Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fbbb85445aaafada34e5d94c50b787038729a26b8aa995e0f18158e2019d94e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,250,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,865,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,250,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 496 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f8e…10f2backed Yes | 0c | 380,735$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a63…4256backed Yes | 0c | 380,605$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fe…f135backed Yes | 16c | 126,065$20,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,767.82 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 23cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 2c | 107,801$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.11 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf57…77c7backed Yes | 1c | 107,496$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.12 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -78%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked No | 75c | 86,835$64,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,021.98 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0914…9c93backed Yes | 4c | 77,236$2,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,867.73 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5755…473cbacked Yes | 14c | 56,394$7,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,676.88 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07ca…a694backed No | 79c | 49,632$38,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,637.58 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 4c | 47,514$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.16 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb267…5f55backed Yes | 25c | 45,792$11,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,477.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…bb68backed Yes | 11c | 40,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Yes | 20c | 40,000$7,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,971.4 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63a9…9a69backed Yes | 5c | 31,803$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.26 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04c…9036backed Yes | 6c | 30,606$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748.48 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -83%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8179…0a06backed Yes | 21c | 30,558$6,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,506.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc1…dfcdbacked Yes | 2c | 30,136$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.98 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff3…b0febacked Yes | 27c | 30,027$8,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,113.21 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…2fa1backed Yes | 8c | 25,992$2,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,196.02 | 64 | 3.1%2 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d4…74babacked Yes | 17c | 21,362$3,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,733.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c5…bbefbacked Yes | 20c | 19,546$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11bc…b2a5backed Yes | 6c | 17,951$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +77%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61b1…cd59backed Yes | 0c | 17,489$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9d…45debacked Yes | 6c | 16,903$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 7c | 16,880$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.71 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf212…28c7backed Yes | 3c | 16,870$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.83 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed Yes | 9c | 16,818$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked Yes | 3c | 16,749$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.27 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 15cpaid | -96.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed Yes | 0c | 15,076$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.23 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6846…b797backed No | 65c | 15,000$9,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,250 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d90…f272backed Yes | 4c | 14,228$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.82 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 14,067$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.25 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 12,400$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.72 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 10c | 12,005$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.2 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…6be7backed Yes | 20c | 10,999$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,189.83 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde66…6981backed Yes | 15c | 10,648$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e7…245dbacked Yes | 4c | 10,511$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c98…ef88backed Yes | 6c | 10,465$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.94 | 49 | 4.1%2 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc14e…4585backed Yes | 1c | 10,292$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 12c | 10,117$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80c7…9370backed Yes | 5c | 10,106$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…de68backed Yes | 1c | 10,003$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…abacbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3e…abeabacked Yes | 2c | 9,956$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -91.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa740…ee18backed Yes | 4c | 9,896$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.03 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 80c | 9,194$7,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.22 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8f…20abbacked No | 74c | 8,841$6,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,298.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6294…33f3backed No | 76c | 8,644$6,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,037.13 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ee…9a18backed Yes | 6c | 8,000$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.37 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf445…1f8abacked Yes | 4c | 7,970$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.8 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2609…9179backed Yes | 6c | 7,925$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x131f…2fedbacked Yes | 18c | 7,456$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.05 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 3c | 7,011$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.95 | 146 | 3.4%5 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe955…1989backed Yes | 20c | 7,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacca…c8f2backed No | 80c | 6,752$5,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 79cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 3c | 6,720$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.7 | 212 | 5.7%12 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 10c | 6,688$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.73 | 61 | 11.5%7 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…783ebacked Yes | 15c | 6,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 2c | 6,307$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.87 | 120 | 3.3%4 W · 116 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d41…23d9backed Yes | 5c | 5,814$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes | 14c | 5,729$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.03 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e17…0da1backed Yes | 1c | 5,687$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…c199backed Yes | 1c | 5,653$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab1e…bb2ebacked Yes | 6c | 5,221$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d1…e9c1backed Yes | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b91…e572backed Yes | 4c | 5,000$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.95 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…6bf5backed Yes | 3c | 4,920$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb73…e3a4backed Yes | 1c | 4,889$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7af4…ddddbacked Yes | 1c | 4,874$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b4…3b36backed Yes | 5c | 4,859$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.88 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…e383backed Yes | 6c | 4,591$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.88 | 90 | 4.4%4 W · 86 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…4594backed Yes | 22c | 4,490$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.83 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe665…9fd2backed Yes | 9c | 4,336$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 3c | 4,324$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.7 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52c1…f251backed Yes | 1c | 4,287$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7e…5ba1backed Yes | 24c | 4,200$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aed…46fabacked Yes | 16c | 4,120$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.41 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…84b7backed No | 74c | 4,100$3,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9e…eddcbacked Yes | 18c | 3,969$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…f5b9backed Yes | 8c | 3,912$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c1…91d3backed Yes | 26c | 3,904$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…934cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,823$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1aa…40adbacked Yes | 1c | 3,815$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed Yes | 4c | 3,651$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.29 | 78 | 1.3%1 W · 77 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 6cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 4c | 3,627$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.41 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8731…1181backed No | 78c | 3,606$2,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 2c | 3,600$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 68 | 10.3%7 W · 61 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed No | 79c | 3,549$2,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.63 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…8070backed No | 73c | 3,500$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.99 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf902…df82backed Yes | 16c | 3,400$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07bd…d1cdbacked Yes | 1c | 3,393$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.11 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf966…86e7backed Yes | 2c | 3,333$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a4…fcd4backed Yes | 3c | 3,221$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bc…543ebacked Yes | 3c | 3,053$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 2c | 3,048$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.08 | 107 | 3.7%4 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e57…5640backed Yes | 33c | 3,012$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7a…abb7backed Yes | 4c | 3,011$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked No | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1307…bd75backed Yes | 4c | 2,963$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.55 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 16cpaid | +80%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.