UFC · resolved market
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc851fc5ae688d3d67bccb7c8f0ca475f61ebda796cfcddca7230042de6b48cfd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Max Hollowayof Max Holloway, Conor McGregor
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,549,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,530,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,549,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 5,333 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Conor McGregor | 28c | 1,700,095$478,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478,869.03 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cff…59dbbacked Max Holloway | 72c | 1,682,815$1,213,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469,060.09 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…ba32backed Conor McGregor | 33c | 1,390,545$459,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459,444.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Max Holloway | 71c | 1,258,797$899,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359,455.04 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Conor McGregor | 29c | 1,222,945$353,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353,016.25 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Conor McGregor | 28c | 1,002,256$280,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280,631.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Conor McGregor | 29c | 901,749$264,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264,551.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…5223backed Max Holloway | 71c | 870,971$619,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251,200.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4e…0232backed Max Holloway | 71c | 836,555$596,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240,235.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…2d54backed Max Holloway | 69c | 749,927$517,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232,477.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af0…d425backed Max Holloway | 67c | 691,108$464,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226,437.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Conor McGregor | 31c | 627,735$194,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194,514.23 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…ad91backed Conor McGregor | 34c | 599,998$203,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203,900.75 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Max Holloway | 65c | 581,922$378,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203,495.77 | 200 | 48.5%97 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Max Holloway | 71c | 568,261$404,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163,684.59 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…2ba0backed Max Holloway | 72c | 500,000$359,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140,500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Max Holloway | 67c | 450,000$301,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148,499.95 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…b784backed Max Holloway | 68c | 349,113$237,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111,475.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Conor McGregor | 33c | 333,333$110,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109,999.86 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e3bcbacked Max Holloway | 71c | 332,358$235,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,383.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1057…9ea5backed Max Holloway | 66c | 327,527$214,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112,859.21 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x533c…2658backed Max Holloway | 68c | 282,422$192,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,174.86 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86d2…731dbacked Max Holloway | 72c | 280,644$202,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,580.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f0…5355backed Max Holloway | 70c | 279,999$195,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,999.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Conor McGregor | 31c | 271,926$83,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,577.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7124…f0b5backed Conor McGregor | 30c | 239,646$70,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,815.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Conor McGregor | 28c | 222,417$63,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,027.97 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Conor McGregor | 30c | 213,400$63,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,000 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x381b…4d74backed Conor McGregor | 32c | 210,000$66,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,900 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Conor McGregor | 28c | 207,739$58,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,166.82 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd85d…3f48backed Conor McGregor | 27c | 200,000$54,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,000.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ec…2493backed Max Holloway | 73c | 200,000$146,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Max Holloway | 69c | 199,998$137,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,999.51 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed Conor McGregor | 28c | 190,832$52,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,981.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Max Holloway | 72c | 190,000$136,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,200 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…6f94backed Max Holloway | 65c | 168,742$109,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,304.44 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Conor McGregor | 35c | 160,000$56,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,999.99 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Conor McGregor | 29c | 135,220$39,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,566.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d32…9dfcbacked Conor McGregor | 30c | 125,256$37,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,576.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Max Holloway | 71c | 123,201$87,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,728.17 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ba…5933backed Max Holloway | 71c | 117,999$83,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,219.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5540…fbf4backed Conor McGregor | 29c | 103,448$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Conor McGregor | 28c | 100,000$28,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,000 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed Max Holloway | 73c | 100,000$73,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Max Holloway | 70c | 100,000$70,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,999.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Max Holloway | 68c | 100,000$68,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,666.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Max Holloway | 67c | 99,999$66,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,999.63 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…acefbacked Max Holloway | 70c | 98,598$69,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,500.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Max Holloway | 66c | 95,000$62,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,549.83 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Conor McGregor | 29c | 91,940$26,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,965.05 | 267 | 36%96 W · 171 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Conor McGregor | 28c | 85,714$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbba…dbffbacked Conor McGregor | 29c | 83,333$24,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,305.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87dd…e210backed Conor McGregor | 33c | 81,708$26,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,963.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Max Holloway | 72c | 80,000$57,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,149.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd109…6fa0backed Conor McGregor | 33c | 80,000$26,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,399.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Max Holloway | 67c | 76,000$50,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,080 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa022…77f8backed Max Holloway | 69c | 74,353$51,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,979.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf40…87debacked Conor McGregor | 29c | 72,883$21,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,108.57 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Conor McGregor | 29c | 72,727$21,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,244.77 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd7…401fbacked Conor McGregor | 29c | 72,262$20,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,956.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Max Holloway | 72c | 70,000$50,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,799.99 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Max Holloway | 68c | 66,371$45,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,238.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e00…7ef8backed Conor McGregor | 30c | 65,533$19,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,696.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Max Holloway | 71c | 62,662$44,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,074.88 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Max Holloway | 65c | 60,000$39,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,000 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked Max Holloway | 70c | 60,000$42,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,949.95 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Conor McGregor | 33c | 53,744$17,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,472.48 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Max Holloway | 67c | 53,560$35,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,674.65 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc13c…a202backed Conor McGregor | 31c | 53,458$16,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,572 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…e964backed Max Holloway | 64c | 51,161$32,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,217.96 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Conor McGregor | 29c | 50,920$14,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,516.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Max Holloway | 74c | 50,463$37,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,120.36 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b02…4991backed Max Holloway | 65c | 50,039$32,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,513.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Max Holloway | 73c | 50,000$36,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,490.02 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Conor McGregor | 28c | 50,000$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Max Holloway | 68c | 50,000$33,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e17…d3d8backed Conor McGregor | 28c | 50,000$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Conor McGregor | 28c | 50,000$13,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,800 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Max Holloway | 66c | 50,000$33,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,999.96 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Conor McGregor | 30c | 50,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,999.89 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.5wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…5eeabacked Max Holloway | 70c | 46,656$32,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,094.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b04…e020backed Conor McGregor | 30c | 43,408$13,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,202.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45e…e704backed Conor McGregor | 28c | 43,092$12,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,065.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Conor McGregor | 31c | 43,000$13,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,399.99 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Conor McGregor | 14c | 42,497$5,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,915.67 | 152 | 38.2%58 W · 94 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc29e…a2cabacked Max Holloway | 70c | 41,911$29,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,573.23 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Conor McGregor | 27c | 41,853$11,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,401.82 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…2beabacked Conor McGregor | 36c | 40,000$14,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,350 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…29ebbacked Max Holloway | 69c | 38,444$26,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,917.55 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Conor McGregor | 27c | 38,320$10,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,448.15 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed Conor McGregor | 27c | 37,037$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31f0…e136backed Conor McGregor | 28c | 35,714$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c5…1e01backed Conor McGregor | 28c | 35,714$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x580d…eb6dbacked Max Holloway | 72c | 35,000$25,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d99…c027backed Conor McGregor | 29c | 34,483$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4795…0fb0backed Conor McGregor | 28c | 34,481$9,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,654.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Conor McGregor | 28c | 34,070$9,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,540.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…679dbacked Conor McGregor | 35c | 33,257$11,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,637.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4705…453ebacked Conor McGregor | 29c | 33,178$9,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,621.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +75%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3523…a266backed Conor McGregor | 29c | 33,113$9,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,602.72 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 3.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 4.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.