TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe471…c87c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
937
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 56 out of 100; worst Venezuela at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT27811.9%33 W · 245 L-1.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 278 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.22
Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$373.98
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$877Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$877.29
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$682Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+510.5%+$3,480.26
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$546Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+504.4%+$2,753.99
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.9
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$337.36
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.5
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spain leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$312
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.5
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.31
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$447Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+436.9%+$1,952.98
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$972
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Exact Score: France 1 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$699.6
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$3,066.35
Showing 25 of 278 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT23525.5%60 W · 175 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 235 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netanyahu wear a Yarmulke at next meeting with Trump?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.29
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$234
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$868Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$868
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$791Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$790.88
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,560Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$2,340
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$357
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+545.2%+$3,379.98
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+567.8%+$6,300.99
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$504
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.5
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.58
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$471Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$471.22
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$347.18
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$384.22
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.64
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.57
Military action against Iran ends on April 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Military action against Iran ends on April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.63
Military action against Iran ends on April 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.27
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?backed Leadership Change · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.93
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$539Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$560.99
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,016Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+77.1%+$783.88
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$782Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$782
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.5
Showing 25 of 235 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT17326.6%46 W · 127 L+0.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 173 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$780
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$962Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+440.5%+$4,237.95
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$385.56
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.44
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$470
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.99
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$416
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.89
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$443.5
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Trail Blazers backed Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$430
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$228
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.1
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+238.9%+$1,248.03
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$272
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$477.37
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.48
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$370
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.44
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Showing 25 of 173 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT8720.7%18 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 87 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$154
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.19
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.4
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$650
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.85
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$961Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$961
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 0 - 3 FC Barcelona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.99
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.72
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.99
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 0 Club Atlético de Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 1 Club Atlético de Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.61
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 1 Club Atlético de Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.49
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 0 - 3 Club Atlético de Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.83
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 0 Club Atlético de Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.37
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.23
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.62
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.99
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.5
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.95
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 1 Newcastle United FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 0 Newcastle United FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.94
Showing 25 of 87 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT8525.9%22 W · 63 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-28%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.94
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$437Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$437
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 0 Real Madrid CF?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.4
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$471Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$553.49
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$221
Getafe CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.99
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$575Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$399.91
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.66
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$294.87
FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$148.32
FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.73
Will Girona FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.8
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 0 - 3 FC Barcelona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.97
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 0 - 2 FC Barcelona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.56
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+174.1%+$747.67
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 2 FC Barcelona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+271%+$305.64
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+85.8%+$181.59
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$88
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2536%9 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+41.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.8
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$420
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.35
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.46
Wrexham AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$28.74
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$202.5
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+214.5%+$341
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+316.7%+$95.76
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+488.2%+$73.24
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+203%+$201
Will Manchester City win the 2024-25 FA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.55
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+67.5%+$35.03
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$14
Will Arsenal win on 2025-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20.7
Will Fulham win on 2025-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$16.8
Will Tottenham win on 2025-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$11.6
Will Manchester United vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$12
Will Fulham vs. Brighton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST-100%-$11.2
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$19.14
Will Brighton vs. Southampton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST+455.6%+$136.67
Will Spurs win on 2024-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST+614.3%+$92.14
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST-100%-$15.9
All 25 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1735.3%6 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick22cpaid+73.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$350
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+112.8%+$321.8
Nothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.91
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+134.2%+$444.93
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$647Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$1,202.49
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,532Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+115.4%+$1,767.1
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$146.25
Israel military action against Iran in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,540Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,540.23
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$932Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$931.98
US military action against Iran by Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+1,328.6%+$1,627.5
US military action against Iran by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+466%+$1,850.94
US military action against Iran by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$179
US military action against Iran by Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$123
Will Trump visit Israel in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.4
Hamas leadership out of Qatar before Trump in office?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$238
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$186.91
All 17 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-61.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick11cpaid-27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+45%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-49.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$135
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Speed sign deal to fight Jake Paul this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2024, EST-100%-$45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$49
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$359.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.