Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b06aff495ed62b84e9c8da62e11b7bcd1eaedad4b290cb4fc6971deafed2642
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Yandex, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,089,591
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,293,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,089,591 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 849 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Team Yandex | 45c | 2,466,676$1,116,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116,668.88 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Team Spirit | 57c | 862,796$496,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366,748.47 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Team Spirit | 56c | 753,779$424,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329,130.29 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Team Spirit | 58c | 250,000$145,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed Team Spirit | 54c | 187,398$101,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,185.26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked Team Spirit | 58c | 95,873$55,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,433.25 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Spirit | 59c | 88,202$52,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,174.35 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2de…6781backed Team Yandex | 48c | 82,180$39,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,275.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Spirit | 53c | 66,825$35,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,675.03 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…92c5backed Team Spirit | 73c | 62,089$45,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,518.68 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Team Spirit | 58c | 60,059$34,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,327 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c3…bea3backed Team Spirit | 62c | 60,039$37,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,973.65 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Yandex | 45c | 56,734$25,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,592.67 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Team Yandex | 39c | 52,000$20,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,160 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit | 57c | 50,000$28,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,250 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2616…c6aabacked Team Spirit | 57c | 50,000$28,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Team Spirit | 59c | 50,000$29,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,499.99 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcacb…a3d0backed Team Yandex | 2c | 50,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked Team Yandex | 32c | 40,243$12,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,869.54 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…bce7backed Team Spirit | 58c | 35,031$20,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,663.64 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Team Spirit | 58c | 34,967$20,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,686.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Team Spirit | 67c | 32,978$22,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,953.18 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a7…dc87backed Team Spirit | 59c | 32,150$18,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,189.97 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Team Yandex | 37c | 31,927$11,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,772.26 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Team Spirit | 46c | 29,023$13,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,666.08 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Team Yandex | 36c | 28,676$10,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,381.23 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Team Spirit | 57c | 26,939$15,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,533.19 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7414…72a3backed Team Spirit | 61c | 25,973$15,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,099.72 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed Team Spirit | 56c | 25,658$14,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,291.9 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Spirit | 54c | 25,567$13,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,654.66 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Team Yandex | 31c | 23,715$7,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,335.4 | 474 | 50.8%241 W · 233 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Yandex | 41c | 23,456$9,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,662.22 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…6c00backed Team Spirit | 58c | 23,147$13,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,822.25 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Yandex | 49c | 23,000$11,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,264.89 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeac…32bfbacked Team Spirit | 64c | 22,815$14,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,102.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Team Spirit | 58c | 22,677$13,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,528.75 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…1c14backed Team Yandex | 39c | 22,000$8,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,579.99 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe760…f2f9backed Team Spirit | 74c | 20,350$14,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,352.93 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf23c…9f81backed Team Spirit | 55c | 20,042$10,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,102.18 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +5.8wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x05f6…25a1backed Team Spirit | 57c | 16,827$9,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,235.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Spirit | 58c | 16,372$9,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,957.39 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc83…08f4backed Team Yandex | 47c | 16,176$7,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,661.09 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Team Yandex | 38c | 16,107$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Team Spirit | 65c | 16,087$10,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,571.66 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Team Spirit | 60c | 15,522$9,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,200.49 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8002…8b6cbacked Team Spirit | 72c | 15,197$10,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,204.06 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Spirit | 61c | 15,000$9,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,799.99 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6df4…0b7abacked Team Yandex | 39c | 14,631$5,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,683.2 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f0…b287backed Team Spirit | 60c | 14,400$8,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,724 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…694fbacked Team Spirit | 64c | 14,000$8,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,071.99 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8bf3backed Team Yandex | 44c | 12,757$5,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,558.03 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Team Spirit | 56c | 12,613$7,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,603.95 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Spirit | 56c | 12,600$7,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,485.12 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Team Yandex | 41c | 12,576$5,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,157.02 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Yandex | 37c | 12,170$4,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,513.71 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2b…9e83backed Team Yandex | 41c | 11,509$4,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,706.01 | 184 | 46.7%86 W · 98 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53b2…9f96backed Team Yandex | 38c | 10,589$4,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,007.48 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Team Yandex | 36c | 10,581$3,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,762.99 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Team Spirit | 58c | 10,497$6,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,438.63 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1f…d6d5backed Team Spirit | 61c | 10,032$6,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,912.65 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Team Spirit | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a9febacked Team Yandex | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Team Yandex | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.98 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a21…9853backed Team Yandex | 41c | 9,979$4,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,093.03 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2787…e0c4backed Team Yandex | 44c | 9,800$4,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,274.41 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…5eeabacked Team Spirit | 58c | 9,429$5,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,942.96 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Team Spirit | 50c | 9,223$4,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,591.77 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Team Spirit | 58c | 9,000$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,749.99 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…0e8fbacked Team Spirit | 60c | 8,925$5,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,569.99 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked Team Spirit | 58c | 8,888$5,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,710.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…f0fbbacked Team Spirit | 54c | 8,833$4,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,043.11 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedfc…b7b1backed Team Yandex | 45c | 8,762$3,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,953.91 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84fb…675ebacked Team Yandex | 17c | 8,538$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.4 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Team Spirit | 69c | 8,175$5,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,563.12 | 504 | 49.2%248 W · 256 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…4179backed Team Yandex | 31c | 8,000$2,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,464.62 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked Team Spirit | 45c | 8,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 245 | 42.4%104 W · 141 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Team Spirit | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.99 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Team Yandex | 2c | 7,880$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 324 | 3.1%10 W · 314 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…8a5ebacked Team Spirit | 59c | 7,737$4,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,161.43 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…f907backed Team Spirit | 59c | 7,500$4,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,108 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Team Yandex | 44c | 7,500$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Yandex | 41c | 7,379$3,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,024.5 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Team Yandex | 39c | 7,000$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,730 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Team Yandex | 2c | 7,000$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…fccbbacked Team Yandex | 2c | 7,000$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0587…c40bbacked Team Spirit | 51c | 6,832$3,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,313.98 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…e4e4backed Team Yandex | 37c | 6,480$2,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,416.22 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Team Spirit | 69c | 6,459$4,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010.9 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…186cbacked Team Spirit | 58c | 6,409$3,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,659.87 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +10.5wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Spirit | 56c | 6,334$3,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,786.86 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Spirit | 58c | 6,205$3,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,589.71 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e2…826cbacked Team Yandex | 61c | 6,129$3,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,764.81 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…4959backed Team Yandex | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819.99 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…c07dbacked Team Yandex | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,359.59 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Team Spirit | 57c | 5,931$3,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,536.52 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Team Yandex | 34c | 5,748$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.55 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed Team Yandex | 40c | 5,617$2,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,231.86 | 185 | 60.5%112 W · 73 L | +12.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c03…8e6ebacked Team Yandex | 1c | 5,555$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Team Yandex | 36c | 5,488$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.13 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked Team Spirit | 60c | 5,409$3,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,167.94 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International PlayoffsTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- First Blood in Game 2?Team Yandex won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)Team Spirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.