La Liga · resolved market
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7ee273c86e0d493526abbb04ad77c514a9946b509181e4bebc6de03c43fbdb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $437,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $437,927 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Yes | 4c | 79,850$3,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,192.97 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5b…6fc4backed Yes | 9c | 15,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 9c | 9,790$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.41 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 10c | 7,413$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.14 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 10c | 5,951$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.43 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Yes | 9c | 5,794$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.46 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed Yes | 10c | 4,803$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.02 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 10c | 4,100$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.5 | 155 | 16.1%25 W · 130 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2682…582abacked Yes | 10c | 3,693$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.32 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e7…0365backed Yes | 10c | 2,965$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.5 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…9a30backed Yes | 1c | 1,929$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Yes | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,447$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.7 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…df10backed Yes | 11c | 1,388$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 4c | 1,362$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…8733backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…684dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89c…398fbacked Yes | 10c | 910$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b98…7061backed Yes | 9c | 900$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4aa…a19bbacked Yes | 9c | 800$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 3c | 700$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes | 11c | 666$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…66a9backed Yes | 4c | 570$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 8c | 562.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…2a61backed Yes | 9c | 550$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 10cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 11c | 545.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 173 | 26.6%46 W · 127 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x052e…7926backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecad…875cbacked Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x083e…81a1backed Yes | 10c | 411.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.53 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…c9ddbacked Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…f407backed Yes | 9c | 380.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Yes | 11c | 300$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 8c | 267.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6633…dcfebacked Yes | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 10c | 236.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +6.4wins | +0.20per pick | 27cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4236…7040backed Yes | 9c | 202$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d52…f748backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f1…5a34backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 9c | 199.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcae…3e14backed Yes | 9c | 199.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d30…3391backed Yes | 9c | 199.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x642e…063bbacked Yes | 10c | 199.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 9c | 188.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…4d66backed Yes | 11c | 182.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbe…630dbacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6a…b08bbacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…b87cbacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x676a…a7c7backed Yes | 10c | 149.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 8c | 149.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 127 | 22.8%29 W · 98 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeace…ffb1backed Yes | 9c | 144.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe400…9aa9backed Yes | 11c | 127.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e6…3bf7backed Yes | 9c | 126.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 196 | 46.4%91 W · 105 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe91d…2b74backed Yes | 10c | 103.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ebe…b14abacked Yes | 10c | 102$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32e6…87ecbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…e910backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 31cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd759…5adfbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x829e…2c6dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x095e…abc5backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…762dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dd…52dbbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…459fbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…7be3backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will FC Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.