TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfe0c…04b6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
178
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Champions League, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 61 out of 100; worst La Liga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT3534.3%12 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Chicago Bulls vs. LA Lakersbacked LA Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$367.63
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Nets vs. Warriorsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,439Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,439.02
Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$7,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,005.41
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Luka Dončić: Points O/U 32.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$375.34
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Warriors vs. Hawksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Heat vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$883Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$752.46
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,749Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+72%+$1,259.28
Lakers vs. Magic: 1H O/U 118.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Thunder vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+96.5%+$2,412.08
Hawks vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$851Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+67%+$570.3
Knicks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Warriors vs. Pistonsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$576Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$576.13
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$535.64
Thunder vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Warriors vs. Celticsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.63
Pistons vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT313.2%1 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick9cpaid-94.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.28
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Dani Olmo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$746Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$746.37
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$389.48
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$326.49
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$266
Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.5
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.17
Lamine Yamal: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$315
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$144.78
Exact Score: France 0 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.15
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.37
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.93
Exact Score: England 0 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.26
Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+40%+$1,000.04
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$532.08
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.9
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$318.4
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$843Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$842.72
FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+113.3%+$1,359.1
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$551.51
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$689Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$689.03
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$363.16
Will FC Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.04
FC Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.51
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$351.35
Real Madrid CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,117.63
Real Madrid CF vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$458Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$457.62
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$639.34
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$997Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+72.5%+$722.09
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$4,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+49.4%+$2,026.88
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$5,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$5,300
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+38.9%+$1,166.67
All 24 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT2339.1%9 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick30cpaid-8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+96%+$1,439.54
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+165.3%+$668.16
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$554.9
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$370.82
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$673Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$227.35
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000.09
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$992Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$992.29
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+78.6%+$202.4
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$612Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+96.1%+$588
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$463Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+144.3%+$668.68
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+455.6%+$1,366.12
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$199.87
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$230.4
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$31.2
Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.35
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$362.4
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$22.29
Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$10.71
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$214.79
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$367.59
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$210
All 23 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$796Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+254.3%+$2,024.96
Aston Villa FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$370
Will Fulham FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+525%+$632.42
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,607Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$656.47
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.07
Will Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$307
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$113.23
Will West Ham United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$616.93
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,129Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$905.45
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.89
Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$638Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$481.06
Will Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$850
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$234.84
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$1,030.3
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$1,448.28
All 20 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L+4.1wins+0.26per pick43cpaid+128.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$665Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+123.6%+$821.63
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$1,119.34
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,571Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+62.8%+$1,615.31
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+324.2%+$977.58
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.2
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$211.64
Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+78.1%+$702.53
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+257.3%+$2,059.27
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$533.36
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,400
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$338.14
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,011Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,011
Will Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$636.21
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$524Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$349.51
All 16 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$496.9
Will US Lecce win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
Atalanta BC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$279.46
Will Atalanta BC vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.6
Como 1907 vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$219.2
Como 1907 leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+69.4%+$344.23
Will AC Milan vs. Torino FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.46
Spread: AC Milan (-2.5)backed Torino FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,491Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$427.66
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)backed Torino FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$991Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+82.6%+$818.43
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+96.1%+$1,152.94
All 11 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$4,362Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,362.12
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+79.3%+$2,463.74
FC Bayern Munchen vs. BC Dubaibacked BC Dubai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$602Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$273.46
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Virtus Bolognabacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$748Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$210.84
Partizan vs. BC Dubaibacked BC Dubai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$886Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$885.69
Barcelona vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,066Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+126.6%+$2,616.11
BC Dubai vs. Saski Baskoniabacked BC Dubai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,900Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+29%+$550.57
All 7 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OGC Nice vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,616Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$3,135.67
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$370.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$275
Aston Villa FC vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$139.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran strike Dimona by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$770Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$769.88
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.