Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6d2da0bf8a79794daebc24e43f67e8ef9b09c0577b2be5392d3f210a57dd039
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $236,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $283,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $236,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 321 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 69c | 28,219$19,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,800.37 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x472b…c594backed Yes | 73c | 22,092$16,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,067.21 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a90…93bfbacked No | 36c | 21,000$7,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,652.21 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 70c | 18,920$13,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,640.22 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Yes | 72c | 13,645$9,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,801.01 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…ae33backed Yes | 65c | 12,181$7,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,255.14 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca3e…f2fabacked No | 30c | 10,716$3,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,239.45 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 33c | 10,000$3,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,267.46 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc30a…353bbacked No | 26c | 8,286$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,195 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked No | 34c | 7,259$2,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,497.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 69c | 3,694$2,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.15 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd49c…8150backed Yes | 67c | 3,320$2,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.13 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…9026backed No | 34c | 3,290$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.93 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13cb…a48abacked No | 32c | 3,085$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.62 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…bc3dbacked No | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…afacbacked Yes | 76c | 1,917$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.29 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x658d…b95dbacked Yes | 72c | 1,844$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.32 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x249c…2783backed No | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7b…688bbacked Yes | 79c | 1,600$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x460f…e20bbacked No | 3c | 1,515$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…5788backed No | 35c | 1,472$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13d7…58b3backed No | 32c | 1,460$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed No | 28c | 1,131$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.65 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd188…f605backed No | 29c | 1,036$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 27c | 1,001$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.85 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -62%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 66c | 1,000$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked Yes | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b11…8625backed No | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf478…aaa2backed No | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked No | 26c | 884.77$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.59 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45ef…d3f6backed No | 23c | 750$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.23 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a9…6a74backed Yes | 69c | 663.18$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…51b7backed No | 29c | 637.21$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65e4…be3abacked Yes | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked No | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 68 | 10.3%7 W · 61 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c3…4996backed Yes | 71c | 582.66$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a7…11cdbacked Yes | 68c | 580.15$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…834fbacked Yes | 76c | 555.79$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1602…cbf7backed Yes | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…26b1backed No | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd07b…1898backed Yes | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba61…5b0abacked Yes | 69c | 487.96$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…1494backed Yes | 71c | 477.77$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 18c | 454.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c97…1b68backed Yes | 72c | 444$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…65bbbacked Yes | 71c | 434.37$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94df…5797backed No | 35c | 418$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9710…230dbacked Yes | 68c | 406.48$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8404…831fbacked Yes | 69c | 392.69$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x259a…991dbacked Yes | 68c | 390.22$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.22 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8463…fccdbacked Yes | 70c | 380.01$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 26c | 370.97$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.83 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…48cfbacked Yes | 63c | 370$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 7c | 355.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa94f…0045backed No | 29c | 343.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd67c…84d0backed Yes | 71c | 332.42$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8d…ef26backed No | 35c | 332$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbd…21d7backed Yes | 69c | 331.84$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8a…e09abacked No | 35c | 329$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a62…ae3abacked Yes | 67c | 323.11$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x293e…9b12backed Yes | 67c | 310.12$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca9…b942backed Yes | 65c | 305.34$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd958…6745backed No | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4296…338ebacked Yes | 75c | 303$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068f…0084backed Yes | 69c | 293.89$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4329…b63bbacked No | 31c | 284.71$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.49 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2e…6856backed No | 36c | 270$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.1 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e38…2b9abacked No | 35c | 270$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 30c | 267.12$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.14 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…a495backed No | 21c | 253.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930c…71dabacked Yes | 68c | 250.97$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…096cbacked Yes | 67c | 243.22$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c26…4f84backed Yes | 67c | 238.35$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb72…e9b5backed Yes | 65c | 229$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd535…fa67backed No | 36c | 225$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c7…8f62backed Yes | 65c | 225$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe1…b9b5backed Yes | 67c | 224.97$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…3da7backed No | 25c | 212.76$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.73 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -58%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea3a…f78ebacked No | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…f0afbacked No | 31c | 200$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.67 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…92c5backed No | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…6e56backed Yes | 68c | 199.98$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…3b7cbacked Yes | 65c | 196$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d7…f54bbacked No | 33c | 188$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…35eabacked Yes | 70c | 186.33$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a01…7a30backed No | 33c | 184$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98c8…221ebacked Yes | 65c | 182$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b93…ecf5backed Yes | 65c | 178$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…fa90backed Yes | 65c | 177$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2f…3c79backed Yes | 65c | 176$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7128…24c2backed Yes | 65c | 176$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f2…73b9backed Yes | 67c | 172.72$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36cf…d8febacked No | 33c | 169$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab0d…9572backed Yes | 67c | 164$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf16…7b41backed No | 35c | 154$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac14…9c8fbacked No | 33c | 153$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce3…8438backed No | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…4608backed No | 33c | 146$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…6c58backed No | 28c | 141.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.