La Liga · resolved market
Will FC Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1907cd38dc9ead4035229ff4915c3be53b234f1f55930f4cd35e8db6e7720d98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,323
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,323 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd54c…391dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Yes | 16c | 4,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…db0abacked Yes | 15c | 3,800$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 16c | 3,482$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.06 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8015…da39backed Yes | 10c | 3,120$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.93 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 9c | 3,062$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.08 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…c02bbacked Yes | 16c | 2,574$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1b…62c9backed Yes | 15c | 2,353$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe726…4c87backed Yes | 16c | 2,262$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.88 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0c…04b6backed Yes | 15c | 1,851$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.04 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Yes | 14c | 1,803$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Yes | 7c | 1,003$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +12.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 4c | 999.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 9c | 911.65$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.73 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3b…63b7backed Yes | 16c | 800$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ed…67c2backed Yes | 15c | 699.6$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.94 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…2086backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…8733backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 13c | 625$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.25 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 15c | 624.93$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.74 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…cea5backed Yes | 2c | 554.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 16c | 409.35$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.94 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 10c | 382.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…c484backed Yes | 11c | 327.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 14c | 297.15$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Yes | 11c | 279.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…21a1backed Yes | 15c | 247$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 12c | 245.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 14c | 231.16$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked Yes | 11c | 221.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x642e…063bbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x279a…ffc2backed Yes | 13c | 190.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01fe…79f4backed Yes | 6c | 178.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…0023backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 127 | 22.8%29 W · 98 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x080b…cd11backed Yes | 15c | 137.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…6002backed Yes | 7c | 134.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d52…f748backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…459fbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…d68abacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Yes | 15c | 102.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 15c | 88.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b01…84bbbacked Yes | 14c | 86.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3198…6207backed Yes | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…66f7backed Yes | 13c | 79.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfc…fd26backed Yes | 15c | 73.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb060…9572backed Yes | 15c | 67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-15?Yes won
- Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-03-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.