 69 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3f5…42cabacked Over	70c	71.08$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.76	55	65.5%36 W · 19 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	64cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1465…e0dbbacked Under	37c	68.76$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.32	145	44.8%65 W · 80 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d50…26d1backed Under	49c	65.78$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.55	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2326…b627backed Over	24c	63$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.12	55	40%22 W · 33 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c96…0a39backed Under	48c	62.5$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.5	153	52.3%80 W · 73 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb4…b6e1backed Over	54c	61.11$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	140	53.6%75 W · 65 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Over	51c	58.82$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1,299	56.7%737 W · 562 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under	46c	55.79$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.17	478	52.3%250 W · 228 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e72…c55fbacked Under	48c	55.21$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.71	64	50%32 W · 32 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over	51c	54.49$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.79	2,021	39.5%798 W · 1,223 L	-25.7wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under	32c	50$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34	779	52.1%406 W · 373 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b89…9f72backed Over	52c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	107	56.1%60 W · 47 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Over	50c	49.26$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.63	357	47.6%170 W · 187 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe30…6d57backed Over	51c	49.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Under	47c	46.87$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.64	314	46.8%147 W · 167 L	-11.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x453d…2dbabacked Under	48c	46.6$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.23	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Over	53c	44.23$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.44	305	54.4%166 W · 139 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5this page
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota TwinsPhiladelphia Phillies won
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5Under won
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 11.5Under won
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota TwinsYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event