Dota2 · resolved market
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed57c2ae9ae7aec3a74ce8b83cd1dfc5a82ff03a46233dc94bfba65b4562e6a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Spirit, Team Yandex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $334,578
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $341,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $334,578 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0344…f4dbbacked Team Yandex | 61c | 271,436$166,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166,502.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Team Spirit | 40c | 184,537$73,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110,903.94 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Spirit | 36c | 63,671$23,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,543.79 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Team Spirit | 35c | 22,769$7,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,878.31 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…6dfcbacked Team Yandex | 60c | 11,441$6,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,921.46 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Team Spirit | 36c | 10,441$3,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,682.24 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee46…faa0backed Team Spirit | 42c | 5,650$2,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,267.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc581…0f24backed Team Spirit | 41c | 5,494$2,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,241.91 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Team Spirit | 38c | 4,873$1,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,021.39 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2d…5b40backed Team Yandex | 63c | 4,726$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Spirit | 36c | 2,796$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,793.4 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked Team Spirit | 28c | 2,680$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.59 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Team Yandex | 59c | 2,487$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.19 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Yandex | 57c | 2,312$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.53 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba7…9c8abacked Team Yandex | 58c | 2,302$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.37 | 80 | 20%16 W · 64 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…3897backed Team Yandex | 61c | 2,270$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.96 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e9…67ffbacked Team Yandex | 58c | 2,256$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.57 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Team Yandex | 60c | 2,200$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked Team Yandex | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.98 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Team Spirit | 37c | 1,630$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.94 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Yandex | 77c | 1,446$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.42 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Team Yandex | 60c | 1,444$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.4 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Yandex | 62c | 1,300$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.71 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…d69bbacked Team Spirit | 42c | 850$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…f2b5backed Team Yandex | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Yandex | 68c | 785.39$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.78 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Team Spirit | 38c | 774.98$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.49 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x891a…f778backed Team Spirit | 39c | 723.59$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.49 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Team Spirit | 40c | 646.84$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.11 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Team Spirit | 54c | 641.87$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.1 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Team Spirit | 37c | 625.72$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.43 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Spirit | 36c | 614.06$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.14 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Yandex | 72c | 610$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.1 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…54a4backed Team Spirit | 43c | 600.93$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.93 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed Team Spirit | 40c | 588.27$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.48 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c8…2313backed Team Yandex | 59c | 507.4$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Team Yandex | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Team Yandex | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Team Yandex | 59c | 474.46$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.11 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Team Yandex | 64c | 413.3$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.51 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Team Spirit | 38c | 399.97$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.98 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Team Spirit | 39c | 377.43$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.55 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…a97ebacked Team Spirit | 45c | 331.04$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.94 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked Team Yandex | 57c | 325$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.25 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe809…039bbacked Team Spirit | 39c | 324.13$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.34 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…fd05backed Team Yandex | 55c | 310.49$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.77 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…416cbacked Team Yandex | 65c | 306.18$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Team Yandex | 61c | 300$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.5 | 334 | 45.2%151 W · 183 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked Team Spirit | 40c | 300$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.5 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Team Yandex | 60c | 290$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 267 | 41.9%112 W · 155 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Team Yandex | 59c | 265.57$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.69 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Team Spirit | 39c | 256.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.67 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d56fbacked Team Yandex | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Team Spirit | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Team Yandex | 57c | 243.38$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.73 | 268 | 46.6%125 W · 143 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0349…8b6ebacked Team Yandex | 61c | 229.51$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…4959backed Team Yandex | 61c | 226.67$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.27 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Team Spirit | 42c | 223.71$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.75 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Spirit | 43c | 212.34$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.32 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb10…5080backed Team Yandex | 62c | 209.68$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42cd…2359backed Team Yandex | 61c | 204.92$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Team Yandex | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x577e…d876backed Team Yandex | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Team Spirit | 40c | 198.33$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x355b…4fb7backed Team Yandex | 59c | 189.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x915e…93b6backed Team Spirit | 36c | 169.32$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.36 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…ff8cbacked Team Yandex | 61c | 164.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…73c7backed Team Yandex | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…665cbacked Team Yandex | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a91…3eb7backed Team Yandex | 66c | 160$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Team Spirit | 39c | 154.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.25 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Team Spirit | 73c | 152.41$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.15 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c9…271bbacked Team Yandex | 61c | 150$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51fc…5922backed Team Spirit | 42c | 150$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Team Spirit | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 222 | 60.4%134 W · 88 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Team Spirit | 41c | 133.28$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.64 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…1ce7backed Team Yandex | 59c | 129.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.69 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Team Spirit | 39c | 128$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Team Yandex | 53c | 116.52$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.21 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…e825backed Team Spirit | 43c | 116$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.12 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…dd2bbacked Team Yandex | 44c | 113.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Team Yandex | 52c | 111.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.37 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f90…4c92backed Team Spirit | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…03f9backed Team Yandex | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…cfcbbacked Team Yandex | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked Team Spirit | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 418 | 64.1%268 W · 150 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Team Spirit | 39c | 97.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.44 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d2…510abacked Team Spirit | 36c | 95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.64 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e8…f707backed Team Yandex | 65c | 94.06$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.14 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b39…8b50backed Team Yandex | 61c | 90.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Team Spirit | 42c | 89.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Team Spirit | 42c | 86.56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.84 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Team Spirit | 64c | 84.43$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3504…d4f1backed Team Yandex | 60c | 83.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec6…db1ebacked Team Spirit | 50c | 80.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 105 | 57.1%60 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x564e…75a2backed Team Spirit | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x405f…747fbacked Team Yandex | 60c | 73.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Team Spirit | 39c | 71.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.59 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec80…7298backed Team Yandex | 50c | 70.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…b13abacked Team Yandex | 64c | 70$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)this page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International PlayoffsTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- First Blood in Game 2?Team Yandex won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.