TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Egypt?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,204,933
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,128,295

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,204,933 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 642 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes8c239,585$18,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,448.518,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Yes7c104,286$7,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,30026320.5%54 W · 209 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes7c94,999$6,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,649.9678317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes8c87,856$7,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,028.4856410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes7c71,656$5,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,354.262,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec44…c92bbacked Yes7c70,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9008521.2%18 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ed4…e181backed Yes8c60,242$4,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,819.327416.2%12 W · 62 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick20cpaid+20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Yes7c51,458$3,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,602.0725124.7%62 W · 189 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e95…1776backed Yes8c32,328$2,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,467.331567.7%12 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick8cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes1c30,252$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.7227034.4%93 W · 177 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes7c28,571$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0009929.3%29 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x582f…b45cbacked Yes7c16,429$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1509218.5%17 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes7c14,142$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.942,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7795…9a17backed Yes8c12,950$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010927.5%30 W · 79 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x442f…e7a2backed Yes8c12,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011038.2%42 W · 68 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeee5…3d51backed Yes8c12,353$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.245719.3%11 W · 46 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick16cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes8c11,452$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.166526.2%17 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0a2…0489backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103633.3%12 W · 24 L+5.8wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+170.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7a79…0d92backed Yes7c10,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70015226.3%40 W · 112 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96ac…dc89backed Yes11c10,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1008913.5%12 W · 77 L-0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes7c10,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70030214.6%44 W · 258 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes7c9,999$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.9527520.4%56 W · 219 L+1.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes5c8,783$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.2198134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68cf…004dbacked Yes10c7,888$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.81833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22e7…7497backed Yes7c6,991$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.3940%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36c4…a129backed Yes8c6,745$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.15825%2 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+562.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Yes6c6,733$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.9938817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Yes10c5,876$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.0334924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb57e…ffe8backed Yes10c5,872$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.2124620.3%50 W · 196 L-21.8wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-44.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcbd2…193bbacked Yes8c5,834$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.71735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-45.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x65f4…5222backed Yes7c5,746$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.226835.4%95 W · 173 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05ae…5a4bbacked Yes7c5,714$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40036024.4%88 W · 272 L-0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c0f…9f39backed Yes7c5,714$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011914.3%17 W · 102 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes8c5,401$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.1256022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7195…f4eebacked Yes8c5,136$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41510617.9%19 W · 87 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3d1…61c7backed Yes8c5,013$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.05160%0 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Yes8c5,000$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.533235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1324…8e3cbacked Yes10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6c7…f1f3backed Yes7c4,500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31513122.1%29 W · 102 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick19cpaid+30.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1e3…0009backed Yes7c4,265$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.5420532.2%66 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5823…8782backed Yes7c4,067$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.12826.1%5 W · 77 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-55.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes8c4,008$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.442,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a3a…f9c8backed Yes8c3,946$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31420816.3%34 W · 174 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0728…40f4backed Yes9c3,909$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.416225.9%42 W · 120 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes8c3,750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30026618%48 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf0…ff09backed Yes8c3,750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003023.3%7 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick17cpaid+121.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes7c3,610$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.1475335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62a4…c680backed Yes7c3,571$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25018321.3%39 W · 144 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Yes8c3,475$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.9777433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes9c3,420$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30231611.4%36 W · 280 L+0.4wins0.00per pick11cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45ff…dcd6backed Yes8c3,012$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.94714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick33cpaid-76.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes8c3,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24026216%42 W · 220 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes7c2,874$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.1753920.6%111 W · 428 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-38.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x957e…3621backed Yes7c2,857$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022147.1%104 W · 117 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes7c2,857$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20056240.6%228 W · 334 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cb2…df19backed Yes7c2,857$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003630.6%11 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec1e…0d9cbacked Yes1c2,565$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.982931%9 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+37.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8894…c538backed Yes7c2,529$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1771338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+336.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8046…6ea0backed Yes8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008723%20 W · 67 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed Yes8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006139.3%24 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20035110.8%38 W · 313 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ef2…1a2dbacked Yes8c2,409$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.753119.4%6 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick20cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x443a…ba14backed Yes8c2,400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1926214.5%9 W · 53 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes8c2,280$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.981,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6103…f2d9backed Yes13c2,207$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.72416.7%4 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick13cpaid+104.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes7c2,143$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15021522.8%49 W · 166 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf27…8f82backed Yes7c2,086$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1464327.9%12 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+92.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd92b…f80bbacked Yes8c2,075$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1664845.8%22 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick36cpaid-7.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5802…0aedbacked Yes7c2,028$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.2723944.8%107 W · 132 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3aa5…784abacked Yes8c2,021$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.569917.2%17 W · 82 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid+29.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes8c2,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16027811.9%33 W · 245 L-1.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1de4…fababacked Yes14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2807821.8%17 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fd1…e502backed Yes8c2,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1605617.9%10 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+113.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e0e…1d92backed Yes7c1,940$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.7780%0 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe6e…074ebacked Yes8c1,875$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509111%10 W · 81 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8706…f8ccbacked Yes8c1,875$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505516.4%9 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+76%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe927…a965backed Yes8c1,807$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.56330%0 W · 33 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5718…d232backed Yes7c1,786$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12516013.8%22 W · 138 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b16…12fabacked Yes7c1,786$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick18cpaid+42.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes7c1,786$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12535612.6%45 W · 311 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Yes8c1,771$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.6814219.7%28 W · 114 L-0.5wins0.00per pick20cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c4…c131backed Yes8c1,750$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick16cpaid+336.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8aa…7934backed Yes9c1,714$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1606421.9%14 W · 50 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-31.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2976…5c52backed Yes12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002630.8%8 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0b…c6afbacked Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003423.5%8 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+55%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes7c1,554$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.791,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2d0…1a68backed Yes13c1,538$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005431.5%17 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f9…02fdbacked Yes12c1,500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18018128.7%52 W · 129 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62cd…02babacked Yes8c1,500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203638.9%14 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes6c1,500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9031920.1%64 W · 255 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes7c1,430$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.6873626.5%195 W · 541 L-0.7wins0.00per pick27cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a64…3c0abacked Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004425%11 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5963…0750backed Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004112.2%5 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick8cpaid+149.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x69e3…0078backed Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011619.8%23 W · 93 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050214.5%73 W · 429 L+2.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Yes5c1,403$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6869826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5ec…3cd6backed Yes7c1,333$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.3955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b0…588fbacked Yes8c1,268$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021321.1%45 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb47…993abacked Yes8c1,254$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010412.5%13 W · 91 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+9.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10034231.3%107 W · 235 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.