UFC · resolved market
Will Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83f5724151afc1545bcd34df014e1d5d43a591b668262bc07b9f4f8863970a91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $286,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $285,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $286,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 394 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 78c | 183,809$144,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,684.78 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765a…0c76backed Yes | 21c | 142,020$30,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,297.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 77c | 25,138$19,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,695.55 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…679dbacked Yes | 22c | 13,759$3,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,026.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked No | 76c | 8,097$6,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,935.79 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 76c | 5,966$4,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.39 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60c9…9e8abacked Yes | 24c | 5,747$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 76c | 5,300$4,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.55 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 68c | 5,251$3,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.08 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 73c | 4,836$3,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.05 | 225 | 48%108 W · 117 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc462…bbfdbacked Yes | 22c | 3,182$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd85d…3f48backed No | 71c | 3,061$2,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 79c | 3,000$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288e…f522backed Yes | 22c | 2,613$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb1…37d1backed Yes | 22c | 2,500$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…6cf1backed Yes | 22c | 2,164$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.09 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3784…8e66backed Yes | 1c | 2,098$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309e…b473backed Yes | 24c | 2,086$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…d10dbacked Yes | 24c | 2,055$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7c…586abacked Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…fd2bbacked Yes | 21c | 1,993$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa16…0b36backed Yes | 29c | 1,575$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed No | 77c | 1,472$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.54 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x428e…85a4backed Yes | 24c | 1,202$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 76c | 1,200$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf44d…68acbacked No | 76c | 1,200$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 77c | 1,200$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.99 | 159 | 60.4%96 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc035…ec07backed Yes | 25c | 1,088$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6950…b32abacked Yes | 28c | 1,062$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4338…2751backed Yes | 26c | 1,050$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed Yes | 15c | 1,050$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x317a…c1efbacked Yes | 25c | 1,050$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…c9fcbacked Yes | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcc…5f1bbacked Yes | 34c | 1,034$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56bc…a1e4backed Yes | 23c | 1,003$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c838backed Yes | 23c | 980.39$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 73c | 979.16$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.13 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a0…dfb8backed No | 73c | 970.04$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…685abacked Yes | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f25…5295backed Yes | 22c | 952.09$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed No | 72c | 949.8$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.94 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdce…3ea8backed Yes | 24c | 916.67$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e17…2301backed Yes | 24c | 913.04$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.08 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 22c | 873.36$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.55 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…d535backed Yes | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fac…7ef6backed Yes | 25c | 845.63$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 75c | 823.94$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.55 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7877…cdb3backed Yes | 29c | 732.86$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0475…ed7abacked Yes | 27c | 725.43$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 25c | 722.57$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.06 | 267 | 36%96 W · 171 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad9a…c3f4backed Yes | 21c | 714.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5299…c4e0backed Yes | 24c | 708.33$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed No | 77c | 699.99$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af3…3cbfbacked Yes | 24c | 692.63$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 24c | 689.19$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.6 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 27c | 647.4$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.39 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Yes | 21c | 639.99$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe302…f7e0backed Yes | 29c | 636.03$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f7…9213backed Yes | 24c | 625$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa551…276dbacked Yes | 21c | 615.1$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4985…7f19backed Yes | 42c | 593.69$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b0…b6e1backed Yes | 33c | 565.98$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256a…4b8fbacked Yes | 29c | 528$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 22cpaid | +273.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…5c70backed Yes | 21c | 504.76$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7039…4a7dbacked No | 72c | 492.5$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…2887backed Yes | 28c | 476.6$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…b9d8backed Yes | 21c | 476.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f32…8f1abacked Yes | 21c | 476.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x720f…4199backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449e…454abacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…60b6backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0671…0bfebacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…18d0backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +105.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47ec…3bb1backed Yes | 22c | 459.09$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 22c | 455.72$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.62 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff3…d376backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…5b51backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1e…dce8backed Yes | 29c | 435.28$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9633…d27fbacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…7372backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…f087backed Yes | 25c | 431.33$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.89 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecb0…2329backed Yes | 22c | 430.14$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.63 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee28…2b0dbacked Yes | 22c | 428.55$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…b85dbacked Yes | 23c | 426.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197a…d0b2backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f74…769cbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e31…b6ebbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +114.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7725…23eabacked Yes | 23c | 412.39$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f48…db7fbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3922…0670backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4c…14ddbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 76c | 399.97$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 383 | 53.3%204 W · 179 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc24…97a4backed Yes | 22c | 394.73$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bc…b1a1backed Yes | 25c | 393.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…e105backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe745…5681backed Yes | 27c | 381.24$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Yes | 24c | 369.43$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…5f79backed Yes | 21c | 361.1$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5925…b194backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO?this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 3.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 4.5 RoundsUnder won
- UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Max Holloway won
- Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.