TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6402…2fa1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
144
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT643.1%2 W · 62 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-72.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.1
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$655Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$654.58
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$336.87
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$840
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$281.19
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$795Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$794.99
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$2,003Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,003.22
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,078Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,077.99
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$952Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$952
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.69
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$579.99
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$384.9
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,057Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,056.8
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,241Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,241
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,837Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,836.84
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$4,317Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,316.76
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$5,764Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,764.45
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$4,696Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,696.27
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2227.3%6 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.91
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$31.8
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$60.62
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.65
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.78
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+525%+$109.2
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$68
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.05
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$59.2
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.36
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.83
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$221.19
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$27.09
Will Inter Milan advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$376.13
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$24
All 22 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1612.5%2 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-73.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.23
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$170.98
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$3,138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$3,137.9
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$9,836Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$9,836.46
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$83
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$222.86
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$87.94
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$9,423Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$9,422.55
Over $30M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$162.32
Over $70M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$289.3
Over $50M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,130Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$1,129.97
Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$318.85
Pump.fun market cap (FDV) $4-6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$42.7
Pump.fun >$8B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$106
Pump.fun >$5B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+60.4%+$121.91
Pump.fun >$10B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$206
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.29
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.61
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+426.3%+$121.5
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+212.5%+$68
Tottenham Hotspur FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+124.4%+$124.06
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30.6
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+28.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-47.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick10cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-53.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
All 3 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick7cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$1,820
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$269.99
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$18.5
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.56
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.