Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Egypt?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88c856ecaf0d1eba17de9e0365139be7ec2823fed8c01e28ec0765aa19c7cc9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $874,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $873,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $874,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 639 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 16c | 131,961$20,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,631.13 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd49f…4507backed Yes | 17c | 88,235$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 122 | 10.7%13 W · 109 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 17c | 50,944$8,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,625.14 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 18c | 50,000$8,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,995.44 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x471d…2fa7backed Yes | 17c | 29,412$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 17c | 28,814$4,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,844.25 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…e196backed Yes | 0c | 22,055$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 172 | 29.1%50 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…9a17backed Yes | 17c | 17,647$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x582f…b45cbacked Yes | 17c | 16,965$2,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,884.05 | 92 | 18.5%17 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x896e…53f2backed Yes | 17c | 14,706$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Yes | 18c | 14,328$2,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,563.44 | 510 | 32.5%166 W · 344 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 16c | 12,757$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.11 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a6…627bbacked Yes | 17c | 11,765$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bac…cda1backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…81b5backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…6a32backed Yes | 17c | 9,770$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.9 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…5496backed Yes | 16c | 9,375$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 17c | 7,031$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.02 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Yes | 17c | 6,500$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e78…3945backed Yes | 17c | 6,471$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 195 | 29.7%58 W · 137 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…6da1backed Yes | 17c | 5,618$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.94 | 223 | 38.1%85 W · 138 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36c4…a129backed Yes | 17c | 5,300$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +562.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a79…0d92backed Yes | 17c | 5,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 16c | 4,700$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.99 | 302 | 14.6%44 W · 258 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Yes | 16c | 3,900$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca2…073bbacked Yes | 17c | 3,529$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 17c | 3,412$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.04 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Yes | 16c | 3,125$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 251 | 24.7%62 W · 189 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Yes | 17c | 3,100$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 17c | 3,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 414 | 29%120 W · 294 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes | 17c | 3,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 262 | 16%42 W · 220 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e56…616fbacked Yes | 19c | 2,926$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 17c | 2,818$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.09 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a3…785fbacked Yes | 18c | 2,700$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.21 | 200 | 49.5%99 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Yes | 17c | 2,600$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442 | 131 | 18.3%24 W · 107 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1de4…fababacked Yes | 17c | 2,500$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…9f39backed Yes | 16c | 2,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 119 | 14.3%17 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 16c | 2,377$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.04 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…ded8backed Yes | 17c | 2,353$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…66a7backed Yes | 17c | 2,250$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.5 | 332 | 35.5%118 W · 214 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf920…6acfbacked Yes | 17c | 2,235$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 17c | 2,213$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f4…53c9backed Yes | 16c | 2,157$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.12 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…02fdbacked Yes | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 181 | 28.7%52 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65f4…5222backed Yes | 17c | 1,992$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.62 | 268 | 35.4%95 W · 173 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f9c8backed Yes | 17c | 1,835$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 208 | 16.3%34 W · 174 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes | 16c | 1,804$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.68 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc54…4582backed Yes | 17c | 1,765$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 163 | 19.6%32 W · 131 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5823…8782backed Yes | 17c | 1,705$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.88 | 82 | 6.1%5 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes | 17c | 1,471$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 339 | 15.9%54 W · 285 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…ffe8backed Yes | 17c | 1,471$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 246 | 20.3%50 W · 196 L | -21.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45ff…dcd6backed Yes | 17c | 1,421$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.56 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb6…8c80backed Yes | 17c | 1,390$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.3 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e4…8048backed Yes | 16c | 1,300$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd1…e502backed Yes | 17c | 1,250$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.5 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…317abacked Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 16c | 1,249$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.48 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa467…9c53backed Yes | 16c | 1,207$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.19 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443a…ba14backed Yes | 17c | 1,200$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 62 | 14.5%9 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2671…8de4backed Yes | 16c | 1,180$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 200 | 13.5%27 W · 173 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d0…1a68backed Yes | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbea2…b81abacked Yes | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 10.4%5 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c6…45aebacked Yes | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2976…5c52backed Yes | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb115…4e6fbacked Yes | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…d2c9backed Yes | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a8…3592backed Yes | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…df19backed Yes | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d13…e9dcbacked Yes | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7195…f4eebacked Yes | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…b052backed Yes | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 159 | 30.2%48 W · 111 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 17c | 1,150$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.5 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef2…1a2dbacked Yes | 17c | 1,137$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.25 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…9716backed Yes | 17c | 1,137$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd591…3a2abacked Yes | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92b…f80bbacked Yes | 17c | 1,088$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8760…a2c6backed Yes | 17c | 1,042$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.18 | 114 | 21.1%24 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0728…40f4backed Yes | 17c | 1,024$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 162 | 25.9%42 W · 120 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa787…2cfabacked Yes | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d9…ecf3backed Yes | 17c | 999.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a64…3c0abacked Yes | 17c | 882.35$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 17c | 882.35$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 215 | 22.8%49 W · 166 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7726…71d2backed Yes | 18c | 833.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 68 | 10.3%7 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed Yes | 17c | 827.76$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.72 | 409 | 12%49 W · 360 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c20…a7dfbacked Yes | 17c | 749.98$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 302 | 15.2%46 W · 256 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1286…da74backed Yes | 17c | 747.06$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 204 | 27.5%56 W · 148 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf6…e816backed Yes | 17c | 705.88$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…100dbacked Yes | 16c | 687.5$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fac…8fd7backed Yes | 17c | 682.06$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.95 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +46%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes | 3c | 661.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c3…322bbacked Yes | 17c | 639.2$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.25 | 200 | 24.5%49 W · 151 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c3…8bb2backed Yes | 17c | 632.53$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.53 | 136 | 10.3%14 W · 122 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 3c | 632$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc02b…80f3backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4d…fba6backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 142 | 39.4%56 W · 86 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…c6a1backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed08…ed3bbacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…0b08backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +135.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa491…2e5fbacked Yes | 17c | 611.76$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Egypt?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 3 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Egypt?Yes won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Egypt?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.