Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe84b1fdc087f4153ebf15cfc07f065dd5a66f3caf370b4547ea8e02100be95be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,211,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,767,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,211,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,761 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed No | 66c | 470,350$309,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160,599.1 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45fb…713abacked Yes | 18c | 407,814$73,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,238.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…bac2backed Yes | 4c | 267,778$11,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,447.48 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7d…1f87backed No | 44c | 201,976$88,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113,778.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf915…8720backed No | 73c | 179,954$131,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,204.88 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 62cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dc…11bbbacked Yes | 32c | 178,758$57,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,098.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 8c | 154,106$12,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,872.24 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked No | 61c | 130,259$79,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,234.6 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b84…b7d0backed Yes | 6c | 121,275$7,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,012.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe812…2a06backed Yes | 61c | 119,267$73,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,083.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…abacbacked Yes | 0c | 99,999$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a0…60c3backed Yes | 2c | 95,441$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.24 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 73c | 93,696$68,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,881.32 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked No | 77c | 92,043$70,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,246.62 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa42d…2e9abacked No | 42c | 90,127$38,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,976.55 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07ca…a694backed No | 74c | 87,808$65,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,766.12 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 3c | 84,694$2,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,492.26 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa40a…fa62backed Yes | 66c | 84,672$55,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,727.01 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…b6a5backed Yes | 1c | 83,024$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.86 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…b09bbacked No | 41c | 67,934$27,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,060.38 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…6be7backed Yes | 2c | 67,768$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.75 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9514…0dd6backed Yes | 60c | 63,490$37,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,798.31 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 51cpaid | -78%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf66f…8e0cbacked No | 49c | 60,630$29,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,696.73 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 15c | 58,932$9,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,086.84 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 3c | 56,915$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,892.89 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ee…9c7fbacked Yes | 1c | 54,809$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.45 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked No | 55c | 53,623$29,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,884.46 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f69…9c7abacked No | 62c | 50,850$31,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,425.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 1c | 50,738$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.78 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x901c…2d73backed Yes | 23c | 50,409$11,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,631.02 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0c…d6edbacked No | 76c | 50,256$38,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,888.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3974…0a37backed No | 74c | 49,753$36,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,765.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe49a…e2dcbacked Yes | 43c | 49,581$21,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,167.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 26c | 48,137$12,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,599.74 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…efe0backed Yes | 1c | 45,179$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.36 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed No | 76c | 40,135$30,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,739.25 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf7…1b90backed Yes | 64c | 39,780$25,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,453.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…657fbacked Yes | 72c | 38,028$27,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,355.91 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…62e0backed No | 45c | 37,729$16,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,760.61 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef49…5fc1backed No | 53c | 37,422$19,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,682.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 44c | 37,106$16,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,608.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…7789backed Yes | 51c | 36,565$18,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,558.31 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 31c | 34,419$10,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,558.87 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed No | 31c | 34,289$10,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,760.79 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa853…da85backed No | 78c | 34,207$26,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,398.92 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52ad…337dbacked No | 33c | 33,360$10,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,435.26 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8b…7075backed Yes | 0c | 33,333$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64df…b618backed Yes | 1c | 33,325$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…8e65backed Yes | 0c | 33,000$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 49c | 32,353$15,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,449.12 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 2c | 31,807$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.2 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9f…91dbbacked Yes | 4c | 31,554$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 22c | 31,000$6,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,890 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +163.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa944…461abacked Yes | 3c | 30,718$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0575…7eebbacked No | 79c | 30,424$24,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,405.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed No | 56c | 29,656$16,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,997.48 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3283…1da9backed Yes | 68c | 29,622$20,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,283.56 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.28per pick | 55cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d10…957cbacked Yes | 17c | 29,210$5,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,050 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 30c | 29,094$8,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,427.57 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked No | 51c | 29,001$14,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,188.91 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24f0…7ad4backed No | 53c | 28,368$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,367.67 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…2fa1backed Yes | 3c | 28,250$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.31 | 64 | 3.1%2 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed No | 35c | 28,178$9,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,207.16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca33…918cbacked Yes | 4c | 28,065$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…f608backed Yes | 0c | 28,029$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf25…3b7fbacked No | 79c | 27,749$21,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,858.24 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked No | 29c | 26,287$7,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,730.37 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 44c | 26,044$11,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,689.03 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc31c…7830backed Yes | 60c | 25,727$15,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,530.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +149.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 6c | 25,264$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe314…36b0backed Yes | 59c | 24,754$14,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,704.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed Yes | 0c | 24,734$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.53 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…c5c8backed Yes | 22c | 24,438$5,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,391.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…d5bdbacked Yes | 17c | 24,388$4,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,028.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2e…75eabacked Yes | 63c | 24,384$15,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,276.83 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2383…3f78backed Yes | 31c | 24,325$7,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,432.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked No | 62c | 23,805$14,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,978.6 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +177.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe34e…bd53backed No | 55c | 22,782$12,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,339.44 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…ce59backed Yes | 34c | 22,530$7,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,605.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fda…01d5backed No | 34c | 22,287$7,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,689.74 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc64d…a1c9backed No | 60c | 21,914$13,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,852.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked No | 46c | 21,746$10,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,730.19 | 65 | 9.2%6 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3e…f2fabacked Yes | 61c | 20,997$12,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,852.61 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…ee4cbacked Yes | 0c | 20,845$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdd…13f3backed No | 21c | 20,762$4,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,439.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +222.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 46c | 20,668$9,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,199.22 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd20…b78ebacked Yes | 69c | 20,557$14,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,206.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa392…1415backed No | 58c | 20,545$11,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,552.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb66…3103backed Yes | 62c | 20,000$12,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,351.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…32acbacked Yes | 49c | 19,992$9,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,737.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c83…0f55backed Yes | 3c | 19,574$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.22 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea1d…e993backed No | 79c | 19,371$15,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,975.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2a…ab7dbacked Yes | 60c | 19,096$11,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,387.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd5…cf04backed No | 75c | 18,879$14,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,750.67 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…783ebacked Yes | 27c | 18,870$5,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,009.99 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d09…3150backed Yes | 60c | 18,587$11,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,166.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 57c | 18,320$10,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,824.99 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda68…7ee2backed No | 41c | 18,000$7,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,619.24 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed No | 28c | 17,888$4,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,917.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7915…a329backed Yes | 6c | 17,796$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.17 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -63%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.