Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3cfc885ca1a482af4057f39937398fa5adc7a0b61e2381956384af1bf59ce6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,479,019
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,366,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,479,019 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,306 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked No | 72c | 470,506$339,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131,062.07 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 6c | 234,348$15,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,055.35 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6846…b797backed No | 51c | 214,596$108,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106,147.29 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f26…d136backed No | 78c | 175,858$136,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,215.04 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Yes | 3c | 169,122$5,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,666.35 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf915…8720backed No | 54c | 135,182$73,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,649.35 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 62cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked No | 63c | 113,139$71,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,496.17 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 12c | 106,529$13,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,070.3 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff3…b0febacked Yes | 44c | 99,826$44,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,184.49 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fe…f135backed Yes | 44c | 84,243$36,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,803.49 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 23cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0914…9c93backed Yes | 6c | 83,322$5,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,038.54 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf57…77c7backed Yes | 2c | 82,253$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.14 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -78%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc504…7a4cbacked Yes | 10c | 76,707$7,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,534.42 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf381…40c2backed Yes | 5c | 74,227$3,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,976.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed Yes | 20c | 68,355$13,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,799.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc1…dfcdbacked Yes | 4c | 66,495$2,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,680.55 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6913…e865backed Yes | 3c | 62,388$1,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 35c | 59,879$21,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,087.41 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5509…b402backed Yes | 63c | 50,055$31,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,735.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a8…586abacked No | 75c | 49,245$36,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,363.75 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…65a5backed Yes | 31c | 48,510$15,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,003.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +115.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes | 51c | 47,925$24,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,327.89 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 7c | 46,446$3,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,174.45 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 22c | 41,956$9,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,099.46 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9906…682fbacked Yes | 5c | 41,665$2,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,201.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda0…9b66backed Yes | 10c | 40,563$3,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,972.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae59…83a2backed Yes | 8c | 38,601$3,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,098.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…238cbacked No | 44c | 38,593$17,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,478.86 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 38c | 37,870$14,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,305.08 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe955…1989backed Yes | 32c | 35,103$11,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,140.77 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x430f…5947backed No | 70c | 34,885$24,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,465.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04c…9036backed Yes | 30c | 34,360$10,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,312.37 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -83%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33d2…952ebacked No | 79c | 33,287$26,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,069.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Yes | 35c | 33,000$11,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,624.71 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeed4…c1c2backed Yes | 24c | 32,936$7,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,849.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…4594backed Yes | 33c | 32,781$10,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,842.64 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 28c | 32,513$8,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,989.88 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d0…efacbacked Yes | 10c | 30,095$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998.56 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd864…497ebacked Yes | 10c | 28,807$2,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,858.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf95…694dbacked Yes | 7c | 28,317$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 61c | 27,142$16,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,691.3 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f00…78d5backed Yes | 10c | 26,783$2,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,738.02 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbe…7e51backed Yes | 7c | 26,620$1,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ca…a694backed No | 70c | 26,473$18,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,913.9 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a8…2631backed Yes | 2c | 26,346$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 14c | 26,293$3,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.14 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc14e…4585backed Yes | 4c | 25,338$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x131f…2fedbacked Yes | 37c | 24,696$9,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,119.08 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…d5bdbacked No | 62c | 24,147$14,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,163.01 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb73…e3a4backed Yes | 3c | 24,075$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f8…7448backed Yes | 39c | 23,222$8,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,980.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf523…edb2backed Yes | 17c | 22,902$3,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,844.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe553…c31cbacked Yes | 13c | 22,636$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 22,152$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.1 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4690…df50backed Yes | 10c | 22,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62e2…975dbacked Yes | 49c | 21,031$10,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,240 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c6…4d04backed Yes | 8c | 20,613$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 0c | 20,367$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -93.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b4…3b36backed Yes | 10c | 20,354$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,043.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa392…1415backed No | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2621…8a4ebacked Yes | 3c | 20,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 32c | 19,549$6,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,297.28 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a5…f734backed Yes | 51c | 19,355$9,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,873.24 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed No | 65c | 19,063$12,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,613.86 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635f…2225backed Yes | 31c | 18,992$5,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,816.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d3…b798backed Yes | 2c | 18,890$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3e…abeabacked Yes | 7c | 18,808$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.75 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -91.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6594…9a61backed No | 55c | 18,629$10,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,448.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed No | 57c | 18,421$10,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,857.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +172.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b91…e572backed Yes | 36c | 18,151$6,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,584.99 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 6c | 17,920$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.05 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed Yes | 36c | 17,736$6,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,359.57 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c86…c4f6backed Yes | 42c | 17,643$7,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,486.45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e5…0920backed Yes | 9c | 17,595$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8f…20abbacked No | 64c | 17,531$11,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,338.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea96…11e3backed Yes | 26c | 17,000$4,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,344.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4044…8de5backed No | 46c | 16,997$7,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,193.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +360.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a99…a499backed Yes | 48c | 16,789$8,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,133.12 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…6be7backed Yes | 36c | 16,726$6,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,054.02 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dad…5c37backed Yes | 3c | 16,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef1a…46b8backed Yes | 6c | 16,621$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9d…4d8bbacked No | 65c | 16,000$10,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,650 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…bb68backed Yes | 25c | 15,981$3,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,995.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66f…8e0cbacked No | 73c | 15,732$11,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,290.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 15,343$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.66 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 14c | 14,051$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.7 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0540…98ebbacked Yes | 37c | 14,013$5,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,222.96 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ee…9c7fbacked Yes | 33c | 13,994$4,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,681.03 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed No | 54c | 13,900$7,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,342.94 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c26…0b31backed Yes | 2c | 13,883$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec72…1ac1backed No | 72c | 13,825$9,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,852.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d0…d98bbacked Yes | 38c | 13,714$5,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,175.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…2885backed Yes | 15c | 13,623$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 21c | 13,605$2,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,797.58 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…8b38backed Yes | 31c | 13,368$4,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,201.72 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…7ebfbacked Yes | 33c | 13,034$4,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,336.18 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bde…8c91backed No | 57c | 13,000$7,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,595.39 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.39per pick | 39cpaid | +150.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x790e…76afbacked Yes | 32c | 13,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…4612backed Yes | 58c | 12,916$7,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,446.31 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 3c | 12,370$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.55 | 120 | 3.3%4 W · 116 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.