TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x363c…9b0e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
222
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 53 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT12148.8%59 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 121 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: FTS vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Abacked PuckChamp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$160
Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Abacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$212
Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)backed TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$595Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$594.5
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs TEAM VISION (+1.5)backed TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$350
Game Handicap: VSN (-2.5) vs Team Spirit (+2.5)backed TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.22
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$860
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,727Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,727.06
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$715Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$715
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$180.16
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$405.21
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,896Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$1,498.39
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,239.98
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,777Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,777.2
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$493
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$316.43
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$618Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$617.91
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,449.92
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$488.68
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$440.3
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,631Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$768.99
Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)backed TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$672Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$671.97
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$692Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$691.66
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$400
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$7,642Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$5,157.99
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)backed BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$675Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$674.75
Showing 25 of 121 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT432.3%1 W · 42 L-5.4wins-0.13per pick15cpaid-96.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,383Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,383.16
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$519.7
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$4,536Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,536.18
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$425.1
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$377.61
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$138.92
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$223.19
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.05
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.03
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$141.2
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$547Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$547.27
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$79.61
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$350
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,736Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,735.81
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$5,957Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$5,956.78
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,025Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,024.59
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$828Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$827.64
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$6,790Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$6,789.85
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$330
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2516%4 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-68.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,227.72
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$589Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$589.42
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.18
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$594Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$594
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.96
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$3,423Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,422.99
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,315Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+107%+$1,407.22
Exact Score: France 2 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.7
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$779Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$778.76
Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+153.2%+$2,297.47
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,747Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,746.56
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+80.5%+$2,012.69
Will Estonia win on 2025-10-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$220
Will Hungary win on 2025-10-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+37%+$135
All 25 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester City vs. Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+138.1%+$319
Spread: Newcastle (-0.5)backed Newcastle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Crystal Palace vs. Brentford: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$104
Brighton vs. Leeds United: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$96
Aston Villa vs. Manchester City: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$265
Arsenal vs. Crystal Palace: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$265
Spread: Chelsea (-1.5)backed Chelsea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$335.99
Liverpool vs. Manchester United: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$315
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$344
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$240
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-10-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$306
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 7, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$220
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$105
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 30, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Dolphins (-2.5)backed Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$147
Spread: Vikings (-2.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+96.9%+$241.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Parma win on 2025-09-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$189
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$159
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 2, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Plzen win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$147
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close between $4700 and $4800 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$636Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$636
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$132
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$276
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.