Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Egypt?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4e323954b8ddb073fae2512d16102ec507bfa08511cd9c1f655e67e1ebf9e6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $931,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $758,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $931,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3e7…ea94backed Yes | 4c | 102,000$3,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,977.99 | 137 | 25.5%35 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49f…4507backed Yes | 4c | 73,838$3,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,020 | 122 | 10.7%13 W · 109 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 9c | 61,621$5,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,642.65 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…9a17backed Yes | 4c | 26,292$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Yes | 6c | 20,210$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.1 | 251 | 25.1%63 W · 188 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Yes | 14c | 20,000$2,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,780 | 222 | 29.7%66 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Yes | 12c | 18,054$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200.36 | 396 | 44.7%177 W · 219 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Yes | 4c | 12,087$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.99 | 347 | 31.1%108 W · 239 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 13c | 11,736$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.38 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 4c | 10,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 414 | 29%120 W · 294 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…6a32backed Yes | 4c | 8,249$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.96 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 4c | 7,169$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.98 | 727 | 22.7%165 W · 562 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…b510backed Yes | 2c | 5,884$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 15c | 5,632$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.83 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…050ebacked Yes | 16c | 4,577$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.35 | 236 | 37.7%89 W · 147 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 17c | 4,358$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.71 | 268 | 41.8%112 W · 156 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 10c | 4,353$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.07 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…e196backed Yes | 3c | 4,273$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.78 | 172 | 29.1%50 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Yes | 11c | 3,795$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 181 | 50.3%91 W · 90 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bea…a7e6backed Yes | 17c | 3,788$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.42 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +25.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x43e3…43f7backed Yes | 9c | 3,384$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 232 | 30.2%70 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Yes | 16c | 3,318$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.08 | 178 | 27.5%49 W · 129 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf28…b40ebacked Yes | 5c | 3,162$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 4c | 3,000$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 246 | 35.8%88 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d96…2a68backed Yes | 4c | 2,825$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.97 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…9f39backed Yes | 14c | 2,759$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 119 | 14.3%17 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43c3…814bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,741$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd712…4029backed Yes | 4c | 2,619$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7306…0a93backed Yes | 4c | 2,611$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21e7…4041backed Yes | 4c | 2,549$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 6.3%8 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe974…f815backed Yes | 4c | 2,425$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes | 8c | 2,233$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.05 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 3c | 2,212$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.21 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes | 3c | 2,096$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.08 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Yes | 15c | 1,887$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.31 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb36…a357backed Yes | 18c | 1,692$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 72 | 11.1%8 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f1…6d2fbacked Yes | 13c | 1,623$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.03 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 4c | 1,618$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 2c | 1,612$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed Yes | 18c | 1,400$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.98 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…b052backed Yes | 4c | 1,389$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 159 | 30.2%48 W · 111 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a8…3592backed Yes | 4c | 1,389$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78c1…473ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,387$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.09 | 513 | 15.6%80 W · 433 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…396bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,320$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb913…b77ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,316$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd31…1252backed Yes | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 194 | 11.9%23 W · 171 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4125…268bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,220$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5648…a6c4backed Yes | 4c | 1,184$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd689…6ec7backed Yes | 19c | 1,116$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +7.6wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x11be…7712backed Yes | 4c | 1,111$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 226 | 20.4%46 W · 180 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7afb…61eabacked Yes | 4c | 1,100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…8fe8backed Yes | 10c | 1,097$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 15c | 1,089$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.51 | 888 | 52.7%468 W · 420 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d15…7a94backed Yes | 4c | 1,087$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f17…c1dbbacked Yes | 9c | 1,055$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.77 | 288 | 8%23 W · 265 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5661…5921backed Yes | 10c | 1,033$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.09 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…038bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 364 | 23.6%86 W · 278 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb1…96e1backed Yes | 4c | 999.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6903…b2edbacked No | 76c | 969.14$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.26 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 4c | 968$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c58…1ac5backed Yes | 4c | 961.54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 49 | 10.2%5 W · 44 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd644…b7cdbacked Yes | 4c | 955.02$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…446bbacked Yes | 11c | 931.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 6cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2974…9c23backed Yes | 11c | 918.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5651…e11ebacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 13c | 900.82$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.81 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc537…f4d0backed Yes | 4c | 868.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef84…6872backed Yes | 2c | 847.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 137 | 5.1%7 W · 130 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 12c | 828.57$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.03 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…b3d0backed Yes | 4c | 810.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 208 | 19.7%41 W · 167 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed81…b60cbacked Yes | 4c | 753.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…0383backed Yes | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e34…625dbacked Yes | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 14.3%11 W · 66 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…6962backed Yes | 4c | 740.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 72 | 11.1%8 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…f71dbacked Yes | 14c | 736.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 168 | 27.4%46 W · 122 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 2c | 736$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x675d…383abacked Yes | 14c | 729.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4433…9d34backed Yes | 4c | 725.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 788 | 35.3%278 W · 510 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Yes | 17c | 723.25$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.92 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Yes | 13c | 700$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.75 | 414 | 44.9%186 W · 228 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e0…7387backed Yes | 14c | 696.92$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.17 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…8bcbbacked Yes | 4c | 694.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes | 2c | 661.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 4c | 625$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9da9…453fbacked Yes | 3c | 617.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 120 | 28.3%34 W · 86 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc959…c37fbacked Yes | 13c | 606.89$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 360 | 23.6%85 W · 275 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…30a4backed Yes | 4c | 599.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 67 | 20.9%14 W · 53 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 4c | 593$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…b4a9backed Yes | 4c | 589.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…0dcfbacked Yes | 10c | 580$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 140 | 29.3%41 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 3c | 555$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x813a…0637backed Yes | 4c | 540.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1b…6399backed Yes | 28c | 539.11$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2c…51a5backed Yes | 4c | 526.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292b…697dbacked Yes | 4c | 526.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 223 | 43.9%98 W · 125 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 10c | 525.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.79 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…a8d3backed Yes | 4c | 512.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e5…17d0backed Yes | 4c | 512.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a6…37b9backed Yes | 4c | 512.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 14.9%17 W · 97 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fac…7ef6backed Yes | 15c | 503.27$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Egypt?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 3 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Egypt?Yes won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Egypt?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.