TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa337…eebb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: WNBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 57 out of 100; worst NFL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT2937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$14.1
Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.2
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.86
Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.45
Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.93
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.9
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.68
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.61
Texas Rangers vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$22.33
Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.29
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.88
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+467.5%+$51.7
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+80.6%+$29.82
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+118%+$21.71
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+78%+$7.95
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.67
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.12
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+83%+$9.51
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.13
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+86.5%+$45.17
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.43
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.51
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Peyton Stearns vs Clara Tausonbacked Clara Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+162.1%+$21.74
Cincinnati Open: Lois Boisson vs Belinda Bencicbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.51
Cincinnati Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$4.03
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$36.6
Cincinnati Open: Quentin Halys vs Alex de Minaurbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.93
Cincinnati Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$9.74
Cincinnati Open: Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.65
Cincinnati Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Karen Khachanovbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.64
Cincinnati Open: Sloane Stephens vs Sinja Krausbacked Sloane Stephens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$8.13
Cincinnati Open: Xinyu Wang vs Hanne Vandewinkelbacked Xinyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+73.3%+$14.68
Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Thanasi Kokkinakisbacked Thanasi Kokkinakis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.58
Cincinnati Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Christopher O'Connell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.06
Cincinnati Open: Lilli Tagger vs Talia Gibsonbacked Lilli Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.26
Cincinnati Open: J.J. Wolf vs James Duckworthbacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$4.4
Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.03
Cincinnati Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Alina Charaevabacked Alina Charaeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.12
Cincinnati Open: Coleman Wong vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignonbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$7.56
Cincinnati Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+71.9%+$13.7
Cincinnati Open: Cameron Norrie vs Dino Prizmicbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+89.8%+$13.53
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Mark Lajalbacked Aleksandar Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.68
Cincinnati Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$5.16
All 22 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.49
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26.53
Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.08
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.33
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+153.6%+$76.78
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.48
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.41
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.1
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.66
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+616.5%+$103.89
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.82
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.24
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.02
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+183.4%+$61.89
All 15 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-62.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFLlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Browns vs. Bearsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
MIA vs. WAS: O/U 37.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.45
Buccaneers vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.13
DET vs. CIN: O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.14
All 5 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 171.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+114.5%+$12.97
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+154.4%+$16.92
Spread: Washington Mystics (-6.5)backed Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+99.1%+$16.71
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+109.5%+$16.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+78.8%+$32.48
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.