TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9fac…7ef6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst UFC at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.49
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$316.31
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.24
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+300%+$353.49
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$572.76
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+153.2%+$513.91
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+146.9%+$332.02
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.61
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$68.28
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+87.8%+$131.69
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$150
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$137.23
Argentina vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+111.2%+$302.47
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Haissem Hassan: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.87
Mohamed Salah: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.4
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+233.1%+$627.09
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2744.4%12 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+100.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.1
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$195.92
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+300%+$600
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.04
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$318.69
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.91
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$119
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+900%+$900
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+1,217%+$973.57
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: AG.AL vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$712.52
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$139.59
First Blood in Game 1?backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+103.5%+$103.51
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$202.91
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.61
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$150
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+656%+$393.6
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+178.8%+$137.69
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.84
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-57.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+46.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KBO: LG Twins vs. Hanwha Eaglesbacked LG Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$220.1
MLB All-Star Gamebacked American League · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$244.44
All 3 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.