Euroleague · resolved market
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Virtus Bologna
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1648c064fa0d2a63ea7df2bd073c703772e2c71080e81e85261e6a6313c5cea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hapoel Tel Avivof Hapoel Tel Aviv, Virtus Bologna
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,162 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe0c…04b6backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 78c | 958.37$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.84 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Virtus Bologna | 22c | 952.37$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.31 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Virtus Bologna | 19c | 909.03$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.72 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 79c | 702.53$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.53 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Virtus Bologna | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Virtus Bologna | 10c | 591.97$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.76 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c52…6431backed Virtus Bologna | 2c | 476.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Virtus Bologna | 21c | 469.64$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.23 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 78c | 387$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.27 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…9725backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 80c | 384.97$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2408…24b8backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 79c | 380.51$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…276ebacked Virtus Bologna | 24c | 291.68$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…2de3backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 76c | 291.68$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Virtus Bologna | 21c | 274.78$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.7 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Virtus Bologna | 22c | 271.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Virtus Bologna | 14c | 239$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…c8c1backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 80c | 222$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4480…8c0ebacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 79c | 190.75$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 80c | 165.5$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Virtus Bologna | 24c | 162.41$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Virtus Bologna | 21c | 149.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…61a0backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 78c | 145.98$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Virtus Bologna | 23c | 119.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Virtus Bologna | 21c | 119$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Virtus Bologna | 12c | 113.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Virtus Bologna | 20c | 108.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Virtus Bologna | 23c | 82.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Virtus Bologna | 23c | 82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5715…1616backed Virtus Bologna | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6f…f414backed Virtus Bologna | 22c | 69.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Virtus Bologna | 22c | 62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 78c | 61.85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Virtus Bologna | 21c | 61.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e2…21f4backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…8197backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1951…7542backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 78c | 23.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.