Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Egypt?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44ce9d9ce8ac6c0c4dccb8cdd09006397862c0cb7d1618ca029adbb5740e6688
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,204,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,128,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,204,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 642 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 8c | 239,585$18,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,448.51 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Yes | 7c | 104,286$7,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,300 | 263 | 20.5%54 W · 209 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 7c | 94,999$6,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,649.96 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 8c | 87,856$7,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,028.48 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 7c | 71,656$5,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,354.26 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec44…c92bbacked Yes | 7c | 70,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed4…e181backed Yes | 8c | 60,242$4,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,819.32 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Yes | 7c | 51,458$3,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,602.07 | 251 | 24.7%62 W · 189 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e95…1776backed Yes | 8c | 32,328$2,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,467.33 | 156 | 7.7%12 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes | 1c | 30,252$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.72 | 270 | 34.4%93 W · 177 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 7c | 28,571$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x582f…b45cbacked Yes | 7c | 16,429$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 92 | 18.5%17 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 7c | 14,142$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.94 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…9a17backed Yes | 8c | 12,950$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x442f…e7a2backed Yes | 8c | 12,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeee5…3d51backed Yes | 8c | 12,353$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.24 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes | 8c | 11,452$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.16 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a2…0489backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +170.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a79…0d92backed Yes | 7c | 10,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…dc89backed Yes | 11c | 10,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 89 | 13.5%12 W · 77 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 7c | 10,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 302 | 14.6%44 W · 258 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes | 7c | 9,999$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.95 | 275 | 20.4%56 W · 219 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 5c | 8,783$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.21 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…004dbacked Yes | 10c | 7,888$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.8 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22e7…7497backed Yes | 7c | 6,991$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36c4…a129backed Yes | 8c | 6,745$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +562.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Yes | 6c | 6,733$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.99 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Yes | 10c | 5,876$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.03 | 349 | 24.4%85 W · 264 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…ffe8backed Yes | 10c | 5,872$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.21 | 246 | 20.3%50 W · 196 L | -21.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…193bbacked Yes | 8c | 5,834$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.7 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65f4…5222backed Yes | 7c | 5,746$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.2 | 268 | 35.4%95 W · 173 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…5a4bbacked Yes | 7c | 5,714$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 360 | 24.4%88 W · 272 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…9f39backed Yes | 7c | 5,714$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 119 | 14.3%17 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 8c | 5,401$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.12 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7195…f4eebacked Yes | 8c | 5,136$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d1…61c7backed Yes | 8c | 5,013$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.05 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…66a7backed Yes | 8c | 5,000$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.5 | 332 | 35.5%118 W · 214 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1324…8e3cbacked Yes | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c7…f1f3backed Yes | 7c | 4,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 131 | 22.1%29 W · 102 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…0009backed Yes | 7c | 4,265$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.54 | 205 | 32.2%66 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5823…8782backed Yes | 7c | 4,067$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.12 | 82 | 6.1%5 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 8c | 4,008$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.44 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f9c8backed Yes | 8c | 3,946$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 208 | 16.3%34 W · 174 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0728…40f4backed Yes | 9c | 3,909$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.4 | 162 | 25.9%42 W · 120 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Yes | 8c | 3,750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 266 | 18%48 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf0…ff09backed Yes | 8c | 3,750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +121.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 7c | 3,610$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.14 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a4…c680backed Yes | 7c | 3,571$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 183 | 21.3%39 W · 144 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…d024backed Yes | 8c | 3,475$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.97 | 774 | 33.1%256 W · 518 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 9c | 3,420$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45ff…dcd6backed Yes | 8c | 3,012$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.94 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 262 | 16%42 W · 220 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes | 7c | 2,874$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.17 | 539 | 20.6%111 W · 428 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x957e…3621backed Yes | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 221 | 47.1%104 W · 117 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…df19backed Yes | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec1e…0d9cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,565$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8894…c538backed Yes | 7c | 2,529$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +336.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…6ea0backed Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 87 | 23%20 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef2…1a2dbacked Yes | 8c | 2,409$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.75 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x443a…ba14backed Yes | 8c | 2,400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 62 | 14.5%9 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 8c | 2,280$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.98 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…f2d9backed Yes | 13c | 2,207$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.7 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 7c | 2,143$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 215 | 22.8%49 W · 166 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…8f82backed Yes | 7c | 2,086$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92b…f80bbacked Yes | 8c | 2,075$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5802…0aedbacked Yes | 7c | 2,028$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.27 | 239 | 44.8%107 W · 132 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa5…784abacked Yes | 8c | 2,021$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.56 | 99 | 17.2%17 W · 82 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 278 | 11.9%33 W · 245 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1de4…fababacked Yes | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd1…e502backed Yes | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0e…1d92backed Yes | 7c | 1,940$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.77 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…074ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,875$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 91 | 11%10 W · 81 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8706…f8ccbacked Yes | 8c | 1,875$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +76%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe927…a965backed Yes | 8c | 1,807$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.56 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5718…d232backed Yes | 7c | 1,786$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 160 | 13.8%22 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b16…12fabacked Yes | 7c | 1,786$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes | 7c | 1,786$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 356 | 12.6%45 W · 311 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,771$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.68 | 142 | 19.7%28 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed Yes | 8c | 1,750$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +336.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…7934backed Yes | 9c | 1,714$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 64 | 21.9%14 W · 50 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2976…5c52backed Yes | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0b…c6afbacked Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +55%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 7c | 1,554$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.79 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d0…1a68backed Yes | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…02fdbacked Yes | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 181 | 28.7%52 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…02babacked Yes | 8c | 1,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 319 | 20.1%64 W · 255 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,430$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.68 | 736 | 26.5%195 W · 541 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a64…3c0abacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5963…0750backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +149.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…0078backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 19.8%23 W · 93 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 5c | 1,403$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.68 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ec…3cd6backed Yes | 7c | 1,333$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b0…588fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,268$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 213 | 21.1%45 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb47…993abacked Yes | 8c | 1,254$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 12.5%13 W · 91 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 342 | 31.3%107 W · 235 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Egypt?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 3 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Egypt?Yes won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Egypt?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.